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著名比特币分析师 Willy Woo 最近在社交媒体平台 X(前身为 Twitter)上分享了他的见解,预测了比特币即将出现的价格走势。
Prominent Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to share his insights on BTC’s upcoming price movements.
著名比特币分析师 Willy Woo 在社交媒体平台 X(以前称为 Twitter)上分享了他对 BTC 即将到来的价格走势的见解。
According to Woo, Bitcoin is currently entering a phase of unfettered price discovery, having broken into new all-time highs. To predict potential resistance points in this environment, Woo relies on Fibonacci levels and market liquidation data.
Woo 表示,比特币目前正在进入不受限制的价格发现阶段,并已突破历史新高。为了预测这种环境下的潜在阻力点,Woo 依靠斐波那契水平和市场清算数据。
Woo's post comes after Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $88,000, sparking interest among market participants. According to Woo, this marks the first significant price level BTC needs to consolidate around before aiming for higher targets.
Woo 的帖子发布之前,比特币触及 88,000 美元的历史新高,引发了市场参与者的兴趣。 Woo 表示,这标志着 BTC 在瞄准更高目标之前需要巩固的第一个重要价格水平。
The analyst explained that once Bitcoin surpasses its previous all-time highs, it enters a phase where there are no historical resistance levels for traders to anchor their positions. This phase, known as unfettered price discovery, can lead to unpredictable and volatile market movements.
这位分析师解释说,一旦比特币突破之前的历史高点,它就会进入一个没有历史阻力位可供交易者锚定头寸的阶段。这一阶段被称为不受约束的价格发现,可能会导致不可预测且波动的市场走势。
To navigate this period, Woo uses two primary guides:
为了驾驭这一时期,吴使用了两个主要指南:
Woo highlighted that Bitcoin's recent rally to $88,000-$91,000 was anticipated by both local Fibonacci levels and market liquidation metrics. According to his analysis, reaching this range was crucial, as it represented a zone where short sellers were likely to be liquidated, leading to buying pressure from forced liquidations. Woo noted that this process concluded the “compulsory buying” phase driven by short sellers covering their positions.
Woo 强调,比特币最近上涨至 88,000 美元至 91,000 美元是当地斐波那契水平和市场清算指标的预期。根据他的分析,达到这个区间至关重要,因为它代表了卖空者可能被清算的区域,从而导致强制清算带来的买盘压力。吴指出,这一过程结束了由卖空者回补头寸推动的“强制买入”阶段。
With Bitcoin now consolidating around the $88,000-$91,000 level, Woo believes the next major target is $102,000. This projection is derived from a macro Fibonacci analysis, using the previous cycle's high and the current cycle's low to identify the next resistance level. Woo suggested that, as Bitcoin finds stability around the $88,000-$91,000 range, the market could prepare for its next leg up to $102,000.
随着比特币目前在 88,000 美元至 91,000 美元水平附近盘整,Woo 认为下一个主要目标是 102,000 美元。该预测源自宏观斐波那契分析,使用前一个周期的高点和当前周期的低点来确定下一个阻力位。 Woo 表示,随着比特币在 88,000 美元至 91,000 美元区间稳定,市场可能会为下一步升至 102,000 美元做好准备。
However, Woo also acknowledged the potential for price volatility during this consolidation phase. He expects wild swings as Bitcoin establishes a new baseline before making a move towards the $102,000 mark. The key to reaching this target, according to Woo, will be observing where new liquidation clusters form as the market progresses.
然而,Woo 也承认在此整合阶段可能出现价格波动。他预计,随着比特币在迈向 102,000 美元大关之前建立新的基线,比特币将出现剧烈波动。 Woo 表示,实现这一目标的关键是观察随着市场的发展,新的清算集群在哪里形成。
The conversation took an interesting turn when another user, Bill O’Rights (@ajdavault), raised a question regarding the CME gap—a concept familiar to many crypto traders. For context, CME gaps refer to price gaps that occur on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) during off-hours trading. These gaps often become focal points for traders, who anticipate that the market might retrace to “fill” these gaps.
当另一位用户 Bill O'Rights (@ajdavault) 提出有关 CME 缺口的问题时,谈话发生了有趣的转变——这是许多加密货币交易者熟悉的概念。就上下文而言,CME 缺口是指芝加哥商品交易所 (CME) 在非交易时间交易期间出现的价格缺口。这些缺口往往成为交易者关注的焦点,他们预计市场可能会回调以“填补”这些缺口。
In response, Woo suggested that if a CME gap does come into play, it would likely be part of the current consolidation process. He reiterated that the $88,000-$91,000 target serves as a cooling-off phase after the recent surge, hinting that any price retracement related to the CME gap would fit into this broader pattern of consolidation before Bitcoin pushes towards $102,000.
对此,Woo 表示,如果 CME 缺口确实发挥作用,它很可能是当前整合过程的一部分。他重申,88,000 美元至 91,000 美元的目标是近期飙升后的冷静阶段,暗示在比特币推向 102,000 美元之前,与 CME 缺口相关的任何价格回撤都将适应这种更广泛的盘整模式。
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