比特币的下一个重大举措可能会被意外的来源推动：美国国库

比特币的下一个重大举措可能会被一个意外的资料来推动：美国财政部。分析师说，该部门最近的5000亿美元流动性注入

The U.S. Treasury’s massive liquidity injections, recently totaling $500 billion, are a key factor driving Bitcoin’s next major move, according to some analysts.

一些分析师称，美国财政部的大规模流动性注入最近总计5000亿美元，是推动比特币的下一个重大行动的关键因素。

As the government’s spending outpaces revenue, the Treasury is drawing down funds from its General Account (TGA) to keep up with obligations. This action has already boosted market liquidity and could drive the Bitcoin breakout higher.

随着政府的支出超过收入，财政部正在从其一般帐户（TGA）中获取资金，以跟上义务。这一行动已经提高了市场流动性，并可能使比特币突破更高。

According to macroeconomic analyst Tomas, the TGA balance has dropped sharply since February, and further injections are expected by summer.

据宏观经济分析师托马斯（Tomas）称，自2月以来，TGA余额急剧下降，预计将在夏季进行进一步的注射。

As the Treasury ramps up liquidity injections to fund government operations, macroeconomic analyst Tomas says this will likely fuel a surge in risk assets.

随着财政部提高流动性注射以资助政府运营，宏观经济分析师托马斯（Tomas）表示，这可能会促进风险资产的涌入。

With the U.S. reaching the debt ceiling and the need to finance operations, the TGA outflows have contributed more than $500 billion to the overall financial system.

随着美国达到债务上限以及为运营筹集资金的需求，TGA流出为整个金融体系贡献了超过5000亿美元。

This action has raised net liquidity to $6.3 trillion, and such inflows tend to act as a tailwind for risk assets, including Bitcoin.

这一行动将净流动性提高到6.3万亿美元，这种流入往往是包括比特币在内的风险资产的逆风。

Analysts at Seven Eight Nine Point at the Impact of TGA Drawdowns on Speculative Assets

TGA缩水对投机资产的影响，分析师在七个八点处

Past TGA drawdowns in 2022 and 2023 triggered rallies in speculative assets, and with another $100 billion expected by April’s end, market watchers anticipate similar effects.

过去在2022年和2023年的TGA趋势引发了投机资产的集会，预计在四月终结时预计另外1000亿美元，市场观察家预计会产生类似的影响。

Moreover, if liquidity trends continue, the Bitcoin price may have the runway to push past $130,000 as early as Q3 2025.

此外，如果流动性趋势继续下去，比特币价格可能会在第3季度2025年之前将跑道推到130,000美元。

Bitcoin’s Correlation with Global Liquidity

比特币与全球流动性的相关性

The macroeconomic analyst also noted that Bitcoin’s correlation with global liquidity, historically around 83%, makes it a leading indicator of monetary expansion.

这位宏观经济分析师还指出，比特币与全球流动性的相关性（历史上约为83％）使其成为货币扩张的主要指标。

If talks around the debt ceiling extend through Q3, total liquidity could reach new multi-year highs, possibly pushing BTC into fresh price territory.

如果关于债务上限的谈判延伸到第三季度，那么总流动性可能会达到新的多年高点，可能会将BTC推向新的价格领域。

Combined with the possibility of stable interest rates and regulatory clarity, liquidity alone could set the stage for a rally toward $137,000. One scenario sees a bitcoin breakout occurring if these macro forces align at once. Let’s take a look at Bitcoin price predictions to see how these developments impact the price of Bitcoin.

再加上稳定的利率和监管清晰度的可能性，仅流动性就可以为137,000美元的集会奠定基础。一个方案看到，如果这些宏力量立即对齐，则会发生比特币突破。让我们看一下比特币价格预测，以了解这些发展如何影响比特币的价格。

Bitcoin Price Prediction for April 15, 2025

比特币价格预测2025年4月15日

The 1-hour BTC/USDT chart reveals Bitcoin price consolidating between a key support zone at $83,000 and resistance near $86,000. After rebounding from deeper supports around $75,000 and $79,000, the price has entered a sideways range, signaling indecision.

1小时的BTC/USDT图表显示，在关键支撑区为83,000美元的关键支持区与抵抗的比特币价格合并接近86,000美元。从更深层次的支撑大约75,000美元和79,000美元的篮板后，价格进入了侧向范围，信号犹豫不决。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 51, reflecting neutral momentum, with no immediate overbought or oversold conditions, unlike earlier signals where RSI extremes accurately preceded reversals.

相对强度指数（RSI）为51，反映了中性动量，没有立即过多的或超售的条件，这与早期的信号不同的是RSI极端的准确逆转。

The MACD indicator shows multiple recent death crosses (April 11 and 13), suggesting weakening bullish momentum. A flat histogram further indicates a lack of strong trend direction.

MACD指标显示了最近的多个死亡十字架（4月11日和13日），表明看涨势头减弱。平坦的直方图进一步表明缺乏强大的趋势方向。

Chart 1: Analysed by vallijat007, published on TradingView, April 15, 2025

图1：由Vallijat007分析，于2025年4月15日在TradingView上发布

For bulls to reclaim control, a decisive breakout above $86,000 is essential. Failure to hold above $83,000 could open the door to a retest of lower support zones.

要使公牛收回控制权，必须进行86,000美元以上的决定性突破。如果不持有83,000美元以上的价格，则可以为重新支撑较低的支撑区域打开大门。

Overall, while the structure remains bullish with higher lows, the waning momentum and absence of whale-driven buying suggest caution. The market is waiting for a clear catalyst to define the next move, which could come from an unexpected source.

总体而言，尽管该结构仍然以更高的低点为单位，但逐渐减弱的动力和缺乏鲸鱼驱动的购买表明要谨慎。市场正在等待明确的催化剂来定义下一步行动，这可能来自意外的来源。

What to Watch Next

接下来要看什么

The Bitcoin price path to $137K hinges on more than just charts; it’s about liquidity. If the U.S. Treasury continues draining the TGA and injecting billions into the system, the crypto market could see another major leg up. But near-term momentum remains muted, with BTC stuck in a consolidation zone.

比特币的价格路径达到13.7万美元，不仅仅是图表。这是关于流动性。如果美国财政部继续排出TGA并将数十亿美元注入系统，则加密货币市场可能会看到另一个主要的领域。但是，近期动量仍然静音，BTC粘在合并区。

Key resistance at $86K must break for bulls to regain control. Until then, liquidity flows, macro clarity, and large-scale buyer activity will dictate whether Bitcoin’s next move is explosive or delayed. Fresh crypto news around Treasury policy or rate decisions could serve as a catalyst for movement.

$ 86K的关键阻力必须打破公牛重新控制。在此之前，流动性流动，宏观清晰度和大规模买家活动将决定比特币的下一步行动是爆炸性的还是延迟的。围绕财政部政策或费率决策的新鲜加密新闻可以作为运动的催化剂。