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由於 2,100 萬比特幣供應總量中的 94% 已被開採,一些人對數位資產的長期生存能力感到擔憂。
Despite concerns, data suggests the Bitcoin network will remain sustainable even after the last coin is mined, thanks to evolving strategies by miners, increased transaction fees, and broader adoption of the cryptocurrency.
儘管存在擔憂,但數據表明,即使最後一枚硬幣被開採出來,比特幣網路也將保持可持續發展,這要歸功於礦工不斷發展的策略、交易費用的增加以及加密貨幣的更廣泛採用。
With 94% of the total 21 million bitcoin supply already mined, some have expressed doubts about the long-term viability of the digital asset. However, several factors indicate that the Bitcoin ecosystem will adapt and continue to thrive.
由於 2,100 萬比特幣供應總量中的 94% 已被開採,一些人對這種數位資產的長期生存能力表示懷疑。然而,有幾個因素表明比特幣生態系統將適應並繼續蓬勃發展。
The halving schedule plays a crucial role in the timeline for mining all bitcoins. During the epoch starting in 2032, more than 99% of the bitcoin supply will have been issued. The final 1% of bitcoins will take more than 100 years to mine due to the halving mechanism.
減半時間表在開採所有比特幣的時間表中起著至關重要的作用。在 2032 年開始的時期內,超過 99% 的比特幣供應量將已發行。由於減半機制,最後1%的比特幣將需要100多年的時間才能開採出來。
As mining rewards diminish, transaction fees are set to become the primary revenue source for miners. After all bitcoins are mined, miners will rely on transaction fees to validate and secure the network. On April 20, 2024, transaction fees peaked at 1,257.71 BTC, accounting for over 75% of miner revenue that day.
隨著挖礦獎勵減少,交易費將成為礦工主要的收入來源。所有比特幣被開採後,礦工將依靠交易費用來驗證和保護網路。 2024 年 4 月 20 日,交易費用達到高峰 1,257.71 BTC,佔當天礦工收入的 75% 以上。
Similarly, transaction fees surpassed block rewards for the first time, reaching $80.74 million in a single day due to memecoin mania and the launch of the Runes protocol.
同樣,由於 memecoin 狂熱和 Runes 協議的推出,交易費用首次超過了區塊獎勵,單日達到 8074 萬美元。
This surge highlights the potential of transaction fees to sustain mining operations when block rewards cease. The integration of new protocols, such as Runes, Ordinals, and a growing number of meta layers, have at times boosted network activity and congestion, leading to increased transaction fees and miner revenue
這種激增凸顯了當區塊獎勵停止時交易費用維持挖礦業務的潛力。新協議(如符文、序數和越來越多的元層)的整合有時會增加網路活動和擁塞,導致交易費用和礦工收入增加
Moreover, bitcoin's underlying blockchain technology offers opportunities beyond peer-to-peer transactions.
此外,比特幣的底層區塊鏈技術提供了點對點交易以外的機會。
Jason Lowery, author of "SoftWar," has proposed the formation of a "US Hash Force," suggesting bitcoin's underlying technology could be leveraged by the U.S. military to defend the increasingly important digital world. The U.S. Hash Force would be a new component of the military, focused on leveraging Bitcoin's Proof-of-Work consensus mechanism for national security purposes.
《SoftWar》一書的作者傑森·洛厄裡 (Jason Lowery) 提議組建“美國哈希力量”,暗示美國軍方可以利用比特幣的底層技術來保衛日益重要的數位世界。美國算力部隊將成為軍隊的一個新組成部分,專注於利用比特幣的工作量證明共識機制來實現國家安全目的。
He sees Bitcoin as a potential power projection protocol that could be used worldwide for various applications beyond finance. Lowery theorizes that Bitcoin's PoW mechanism could transform cybersecurity, providing a new way of achieving secure computing on a global scale.
他認為比特幣是一種潛在的電力投射協議,可以在全球範圍內用於金融以外的各種應用。 Lowery 認為,比特幣的 PoW 機制可以改變網路安全,提供一種在全球範圍內實現安全運算的新方法。
Nation-states are already embracing bitcoin for monetary and trade purposes. Seven nations, including Ethiopia, Kenya, and Argentina, are now mining bitcoin with direct government support. Russia has piloted cross-border trade denominated in cryptocurrency.
民族國家已經出於貨幣和貿易目的而接受比特幣。包括埃塞俄比亞、肯亞和阿根廷在內的七個國家目前正在政府的直接支持下開採比特幣。俄羅斯已試行加密貨幣計價的跨境貿易。
This governmental adoption signals confidence in bitcoin's stability and potential as a global reserve asset, possibly contributing to global de-dollarization efforts.
政府的這項採用標誌著人們對比特幣作為全球儲備資產的穩定性和潛力的信心,可能有助於全球去美元化的努力。
However, U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis believes that adopting bitcoin could help the the dollar maintain financial sovereignty and global influence.
然而,美國參議員辛西婭·盧米斯認為,採用比特幣可以幫助美元維護金融主權和全球影響力。
Senator Lummis introduced the Boosting Innovation, Technology and Competitiveness through Optimized Investment Nationwide Act in the U.S. Senate. This legislation aims to create a strategic Bitcoin reserve to bolster the dollar and pay down the national debt.
盧米斯參議員在美國參議院介紹了《透過全國優化投資促進創新、技術和競爭力法案》。這項立法旨在建立戰略性比特幣儲備,以提振美元並償還國家債務。
Bitcoin Diversification And Renewable Energy
比特幣多元化和再生能源
The adoption of renewable energy sources is another significant trend among miners. The Bitcoin Mining Council reported that its members use electricity with a sustainable power mix of 63.1%, contributing to a global mining industry's sustainable electricity mix of 59.9%.
採用再生能源是礦工的另一個重要趨勢。比特幣礦業委員會報告稱,其成員使用的電力中可持續電力組合為 63.1%,為全球採礦業的可持續電力組合貢獻了 59.9%。
This shift reduces operational costs and also addresses environmental concerns. Miners are increasingly exploring renewable energy sources like hydro and geothermal, enhancing bitcoin's reputation as one of the most sustainable industries worldwide.
這種轉變降低了營運成本並解決了環境問題。礦工們越來越多地探索水力和地熱等再生能源,提高了比特幣作為全球最永續產業之一的聲譽。
Miners are also diversifying into high-performance computing and artificial intelligence data centers.
礦工們也正在向高效能運算和人工智慧資料中心多元化發展。
Companies like Core Core Scientific have expanded their infrastructure to support AI workloads, while Bit Digital now derives an estimated 27% of its revenue from AI. This strategic shift allows miners to leverage existing computational resources for additional revenue streams, mitigating the impact of reduced mining rewards.
Core Core Scientific 等公司已經擴展了基礎設施以支援人工智慧工作負載,而 Bit Digital 目前估計 27% 的收入來自人工智慧。這項策略轉變使礦工能夠利用現有的計算資源來獲得額外的收入來源,從而減輕採礦獎勵減少的影響。
According to Compass Mining, this move into AI and high-performance computing represents a new business model for miners seeking diversification.
Compass Mining 表示,進軍人工智慧和高效能運算領域為尋求多元化的礦商提供了新的商業模式。
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