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10x Research 表示,周二公布的美国数据导致过去三个月第一周价格下跌 10%。
Bitcoin (BTC) encountered selling pressure during the European morning Monday, a move that could be linked to the upcoming U.S. data, which has led to 10% price drops in the first week of the past three months, according to 10x Research.
10x Research 的数据显示,周一欧洲早盘,比特币 (BTC) 遭遇抛售压力,此举可能与即将公布的美国数据有关,导致过去三个月第一周价格下跌 10%。
The world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped nearly 3% on Monday to $63,600, according to CoinDesk. The move breached support of a bullish trendline that marked the rally from the Sept. 6 low of $52,600 to last week's highs around $66,500, data showed.
据 CoinDesk 称,全球最大的加密货币周一下跌近 3%,至 63,600 美元。数据显示,此举突破了看涨趋势线的支撑,该趋势线标志着从 9 月 6 日低点 52,600 美元反弹至上周约 66,500 美元的高点。
Futures tied to the S&P 500 were seen little changed at record highs and the dollar index was flat at 100.30.
与标准普尔 500 指数挂钩的期货几乎没有变化,处于历史高位,美元指数持平于 100.30。
Bitcoin’s pullback could be a typical bull-market move after overbought conditions, 10x Research noted.
10x Research 指出,比特币的回调可能是超买后典型的牛市走势。
“In last week's report, we briefly noted that BTC appears to be overbought in the short term, as reflected by the heightened levels of the Greed & Fear index,” Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, told CoinDesk in a chat. "Current short-term reversal signals have turned bearish, indicating that a pullback is likely over the next few days."
10x Research 创始人马库斯·蒂伦 (Markus Thielen) 在一次聊天中告诉 CoinDesk:“在上周的报告中,我们简要指出,BTC 似乎在短期内超买,正如贪婪与恐惧指数的升高所反映的那样。” “目前的短期反转信号已转为看跌,表明未来几天可能会出现回调。”
Thielen added that since June, the first week of the month – when U.S. ISM Manufacturing data is released – has been characterized by 10% price sell-offs. The latest decline is consistent with that pattern.
Thielen 补充说,自 6 月以来,每月第一周(美国 ISM 制造业数据发布)的特点是价格下跌 10%。最新的下降趋势与这种模式一致。
The September report will be released Tuesday and is expected to show that manufacturing activity continued to contract in the final month of the third quarter, FXStreet reported.
据 FXStreet 报道,9 月报告将于周二发布,预计将显示第三季度最后一个月制造业活动继续萎缩。
“The ISM Manufacturing New Orders data shows forward-looking indicators have fallen to near-recession levels. This makes tomorrow's data highly uncertain—if the reading falls below 48.0, it could prompt another Bitcoin drop, while a higher number might fuel a rally,” Thielen said in a note to clients, maintaining a bullish outlook for the fourth quarter.
“ISM 制造业新订单数据显示前瞻性指标已降至接近衰退的水平。这使得明天的数据高度不确定——如果读数跌破 48.0,可能会促使比特币再次下跌,而更高的数字可能会推动反弹,”蒂伦在给客户的一份报告中表示,他维持了第四季度看涨的前景。
Optimism about the fourth quarter is driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve will announce another 50 basis-point cut in interest rates and China's recent announcement of a large stimulus measure.
对美联储将宣布再次降息50个基点以及中国最近宣布大规模刺激措施的预期推动了对第四季度的乐观情绪。
The market may get a clue about the Fed's plans later Monday, as Powell is set to speak on the economy at the National Association for Business Economics annual meeting in Tennessee.
市场可能会在周一晚些时候获得有关美联储计划的线索,因为鲍威尔将在田纳西州举行的全国商业经济协会年会上就经济发表讲话。
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