遵循历史上升轨迹，比特币能否达到 16 万美元？

加密货币专家 Dave the Wave 预测，比特币在当前市场周期中可能会超过 160,000 美元，并指出其可能出现类似于 2020 年反弹的抛物线飙升。他的这一结论基于他的对数增长通道（LGC）分析，该分析表明比特币正在反映其 2020 年突破上升通道进入上升冲动的模式。

Could $160,000 Be within Bitcoin's Ascending Trajectory?

160,000 美元是否在比特币的上涨轨迹之内？

A noted crypto strategist posits that Bitcoin could soar beyond $160,000 in the current bull market, provided its prevailing market structure remains intact.

一位著名的加密货币策略师认为，只要当前的市场结构保持不变，比特币在当前的牛市中可能会飙升至 16 万美元以上。

An Eerie Echo of 2020?

2020 年的怪异回声？

Pseudonymous analyst Dave the Wave, with a sizeable following on X, observes that Bitcoin's price action bears remarkable resemblance to its behavior in 2020. Specifically, he highlights how the cryptocurrency broke out of an ascending channel into a parabolic surge, leading to a 154% gain.

在 X 上拥有大量追随者的化名分析师 Dave the Wave 观察到，比特币的价格走势与 2020 年的表现非常相似。具体来说，他强调了加密货币如何突破上升通道，进入抛物线飙升，导致 154% 的涨幅获得。

Parabolic or Parsimonious?

抛物线还是简约？

Dave the Wave believes that a $160,000 target, in the event of a sustained parabolic ascent, is conservative when compared to the 2020 scenario.

Dave the Wave 认为，如果出现持续的抛物线上涨，与 2020 年的情况相比，160,000 美元的目标是保守的。

Logarithmic Lenses on Market Cycles

市场周期的对数透镜

The trader utilizes logarithmic growth channels (LGC) to discern market cycle turning points, filtering out transient volatility and noise. His analysis suggests that Bitcoin's price pattern mirrors that of 2020, potentially setting the stage for a similar surge.

交易者利用对数增长通道（LGC）来识别市场周期转折点，过滤掉瞬态波动和噪音。他的分析表明，比特币的价格模式与 2020 年相似，可能为类似的飙升奠定基础。

Halving History Repeating?

减半历史重演？

Another pseudonymous crypto commentator, Rekt Capital, draws parallels between Bitcoin's current cycle and its trajectory towards the April halving event, when miners' rewards are halved.

另一位匿名加密货币评论员 Rekt Capital 将比特币当前的周期与四月份减半事件的轨迹进行了类比，当时矿工的奖励减半。

Pre-Halving Consolidation: A Familiar Pattern?

减半前的盘整：熟悉的模式吗？

Rekt Capital anticipates that Bitcoin may consolidate in the upper $60,000 range leading up to the halving, followed by a breakout echoing the 2020-2021 cycle.

Rekt Capital 预计，在减半之前，比特币可能会在 60,000 美元的区间内盘整，然后出现与 2020-2021 年周期相呼应的突破。

Technical Alignment or Fractured Fibrillation?

技术调整还是断裂颤动？

Rekt Capital underscores the importance of Bitcoin's ability to establish support above its previous all-time high of ~$69,000. Failure to do so could lead to an extended consolidation within the pre-halving window.

Rekt Capital 强调了比特币在其之前的历史高点（约 69,000 美元）上方建立支撑的能力的重要性。如果不这样做，可能会导致减半前窗口内的长期盘整。

Status Quo: Navigating Near-Term Fluctuations

现状：应对近期波动

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $69,847, showing marginal declines over the past 24 hours.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 69,847 美元，在过去 24 小时内出现小幅下跌。