比特币（BTC）价格和期货市场情绪已脱钩

该指数从2024年11月至2025年2月收缩，而比特币上涨了100,000美元。

CryptoQuant data has revealed a lack of correlation between Bitcoin’s price and sentiment in the futures market in recent days.

加密数据显示，最近几天，比特币的价格和情感之间缺乏相关性。

The futures sentiment index, which tracks the relative optimism or pessimism of leveraged traders in the derivatives market, has remained contracted. This index contracted from November 2024 to February 2025, while Bitcoin rose above $100,000.

未来的情感指数跟踪衍生品市场中杠杆交易者的相对乐观或悲观情绪，但仍然签约。该指数从2024年11月至2025年2月收缩，而比特币上涨了100,000美元。

Image: CryptoQuant

图像：加密

The indicator rose to a high level and then started to decline to demonstrate that futures trading is showing initial signs of indecisiveness.

该指标上升到很高的水平，然后开始下降，以证明期货交易显示出了优柔寡断的最初迹象。

"The chart shows that while Bitcoin reached significant highs, futures sentiment weakened, which can be a signal of potential retracement or at least a lack of strong bullish conviction."

“图表显示，尽管比特币达到了显着的高潮，但期货情绪却削弱了，这可能是潜在回溯或至少缺乏强烈的看涨信念的信号。”

Since February 2025, the sentiment has declined while keeping the BTC price in the $70,000 to $80,000 range. The chart shows that the index is coming back to its long-term support in the area of 0.4.

自2025年2月以来，这种情绪下降了，同时将BTC价格保持在70,000美元至80,000美元之间。该图表显示该指数在0.4区域恢复了长期支持。

This weakness in relative sentiment despite robust price rises means that there are likely short-term price corrections ahead.

尽管价格上涨，但这种相对情感的弱点意味着可能会有短期价格纠正。

Futures Sentiment Index Is Still Down

期货情绪指数仍在

The future sentiment index is still down from recent highs and providing a more notably declining line on the chart. Some analysts have attributed this to increased risk aversion or profit-taking among investors. Some other contributors to lower levels of confidence in the derivatives market might be uncertainty in the regulatory environment or macroeconomic tension.

未来的情感指数仍然与最近的高点相比，在图表上提供了更明显的线条。一些分析师将其归因于增加投资者风险厌恶或利润的增加。在监管环境或宏观经济张力中，对降低衍生品市场信心水平较低的其他原因可能是不确定性。

Support and Resistance Levels Offer Sentiment Clues

支持和阻力水平提供情感线索

The sentiment index in the past has remained confined to certain ranges, with resistance around 0.8 and support close to 0.2. Current market values are slightly above the support level, suggesting significantly higher expectations from leveraged traders. These levels have played several roles in the past, primarily serving as lower support before consolidation or even a brief pullback.

过去的情感指数一直限于某些范围，电阻约为0.8，支撑接近0.2。当前的市场价值略高于支持水平，这表明对杠杆交易者的期望明显更高。这些级别过去曾发挥过多种作用，主要是合并之前的较低支持，甚至是短暂的回调。

While Bitcoin has steadily surged over to late 2024, the failure to see this reflected in sentiment indicates a lack of sustainable support by institutional actors in the futures market. The lack of a repeat of buying volumes from this segment limits further upside potential other than a new trigger.

尽管比特币一直稳步飙升至2024年末，但未能在情感中反映出这表明未来市场中的机构参与者缺乏可持续的支持。除了新的触发器之外，还缺乏从该细分市场购买量的重复限制。

The average BTC price has pulled back from its recent high and is in a consolidation zone. The current range extends between $ 70,000 and $ 80,000 based on further weakening sentiment data. This range-bound behavior is an indication that the investors are in a wait-and-see mode and, by large, holders and funds.

BTC的平均价格已从其最近的高位撤回，并且位于合并区。基于进一步削弱的情感数据，目前的范围在70,000美元至80,000美元之间。这种界限的行为表明投资者处于等待模式，而且大型持有人和资金。

Over $168 Million in Bitcoin Leaves Antpool

超过1.68亿美元的比特币离开蚂蚁

This news comes as Antpool, a major Bitcoin mining pool, did a double sale of 2,009 BTC in two successive transactions, amounting to more than 168 million dollars. Whale Alert monitored these transactions, the first batch of some 1,009 BTC to a wallet starting with “3BHXy” and the second of 1,000 BTC to “3EDgaJ.” Neither of these wallets connects to exchanges, leading to speculation as to whether or not the coins will be sold.

这个消息是因为一个主要的比特币开采池Antpool在连续两次交易中进行了2,009 BTC的双重销售，总计超过1.68亿美元。鲸鱼警报监视了这些交易，这是一个以“ 3bhxy”开头的大约1,009 btc到钱包，而1,000 btc的第二批是“ 3edgegaj”。这些钱包都没有连接到交换，导致人们猜测是否将出售硬币。

🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 1,009 #BTC (84,472,716 USD) transferred from #Antpool to unknown wallethttps://t.co/O7nj0NFkDZ

1,009 #BTC（84,472,716 USD）从#antpool转移到未知的Wallethtps：//t.co/o7nj0nfkdz

Such movements from mining pools may cause market alerts because they may indicate that miners are preparing to offload their positions.

采矿池中的这种运动可能会引起市场警报，因为它们可能表明矿工正准备卸载其头寸。

🚨 🚨 برابر 1,000 #BTC (83,511,377 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to #Antpoolhttps://t.co/ObOFOb9X7c

🚨🚨🚨喇叭1,000 #btc（83,511,377 USD）从未知钱包转移到#antpoolhttps：//t.co/obofob9x7c

The timing fuels the concern, given that this is when Bitcoin fails to breach the $84000 various resistance levels. If such a trend persists, traders said there is potential for BTC to come back down to below $70,000. However, if prices break out above $84,000, the opportunity for $90,000 can be considered under strong bulls.

鉴于这是比特币未能违反$ 84000的不同电阻水平的时候，时间安排引起了人们的关注。如果这种趋势持续下去，交易者表示，BTC可能会恢复到70,000美元以下。但是，如果价格超过84,000美元，则可以在坚强的公牛下考虑使用90,000美元的机会。