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由于 2100 万比特币供应总量中的 94% 已被开采,一些人对数字资产的长期生存能力感到担忧。
Despite concerns, data suggests the Bitcoin network will remain sustainable even after the last coin is mined, thanks to evolving strategies by miners, increased transaction fees, and broader adoption of the cryptocurrency.
尽管存在担忧,但数据表明,即使在最后一枚硬币被开采出来之后,比特币网络仍将保持可持续发展,这要归功于矿工不断发展的策略、交易费用的增加以及加密货币的更广泛采用。
With 94% of the total 21 million bitcoin supply already mined, some have expressed doubts about the long-term viability of the digital asset. However, several factors indicate that the Bitcoin ecosystem will adapt and continue to thrive.
由于 2100 万比特币供应总量中的 94% 已被开采,一些人对这种数字资产的长期生存能力表示怀疑。然而,有几个因素表明比特币生态系统将适应并继续蓬勃发展。
The halving schedule plays a crucial role in the timeline for mining all bitcoins. During the epoch starting in 2032, more than 99% of the bitcoin supply will have been issued. The final 1% of bitcoins will take more than 100 years to mine due to the halving mechanism.
减半时间表在开采所有比特币的时间表中起着至关重要的作用。在 2032 年开始的时期内,超过 99% 的比特币供应量将已发行。由于减半机制,最后1%的比特币将需要100多年的时间才能开采出来。
As mining rewards diminish, transaction fees are set to become the primary revenue source for miners. After all bitcoins are mined, miners will rely on transaction fees to validate and secure the network. On April 20, 2024, transaction fees peaked at 1,257.71 BTC, accounting for over 75% of miner revenue that day.
随着挖矿奖励减少,交易费将成为矿工的主要收入来源。所有比特币被开采后,矿工将依靠交易费用来验证和保护网络。 2024 年 4 月 20 日,交易费用达到峰值 1,257.71 BTC,占当天矿工收入的 75% 以上。
Similarly, transaction fees surpassed block rewards for the first time, reaching $80.74 million in a single day due to memecoin mania and the launch of the Runes protocol.
同样,由于 memecoin 狂热和 Runes 协议的推出,交易费用首次超过了区块奖励,单日达到 8074 万美元。
This surge highlights the potential of transaction fees to sustain mining operations when block rewards cease. The integration of new protocols, such as Runes, Ordinals, and a growing number of meta layers, have at times boosted network activity and congestion, leading to increased transaction fees and miner revenue
这种激增凸显了当区块奖励停止时交易费用维持挖矿业务的潜力。新协议(如符文、序数和越来越多的元层)的集成有时会增加网络活动和拥塞,导致交易费用和矿工收入增加
Moreover, bitcoin's underlying blockchain technology offers opportunities beyond peer-to-peer transactions.
此外,比特币的底层区块链技术提供了点对点交易之外的机会。
Jason Lowery, author of "SoftWar," has proposed the formation of a "US Hash Force," suggesting bitcoin's underlying technology could be leveraged by the U.S. military to defend the increasingly important digital world. The U.S. Hash Force would be a new component of the military, focused on leveraging Bitcoin's Proof-of-Work consensus mechanism for national security purposes.
《SoftWar》一书的作者贾森·洛厄里 (Jason Lowery) 提议组建“美国哈希力量”,暗示美国军方可以利用比特币的底层技术来保卫日益重要的数字世界。美国算力部队将成为军队的一个新组成部分,专注于利用比特币的工作量证明共识机制来实现国家安全目的。
He sees Bitcoin as a potential power projection protocol that could be used worldwide for various applications beyond finance. Lowery theorizes that Bitcoin's PoW mechanism could transform cybersecurity, providing a new way of achieving secure computing on a global scale.
他认为比特币是一种潜在的电力投射协议,可以在全球范围内用于金融以外的各种应用。 Lowery 认为,比特币的 PoW 机制可以改变网络安全,提供一种在全球范围内实现安全计算的新方法。
Nation-states are already embracing bitcoin for monetary and trade purposes. Seven nations, including Ethiopia, Kenya, and Argentina, are now mining bitcoin with direct government support. Russia has piloted cross-border trade denominated in cryptocurrency.
民族国家已经出于货币和贸易目的而接受比特币。包括埃塞俄比亚、肯尼亚和阿根廷在内的七个国家目前正在政府的直接支持下开采比特币。俄罗斯已试点以加密货币计价的跨境贸易。
This governmental adoption signals confidence in bitcoin's stability and potential as a global reserve asset, possibly contributing to global de-dollarization efforts.
政府的这一采用标志着人们对比特币作为全球储备资产的稳定性和潜力的信心,可能有助于全球去美元化的努力。
However, U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis believes that adopting bitcoin could help the the dollar maintain financial sovereignty and global influence.
然而,美国参议员辛西娅·卢米斯认为,采用比特币可以帮助美元维护金融主权和全球影响力。
Senator Lummis introduced the Boosting Innovation, Technology and Competitiveness through Optimized Investment Nationwide Act in the U.S. Senate. This legislation aims to create a strategic Bitcoin reserve to bolster the dollar and pay down the national debt.
卢米斯参议员在美国参议院介绍了《通过全国优化投资促进创新、技术和竞争力法案》。这项立法旨在建立战略性比特币储备,以提振美元并偿还国家债务。
Bitcoin Diversification And Renewable Energy
比特币多元化和可再生能源
The adoption of renewable energy sources is another significant trend among miners. The Bitcoin Mining Council reported that its members use electricity with a sustainable power mix of 63.1%, contributing to a global mining industry's sustainable electricity mix of 59.9%.
采用可再生能源是矿工的另一个重要趋势。比特币矿业委员会报告称,其成员使用的电力中可持续电力组合为 63.1%,为全球采矿业的可持续电力组合贡献了 59.9%。
This shift reduces operational costs and also addresses environmental concerns. Miners are increasingly exploring renewable energy sources like hydro and geothermal, enhancing bitcoin's reputation as one of the most sustainable industries worldwide.
这种转变降低了运营成本并解决了环境问题。矿工们越来越多地探索水力和地热等可再生能源,提高了比特币作为全球最可持续产业之一的声誉。
Miners are also diversifying into high-performance computing and artificial intelligence data centers.
矿工们也在向高性能计算和人工智能数据中心多元化发展。
Companies like Core Core Scientific have expanded their infrastructure to support AI workloads, while Bit Digital now derives an estimated 27% of its revenue from AI. This strategic shift allows miners to leverage existing computational resources for additional revenue streams, mitigating the impact of reduced mining rewards.
Core Core Scientific 等公司已经扩展了基础设施以支持人工智能工作负载,而 Bit Digital 目前估计 27% 的收入来自人工智能。这一战略转变使矿工能够利用现有的计算资源来获得额外的收入来源,从而减轻采矿奖励减少的影响。
According to Compass Mining, this move into AI and high-performance computing represents a new business model for miners seeking diversification.
Compass Mining 表示,进军人工智能和高性能计算领域为寻求多元化的矿商提供了一种新的商业模式。
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