Marathon Digital (MARA) 執行長 Fred Thiel 對 2025 年比特幣價格預測極為樂觀

最大的比特幣礦商 Marathon Digital (MARA) 的執行長 Fred Thiel 建議每月投資一點比特幣。

The CEO of Marathon Digital (NASDAQ:MARA), Fred Thiel, suggests investing a small amount in Bitcoin every month.

Marathon Digital（納斯達克股票代碼：MARA）執行長 Fred Thiel 建議每月投資少量比特幣。

In the latest interview with Fox Business, Thiel shared an extremely bullish and optimistic 2025 for the largest cryptocurrency.

在福克斯商業頻道的最新採訪中，蒂爾對 2025 年最大的加密貨幣表示了極其樂觀和樂觀的看法。

Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2025 Is Extremely Bullish

2025 年比特幣價格預測極為樂觀

Although the MARA CEO didn’t give a specific price point for Bitcoin, he said that the regulatory trajectory only points toward growth for BTC. Thiel mentions the potential scarcity of BTC supply in the current market and how this increasing demand could drive prices further up in 2025.

儘管MARA執行長沒有給出比特幣的具體價格點，但他表示監管軌跡僅指向比特幣的成長。 Thiel 提到了目前市場上 BTC 供應的潛在稀缺性，以及這種不斷增長的需求將如何推動 2025 年價格進一步上漲。

“We are very optimistic about this year. If the strategic Bitcoin reserves happen, lots of other countries will follow suit. Which means somebody has to acquire that Bitcoin from somewhere, because the little amount of Bitcoin that is mined every month, will not be enough. So, you’re going to see price increases there,” said Thiel.

“我們對今年非常樂觀。如果比特幣戰略儲備出現，許多其他國家也會跟進。這意味著有人必須從某個地方獲取比特幣，因為每月開採的少量比特幣是不夠的。所以，你會看到那裡的價格上漲，」蒂爾說。

Bitcoin’s supply shock has been a key indicator of its bullish cycle over the years. The number of BTC available over the counter (OTC) is notably low, and it has been so throughout the past year.

多年來，比特幣的供應衝擊一直是其看漲週期的關鍵指標。場外交易（OTC）可用的 BTC 數量明顯較低，過去一年一直如此。

When demand goes up, this supply shock sees Bitcoin hit new heights. The same pattern occurred earlier in 2024, after the SEC’s approval of 12 Bitcoin ETFs, which saw institutional demand rally.

當需求上升時，這種供應衝擊會讓比特幣達到新的高度。 2024 年早些時候，美國證券交易委員會批准 12 隻比特幣 ETF 後，機構需求出現反彈，也出現了同樣的情況。

So, if the multiple Bitcoin reserves plan goes ahead in 2025, it could create a similar, if not bigger, supply shock. In the past two months, several countries, including major economies such as Russia and Switzerland, have already considered a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

因此，如果多重比特幣儲備計畫在 2025 年繼續實施，可能會造成類似（甚至更大）的供應衝擊。過去兩個月，包括俄羅斯和瑞士等主要經濟體在內的多個國家已經考慮建立比特幣戰略儲備。

Investing in BTC Every Month

每月投資比特幣

While several advocates of BTC investments have recently emerged, Thiel’s recommendation is definitely the most unorthodox. The MARA CEO suggests that everyone invest small amounts every month in the largest cryptocurrency for long-term cumulative gains.

雖然最近出現了一些比特幣投資的倡導者，但蒂爾的建議絕對是最非正統的。 MARA 執行長建議每個人每月在最大的加密貨幣上進行少量投資，以獲得長期累積收益。

However, this suggestion is grounded in statistical significance.

然而，這項建議是有統計意義的。

“If you look at the past 14 years, Bitcoin has only been down 3 years. Over any period, you can look at Bitcoin and it’s gone up on average between 29% to 50% a year easily. So, my recommendation is to just put a little bit away every month in BTC and forget about it. Just watch,” said Thiel.

「如果你看看過去 14 年，比特幣只下跌了 3 年。在任何時期，你都可以看看比特幣，它的平均每年漲幅在 29% 到 50% 之間。所以，我的建議是每個月存一點比特幣，然後就忘了它。就看吧，」蒂爾說。

Overall, the Marathon Digital CEO is extremely optimistic about Bitcoin’s expanding institutional adoption in 2025. He referred to the earlier news of banking giant Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) potentially expanding to crypto and said that more banks will likely follow suit in 2025.

總體而言，Marathon Digital 執行長對比特幣在2025 年擴大機構採用極為樂觀。表示更多的銀行可能會在2025 年跟進。

Also, Thiel acknowledged the impact of BlackRock’s (NYSE:BLK) CEO Larry Fink and the company’s Bitcoin ETF IBIT on the asset’s institutional adoption in 2024. Back in November, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF surpassed its gold ETF in less than a year of launch.

此外，泰爾也承認貝萊德(NYSE:BLK) 執行長拉里·芬克(Larry Fink) 和該公司的比特幣ETF IBIT 對2024 年機構採用該資產的影響。萊德的比特幣ETF 在推出不到一年的時間內就超過了其黃金ETF。

“The fact that somebody with Lary’s credibility comes out and endorses Bitcoin, and was willing to go toe to toe with Gensler and the SEC was a huge win,” Thiel said.

「事實上，像拉里這樣可信的人站出來支持比特幣，並願意與 Gensler 和 SEC 正面交鋒，這是一個巨大的勝利，」蒂爾說。

Thiel also suggested that Trump’s administration and his first-ever presidential crypto council will likely deliver several major developments for the industry in the first few months of operations.

蒂爾還表示，川普政府和他的首個總統加密貨幣委員會可能會在營運的頭幾個月為該行業帶來幾項重大進展。

However, Thiel refrained from commenting on whether the president-elect invited him to join the council.

不過，蒂爾並沒有就當選總統是否邀請他加入委員會發表評論。