比特幣價格預測：川普宣誓就職前比特幣會達到 10 萬美元嗎？

比特幣價格在川普當選後幾天內上漲了 32% 以上，週三飆升至歷史新高。

The Bitcoin price hit a new all-time high on Wednesday, continuing a rally that began following Trump’s election.

比特幣價格週三創下歷史新高，延續了川普當選後開始的漲勢。

The BTC/USD pair soared to highs of $71,344 during the early hours of Wednesday morning, marking the first time that the apex cryptocurrency has traded above the $70,000 level.

BTC/USD 貨幣對在周三凌晨飆升至 71,344 美元的高位，標誌著這種頂級加密貨幣首次突破 70,000 美元的水平。

The new all-time high comes after Bitcoin gained more than 32% in the days following Trump’s election victory, fuelled by speculation that his administration will be more favourable towards cryptocurrencies.

在川普當選勝利後的幾天裡，由於人們猜測他的政府將更加支持加密貨幣，比特幣價格上漲了 32% 以上，創下了歷史新高。

The positive market sentiment began a while back in anticipation that a Trump-led administration would create a conducive environment for crypto to thrive in the U.S.

積極的市場情緒早在不久前就開始出現，因為人們預期川普領導的政府將為加密貨幣在美國蓬勃發展創造有利的環境

Bitcoin gained about 26% between September 6th and November 3rd in the lead up to the U.S. elections.

在美國大選前夕，比特幣在 9 月 6 日至 11 月 3 日期間上漲了約 26%。

Overall, Bitcoin is up more than 70% since the start of September, when it fell below $54,000.

總體而言，自 9 月初跌破 54,000 美元以來，比特幣已上漲超過 70%。

A similar rally came in earlier in the year when it gained 83% between Jan. 23rd and March 14th, following the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval of Spot Bitcoin ETFs.

今年稍早也出現類似的反彈，在美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 批准現貨比特幣 ETF 後，1 月 23 日至 3 月 14 日期間，比特幣上漲了 83%。

That has been one of the few good actions to be taken by the SEC concerning cryptocurrencies, as the U.S. securities regulator led by Gary Gensler continued to wedge war in the industry citing various breaches of securities laws.

這是美國證券交易委員會在加密貨幣方面採取的為數不多的良好行動之一，因為加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler) 領導的美國證券監管機構繼續以各種違反證券法的行為為由，在該行業中挑起戰爭。

It is something that the crypto community hopes Trump will change, and one that could impact the Bitcoin price in the coming weeks and months.

這是加密貨幣社群希望川普能夠改變的事情，並可能在未來幾週和幾個月內影響比特幣價格。

But some believe it won’t even take that long for Bitcoin to hit the $100,000 milestone.

但有些人認為，比特幣用不了多久就會達到 10 萬美元的里程碑。

So we asked industry experts what they think the chances are for the BTC/USD to reach the magical six-figure valuation by the time Trump is sworn in in January.

因此，我們詢問了行業專家，他們認為在川普一月份宣誓就職時，比特幣/美元估值達到神奇的六位數估值的可能性有多大。

Michael Dunn, President of Bitnomial Exchange who believes Bitcoin will surpass the value of traditional assets such as silver, gold, publicly traded companies, and eventually real estate said it is inevitable that Bitcoin will hit $100,000.

Bitnomial Exchange 總裁 Michael Dunn 相信比特幣的價值將超過白銀、黃金、上市公司以及最終房地產等傳統資產的價值，他表示比特幣將不可避免地達到 10 萬美元。

“We believe Bitcoin and other digital assets are to become the most liquid and traded commodities in history. The boom in Bitcoin price has been building ever since the halving with the combination of high inflation rates, interest rate decisions, [increased] access via spot ETFs, and expected regulatory clarity post the US election were all catalysts in creating the explosive price action that we’ve seen.”

「我們相信比特幣和其他數位資產將成為歷史上最具流動性和交易性的商品。自減半以來，比特幣價格一直在上漲，高通膨率、利率決策、透過現貨ETF 獲得的[增加]以及美國大選後預期的監管清晰度，這些因素綜合起來，都是創造爆炸性價格走勢的催化劑。

Brian Dixon, CEO of Off the Chain Capital expects other countries to increase their Bitcoin holdings in anticipation that Trump will make Bitcoin a reserver currency.

Off the Chain Capital執行長布萊恩·迪克森(Brian Dixon)預計，其他國家將增加比特幣持有量，因為預計川普將把比特幣作為儲備貨幣。

“I believe Bitcoin will surpass $100K before Trump is sworn in because I believe nation-states may be acquiring the asset behind the scenes which could drive price. Nation-state adoption is the next phase of BTC adoption that will create a market dynamic that I don’t think people will understand how quickly things may change.”

「我相信在川普宣誓就職之前，比特幣將超過 10 萬美元，因為我相信民族國家可能會在幕後收購可能推動價格上漲的資產。國家採用是比特幣採用的下一階段，這將創造一種市場動態，我認為人們不會理解事情變化的速度有多快。

However, not everyone thinks that Bitcoin will simply sail to $100,000 without hitting a few bumps on the way.

然而，並不是所有人都認為比特幣會一路飆升至 10 萬美元，而不會遇到一些坎坷。

Alan Orwick, Co-Founder of Quai Network says “Predicting Bitcoin’s price trajectory is challenging because it operates at the intersection of technology, finance, and geopolitical factors.”

Quai Network 聯合創始人 Alan Orwick 表示：“預測比特幣的價格軌跡具有挑戰性，因為它是在技術、金融和地緣政治因素的交叉作用下運作的。”

“While reaching $100k is within the realm of possibility, we’d need to see sustained institutional demand, favourable regulatory conditions, and perhaps some economic volatility that might push traditional investors toward Bitcoin as a store of value.”

「雖然達到 10 萬美元是有可能的，但我們需要看到持續的機構需求、有利的監管條件，以及可能會推動傳統投資者將比特幣作為價值儲存手段的一些經濟波動。”

According to Orwick, Bitcoin’s historical resilience makes it a good store of value, but warns its future hinges on more than just market cycles — “it depends on how it weathers economic and regulatory landscapes in the coming months.”

奧威克表示，比特幣的歷史彈性使其成為一種良好的價值儲存手段，但他警告說，其未​​來不僅僅取決於市場週期——「這取決於它如何應對未來幾個月的經濟和監管環境。

Orwick believes that the Bitcoin price could be affected by how the U.S. approaches crypto regulation. “While strategic Bitcoin reserves and pro-crypto zones could provide long-term economic benefits, the current policy environment remains fragmented and contentious, which dampens both domestic and institutional adoption,” he said.

奧威克認為，比特幣價格可能會受到美國加密貨幣監管方式的影響。他表示：“雖然比特幣戰略儲備和支持加密貨幣的區域可以提供長期的經濟效益，但當前的政策環境仍然分散且存在爭議，這抑制了國內和機構的採用。”

Matt Bell, CEO of Turbofish who expects growing interest in Bitcoin from retail investors to continue boosting the BTC/USD price believes “the rally we are seeing is largely connected to the outcome of the US election pointing to a friendly regulatory environment for the crypto industry throughout the upcoming presidential term.”

Turbofish 執行長 Matt Bell 預計散戶對比特幣的興趣日益濃厚，將繼續推高BTC/USD 價格，他認為「我們看到的反彈很大程度上與美國大選的結果有關，這表明​​加密貨幣行業有一個友好的監管環境在即將到來的總統任期內。

“A $100k price target is possible before the end of the year, but only if new information comes out indicating that the upcoming US administration and Congress will be endorsing or supporting crypto and Bitcoin in a stronger way than they already have.

「年底前有可能將目標價定為 10 萬美元，但前提是有新資訊表明即將上任的美國政府和國會將以比現有更強有力的方式認可或支持加密貨幣和比特幣。