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10x Research 表示,週二公佈的美國數據導致過去三個月第一週價格下跌 10%。
Bitcoin (BTC) encountered selling pressure during the European morning Monday, a move that could be linked to the upcoming U.S. data, which has led to 10% price drops in the first week of the past three months, according to 10x Research.
10x Research 的數據顯示,週一歐洲早盤,比特幣 (BTC) 遭遇拋售壓力,此舉可能與即將公佈的美國數據有關,導致過去三個月第一周價格下跌 10%。
The world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped nearly 3% on Monday to $63,600, according to CoinDesk. The move breached support of a bullish trendline that marked the rally from the Sept. 6 low of $52,600 to last week's highs around $66,500, data showed.
據 CoinDesk 稱,全球最大的加密貨幣週一下跌近 3%,至 63,600 美元。數據顯示,此舉突破了看漲趨勢線的支撐,該趨勢線標誌著從 9 月 6 日低點 52,600 美元反彈至上週約 66,500 美元的高點。
Futures tied to the S&P 500 were seen little changed at record highs and the dollar index was flat at 100.30.
與標準普爾 500 指數掛鉤的期貨幾乎沒有變化,處於歷史高位,美元指數持平於 100.30。
Bitcoin’s pullback could be a typical bull-market move after overbought conditions, 10x Research noted.
10x Research 指出,比特幣的回檔可能是超買後典型的多頭趨勢。
“In last week's report, we briefly noted that BTC appears to be overbought in the short term, as reflected by the heightened levels of the Greed & Fear index,” Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, told CoinDesk in a chat. "Current short-term reversal signals have turned bearish, indicating that a pullback is likely over the next few days."
10x Research 創辦人馬庫斯·蒂倫(Markus Thielen) 在一次聊天中告訴CoinDesk:「在上週的報告中,我們簡要指出,BTC 似乎在短期內超買,正如貪婪與恐懼指數的升高所反映的那樣。 “目前的短期反轉訊號已轉為看跌,表明未來幾天可能會出現回調。”
Thielen added that since June, the first week of the month – when U.S. ISM Manufacturing data is released – has been characterized by 10% price sell-offs. The latest decline is consistent with that pattern.
Thielen 補充說,自 6 月以來,每月第一週(美國 ISM 製造業數據發布)的特點是價格下跌 10%。最新的下降趨勢與這種模式一致。
The September report will be released Tuesday and is expected to show that manufacturing activity continued to contract in the final month of the third quarter, FXStreet reported.
根據 FXStreet 報導,9 月報告將於週二發布,預計將顯示第三季最後一個月製造業活動持續萎縮。
“The ISM Manufacturing New Orders data shows forward-looking indicators have fallen to near-recession levels. This makes tomorrow's data highly uncertain—if the reading falls below 48.0, it could prompt another Bitcoin drop, while a higher number might fuel a rally,” Thielen said in a note to clients, maintaining a bullish outlook for the fourth quarter.
「ISM 製造業新訂單數據顯示前瞻性指標已降至接近衰退的水平。這使得明天的數據高度不確定——如果讀數跌破48.0,可能會促使比特幣再次下跌,而更高的數字可能會推動反彈,」蒂倫在給客戶的報告中表示,他維持了第四季看漲的前景。
Optimism about the fourth quarter is driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve will announce another 50 basis-point cut in interest rates and China's recent announcement of a large stimulus measure.
對聯準會將宣布再次降息50個基點以及中國最近宣布大規模刺激措施的預期推動了對第四季的樂觀情緒。
The market may get a clue about the Fed's plans later Monday, as Powell is set to speak on the economy at the National Association for Business Economics annual meeting in Tennessee.
市場可能會在周一晚些時候獲得有關聯準會計劃的線索,因為鮑威爾將在田納西州舉行的全國商業經濟協會年會上就經濟發表講話。
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