遵循歷史上升軌跡，比特幣能否達到 16 萬美元？

加密貨幣專家 Dave the Wave 預測，比特幣在當前市場週期中可能會超過 16 萬美元，並指出其可能出現類似於 2020 年反彈的拋物線飆升。他的這一結論是基於他的對數成長通道（LGC）分析，該分析表明比特幣正在反映其 2020 年突破上升通道進入上升衝動的模式。

Could $160,000 Be within Bitcoin's Ascending Trajectory?

16 萬美元是否在比特幣的上漲軌跡之內？

A noted crypto strategist posits that Bitcoin could soar beyond $160,000 in the current bull market, provided its prevailing market structure remains intact.

一位著名的加密貨幣策略師認為，只要當前的市場結構保持不變，比特幣在當前的牛市中可能會飆升至 16 萬美元以上。

An Eerie Echo of 2020?

2020 年的怪異迴聲？

Pseudonymous analyst Dave the Wave, with a sizeable following on X, observes that Bitcoin's price action bears remarkable resemblance to its behavior in 2020. Specifically, he highlights how the cryptocurrency broke out of an ascending channel into a parabolic surge, leading to a 154% gain.

在X 上擁有大量追隨者的化名分析師Dave the Wave 觀察到，比特幣的價格走勢與2020 年的表現非常相似。具體來說，他強調了加密貨幣如何突破上升通道，進入拋物線飆升，導致154 % 的漲幅獲得。

Parabolic or Parsimonious?

拋物線還是簡約？

Dave the Wave believes that a $160,000 target, in the event of a sustained parabolic ascent, is conservative when compared to the 2020 scenario.

Dave the Wave 認為，如果出現持續的拋物線上漲，與 2020 年的情況相比，16 萬美元的目標是保守的。

Logarithmic Lenses on Market Cycles

市場週期的對數透鏡

The trader utilizes logarithmic growth channels (LGC) to discern market cycle turning points, filtering out transient volatility and noise. His analysis suggests that Bitcoin's price pattern mirrors that of 2020, potentially setting the stage for a similar surge.

交易者利用對數成長通道（LGC）來識別市場週期轉折點，過濾掉瞬態波動和噪音。他的分析表明，比特幣的價格模式與 2020 年相似，可能為類似的飆升奠定基礎。

Halving History Repeating?

減半歷史重演？

Another pseudonymous crypto commentator, Rekt Capital, draws parallels between Bitcoin's current cycle and its trajectory towards the April halving event, when miners' rewards are halved.

另一位匿名加密貨幣評論員 Rekt Capital 將比特幣當前的周期與四月份減半事件的軌跡進行了類比，當時礦工的獎勵減半。

Pre-Halving Consolidation: A Familiar Pattern?

減半前的盤整：熟悉的模式嗎？

Rekt Capital anticipates that Bitcoin may consolidate in the upper $60,000 range leading up to the halving, followed by a breakout echoing the 2020-2021 cycle.

Rekt Capital 預計，在減半之前，比特幣可能會在 60,000 美元的區間內盤整，然後出現與 2020-2021 年周期相呼應的突破。

Technical Alignment or Fractured Fibrillation?

技術調整還是斷裂顫動？

Rekt Capital underscores the importance of Bitcoin's ability to establish support above its previous all-time high of ~$69,000. Failure to do so could lead to an extended consolidation within the pre-halving window.

Rekt Capital 強調了比特幣在其先前的歷史高點（約 69,000 美元）上方建立支撐的能力的重要性。如果不這樣做，可能會導致減半前視窗內的長期盤整。

Status Quo: Navigating Near-Term Fluctuations

現況：應對近期波動

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $69,847, showing marginal declines over the past 24 hours.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 69,847 美元，在過去 24 小時內出現小幅下跌。