比特币价格预测：特朗普宣誓就职前比特币会达到 10 万美元吗？

比特币价格在特朗普当选后几天内上涨了 32% 以上，周三飙升至历史新高。

The Bitcoin price hit a new all-time high on Wednesday, continuing a rally that began following Trump’s election.

比特币价格周三创下历史新高，延续了特朗普当选后开始的涨势。

The BTC/USD pair soared to highs of $71,344 during the early hours of Wednesday morning, marking the first time that the apex cryptocurrency has traded above the $70,000 level.

BTC/USD 货币对在周三凌晨飙升至 71,344 美元的高位，标志着这种顶级加密货币首次突破 70,000 美元的水平。

The new all-time high comes after Bitcoin gained more than 32% in the days following Trump’s election victory, fuelled by speculation that his administration will be more favourable towards cryptocurrencies.

在特朗普当选胜利后的几天里，由于人们猜测他的政府将更加支持加密货币，比特币价格上涨了 32% 以上，创下了历史新高。

The positive market sentiment began a while back in anticipation that a Trump-led administration would create a conducive environment for crypto to thrive in the U.S.

积极的市场情绪早在不久前就开始出现，因为人们预计特朗普领导的政府将为加密货币在美国蓬勃发展创造有利的环境

Bitcoin gained about 26% between September 6th and November 3rd in the lead up to the U.S. elections.

在美国大选前夕，比特币在 9 月 6 日至 11 月 3 日期间上涨了约 26%。

Overall, Bitcoin is up more than 70% since the start of September, when it fell below $54,000.

总体而言，自 9 月初跌破 54,000 美元以来，比特币已上涨超过 70%。

A similar rally came in earlier in the year when it gained 83% between Jan. 23rd and March 14th, following the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval of Spot Bitcoin ETFs.

今年早些时候也出现过类似的反弹，在美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 批准现货比特币 ETF 后，1 月 23 日至 3 月 14 日期间，比特币上涨了 83%。

That has been one of the few good actions to be taken by the SEC concerning cryptocurrencies, as the U.S. securities regulator led by Gary Gensler continued to wedge war in the industry citing various breaches of securities laws.

这是美国证券交易委员会在加密货币方面采取的为数不多的良好行动之一，因为加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 领导的美国证券监管机构继续以各种违反证券法的行为为由，在该行业中挑起战争。

It is something that the crypto community hopes Trump will change, and one that could impact the Bitcoin price in the coming weeks and months.

这是加密货币社区希望特朗普能够改变的事情，并且可能会在未来几周和几个月内影响比特币价格。

But some believe it won’t even take that long for Bitcoin to hit the $100,000 milestone.

但一些人认为，比特币用不了多久就会达到 10 万美元的里程碑。

So we asked industry experts what they think the chances are for the BTC/USD to reach the magical six-figure valuation by the time Trump is sworn in in January.

因此，我们询问了行业专家，他们认为在特朗普一月份宣誓就职时，比特币/美元估值达到神奇的六位数估值的可能性有多大。

Michael Dunn, President of Bitnomial Exchange who believes Bitcoin will surpass the value of traditional assets such as silver, gold, publicly traded companies, and eventually real estate said it is inevitable that Bitcoin will hit $100,000.

Bitnomial Exchange 总裁迈克尔·邓恩 (Michael Dunn) 相信比特币的价值将超过白银、黄金、上市公司以及最终房地产等传统资产的价值，他表示比特币将不可避免地达到 10 万美元。

“We believe Bitcoin and other digital assets are to become the most liquid and traded commodities in history. The boom in Bitcoin price has been building ever since the halving with the combination of high inflation rates, interest rate decisions, [increased] access via spot ETFs, and expected regulatory clarity post the US election were all catalysts in creating the explosive price action that we’ve seen.”

“我们相信比特币和其他数字资产将成为历史上最具流动性和交易性的商品。自减半以来，比特币价格一直在上涨，高通胀率、利率决策、通过现货 ETF 获得的[增加]以及美国大选后预期的监管清晰度，这些因素综合起来，都是创造爆炸性价格走势的催化剂。我们已经看到了。”

Brian Dixon, CEO of Off the Chain Capital expects other countries to increase their Bitcoin holdings in anticipation that Trump will make Bitcoin a reserver currency.

Off the Chain Capital首席执行官布赖恩·迪克森(Brian Dixon)预计，其他国家将增加比特币持有量，因为预计特朗普将把比特币作为储备货币。

“I believe Bitcoin will surpass $100K before Trump is sworn in because I believe nation-states may be acquiring the asset behind the scenes which could drive price. Nation-state adoption is the next phase of BTC adoption that will create a market dynamic that I don’t think people will understand how quickly things may change.”

“我相信在特朗普宣誓就职之前，比特币将超过 10 万美元，因为我相信民族国家可能会在幕后收购可能推动价格上涨的资产。国家采用是比特币采用的下一阶段，这将创造一种市场动态，我认为人们不会理解事情变化的速度有多快。”

However, not everyone thinks that Bitcoin will simply sail to $100,000 without hitting a few bumps on the way.

然而，并不是所有人都认为比特币会一路飙升至 10 万美元，而不会遇到一些坎坷。

Alan Orwick, Co-Founder of Quai Network says “Predicting Bitcoin’s price trajectory is challenging because it operates at the intersection of technology, finance, and geopolitical factors.”

Quai Network 联合创始人 Alan Orwick 表示：“预测比特币的价格轨迹具有挑战性，因为它是在技术、金融和地缘政治因素的交叉作用下运作的。”

“While reaching $100k is within the realm of possibility, we’d need to see sustained institutional demand, favourable regulatory conditions, and perhaps some economic volatility that might push traditional investors toward Bitcoin as a store of value.”

“虽然达到 10 万美元是有可能的，但我们需要看到持续的机构需求、有利的监管条件，以及可能会推动传统投资者将比特币作为价值储存手段的一些经济波动。”

According to Orwick, Bitcoin’s historical resilience makes it a good store of value, but warns its future hinges on more than just market cycles — “it depends on how it weathers economic and regulatory landscapes in the coming months.”

奥威克表示，比特币的历史弹性使其成为一种良好的价值储存手段，但他警告说，其未来不仅仅取决于市场周期——“这取决于它如何应对未来几个月的经济和监管环境。”

Orwick believes that the Bitcoin price could be affected by how the U.S. approaches crypto regulation. “While strategic Bitcoin reserves and pro-crypto zones could provide long-term economic benefits, the current policy environment remains fragmented and contentious, which dampens both domestic and institutional adoption,” he said.

奥威克认为，比特币价格可能会受到美国加密货币监管方式的影响。他表示：“虽然比特币战略储备和支持加密货币的区域可以提供长期的经济效益，但当前的政策环境仍然分散且存在争议，这抑制了国内和机构的采用。”

Matt Bell, CEO of Turbofish who expects growing interest in Bitcoin from retail investors to continue boosting the BTC/USD price believes “the rally we are seeing is largely connected to the outcome of the US election pointing to a friendly regulatory environment for the crypto industry throughout the upcoming presidential term.”

Turbofish 首席执行官马特·贝尔 (Matt Bell) 预计散户投资者对比特币的兴趣日益浓厚，将继续推高 BTC/USD 价格，他认为“我们看到的反弹很大程度上与美国大选的结果有关，这表明加密货币行业有一个友好的监管环境在即将到来的总统任期内。”

“A $100k price target is possible before the end of the year, but only if new information comes out indicating that the upcoming US administration and Congress will be endorsing or supporting crypto and Bitcoin in a stronger way than they already have.

“年底前有可能将价格目标定为 10 万美元，但前提是有新信息表明即将上任的美国政府和国会将以比现有更强有力的方式认可或支持加密货币和比特币。