Marathon Digital (MARA) 首席执行官 Fred Thiel 对 2025 年比特币价格预测极其乐观

最大的比特币矿商 Marathon Digital (MARA) 的首席执行官 Fred Thiel 建议每月投资一点比特币。

The CEO of Marathon Digital (NASDAQ:MARA), Fred Thiel, suggests investing a small amount in Bitcoin every month.

Marathon Digital（纳斯达克股票代码：MARA）首席执行官 Fred Thiel 建议每月投资少量比特币。

In the latest interview with Fox Business, Thiel shared an extremely bullish and optimistic 2025 for the largest cryptocurrency.

在福克斯商业频道的最新采访中，蒂尔对 2025 年最大的加密货币表示了极其乐观和乐观的看法。

Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2025 Is Extremely Bullish

2025 年比特币价格预测极其乐观

Although the MARA CEO didn’t give a specific price point for Bitcoin, he said that the regulatory trajectory only points toward growth for BTC. Thiel mentions the potential scarcity of BTC supply in the current market and how this increasing demand could drive prices further up in 2025.

尽管MARA首席执行官没有给出比特币的具体价格点，但他表示监管轨迹仅指向比特币的增长。 Thiel 提到了当前市场上 BTC 供应的潜在稀缺性，以及这种不断增长的需求将如何推动 2025 年价格进一步上涨。

“We are very optimistic about this year. If the strategic Bitcoin reserves happen, lots of other countries will follow suit. Which means somebody has to acquire that Bitcoin from somewhere, because the little amount of Bitcoin that is mined every month, will not be enough. So, you’re going to see price increases there,” said Thiel.

“我们对今年非常乐观。如果比特币战略储备出现，许多其他国家也会效仿。这意味着有人必须从某个地方获取比特币，因为每月开采的少量比特币是不够的。所以，你会看到那里的价格上涨，”蒂尔说。

Bitcoin’s supply shock has been a key indicator of its bullish cycle over the years. The number of BTC available over the counter (OTC) is notably low, and it has been so throughout the past year.

多年来，比特币的供应冲击一直是其看涨周期的关键指标。场外交易（OTC）可用的 BTC 数量明显较低，过去一年一直如此。

When demand goes up, this supply shock sees Bitcoin hit new heights. The same pattern occurred earlier in 2024, after the SEC’s approval of 12 Bitcoin ETFs, which saw institutional demand rally.

当需求上升时，这种供应冲击会让比特币达到新的高度。 2024 年早些时候，美国证券交易委员会批准 12 只比特币 ETF 后，机构需求出现反弹，也出现了同样的情况。

So, if the multiple Bitcoin reserves plan goes ahead in 2025, it could create a similar, if not bigger, supply shock. In the past two months, several countries, including major economies such as Russia and Switzerland, have already considered a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

因此，如果多重比特币储备计划在 2025 年继续实施，可能会造成类似（甚至更大）的供应冲击。过去两个月，包括俄罗斯和瑞士等主要经济体在内的多个国家已经考虑建立比特币战略储备。

Investing in BTC Every Month

每月投资比特币

While several advocates of BTC investments have recently emerged, Thiel’s recommendation is definitely the most unorthodox. The MARA CEO suggests that everyone invest small amounts every month in the largest cryptocurrency for long-term cumulative gains.

虽然最近出现了一些比特币投资的倡导者，但蒂尔的建议绝对是最非正统的。 MARA 首席执行官建议每个人每月在最大的加密货币上进行少量投资，以获得长期累积收益。

However, this suggestion is grounded in statistical significance.

然而，这一建议是有统计意义的。

“If you look at the past 14 years, Bitcoin has only been down 3 years. Over any period, you can look at Bitcoin and it’s gone up on average between 29% to 50% a year easily. So, my recommendation is to just put a little bit away every month in BTC and forget about it. Just watch,” said Thiel.

“如果你看看过去 14 年，比特币只下跌了 3 年。在任何时期，你都可以看看比特币，它的平均每年涨幅在 29% 到 50% 之间。所以，我的建议是每个月存一点比特币，然后就忘记它了。就看吧，”蒂尔说。

Overall, the Marathon Digital CEO is extremely optimistic about Bitcoin’s expanding institutional adoption in 2025. He referred to the earlier news of banking giant Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) potentially expanding to crypto and said that more banks will likely follow suit in 2025.

总体而言，Marathon Digital 首席执行官对比特币在 2025 年扩大机构采用极为乐观。他提到了银行业巨头摩根士丹利 (NYSE:MS) 可能扩展到加密货币领域的早些时候的消息，并表示更多的银行可能会在 2025 年效仿。

Also, Thiel acknowledged the impact of BlackRock’s (NYSE:BLK) CEO Larry Fink and the company’s Bitcoin ETF IBIT on the asset’s institutional adoption in 2024. Back in November, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF surpassed its gold ETF in less than a year of launch.

此外，泰尔还承认贝莱德 (NYSE:BLK) 首席执行官拉里·芬克 (Larry Fink) 和该公司的比特币 ETF IBIT 对 2024 年机构采用该资产的影响。早在 11 月，贝莱德的比特币 ETF 在推出不到一年的时间里就超过了其黄金 ETF。

“The fact that somebody with Lary’s credibility comes out and endorses Bitcoin, and was willing to go toe to toe with Gensler and the SEC was a huge win,” Thiel said.

“事实上，像拉里这样可信的人站出来支持比特币，并愿意与 Gensler 和 SEC 正面交锋，这是一个巨大的胜利，”蒂尔说。

Thiel also suggested that Trump’s administration and his first-ever presidential crypto council will likely deliver several major developments for the industry in the first few months of operations.

蒂尔还表示，特朗普政府和他的首个总统加密货币委员会可能会在运营的头几个月为该行业带来几项重大进展。

However, Thiel refrained from commenting on whether the president-elect invited him to join the council.

不过，蒂尔没有就当选总统是否邀请他加入该委员会发表评论。