比特幣（BTC）價格和期貨市場情緒已脫鉤

該指數從2024年11月至2025年2月收縮，而比特幣上漲了100,000美元。

CryptoQuant data has revealed a lack of correlation between Bitcoin’s price and sentiment in the futures market in recent days.

加密數據顯示，最近幾天，比特幣的價格和情感之間缺乏相關性。

The futures sentiment index, which tracks the relative optimism or pessimism of leveraged traders in the derivatives market, has remained contracted. This index contracted from November 2024 to February 2025, while Bitcoin rose above $100,000.

未來的情感指數跟踪衍生品市場中槓桿交易者的相對樂觀或悲觀情緒，但仍然簽約。該指數從2024年11月至2025年2月收縮，而比特幣上漲了100,000美元。

Image: CryptoQuant

圖像：加密

The indicator rose to a high level and then started to decline to demonstrate that futures trading is showing initial signs of indecisiveness.

該指標上升到很高的水平，然後開始下降，以證明期貨交易顯示出了優柔寡斷的最初跡象。

"The chart shows that while Bitcoin reached significant highs, futures sentiment weakened, which can be a signal of potential retracement or at least a lack of strong bullish conviction."

“圖表顯示，儘管比特幣達到了顯著的高潮，但期貨情緒卻削弱了，這可能是潛在回溯或至少缺乏強烈的看漲信念的信號。”

Since February 2025, the sentiment has declined while keeping the BTC price in the $70,000 to $80,000 range. The chart shows that the index is coming back to its long-term support in the area of 0.4.

自2025年2月以來，這種情緒下降了，同時將BTC價格保持在70,000美元至80,000美元之間。該圖表顯示該指數在0.4區域恢復了長期支持。

This weakness in relative sentiment despite robust price rises means that there are likely short-term price corrections ahead.

儘管價格上漲，但這種相對情感的弱點意味著可能會有短期價格糾正。

Futures Sentiment Index Is Still Down

期貨情緒指數仍在

The future sentiment index is still down from recent highs and providing a more notably declining line on the chart. Some analysts have attributed this to increased risk aversion or profit-taking among investors. Some other contributors to lower levels of confidence in the derivatives market might be uncertainty in the regulatory environment or macroeconomic tension.

未來的情感指數仍然與最近的高點相比，在圖表上提供了更明顯的線條。一些分析師將其歸因於增加投資者風險厭惡或利潤的增加。在監管環境或宏觀經濟張力中，對降低衍生品市場信心水平較低的其他原因可能是不確定性。

Support and Resistance Levels Offer Sentiment Clues

支持和阻力水平提供情感線索

The sentiment index in the past has remained confined to certain ranges, with resistance around 0.8 and support close to 0.2. Current market values are slightly above the support level, suggesting significantly higher expectations from leveraged traders. These levels have played several roles in the past, primarily serving as lower support before consolidation or even a brief pullback.

過去的情感指數一直限於某些範圍，電阻約為0.8，支撐接近0.2。當前的市場價值略高於支持水平，這表明對槓桿交易者的期望明顯更高。這些級別過去曾發揮過多種作用，主要是合併之前的較低支持，甚至是短暫的回調。

While Bitcoin has steadily surged over to late 2024, the failure to see this reflected in sentiment indicates a lack of sustainable support by institutional actors in the futures market. The lack of a repeat of buying volumes from this segment limits further upside potential other than a new trigger.

儘管比特幣一直穩步飆升至2024年末，但未能在情感中反映出這表明未來市場中的機構參與者缺乏可持續的支持。除了新的觸發器之外，還缺乏從該細分市場購買量的重複限制。

The average BTC price has pulled back from its recent high and is in a consolidation zone. The current range extends between $ 70,000 and $ 80,000 based on further weakening sentiment data. This range-bound behavior is an indication that the investors are in a wait-and-see mode and, by large, holders and funds.

BTC的平均價格已從其最近的高位撤回，並且位於合併區。基於進一步削弱的情感數據，目前的範圍在70,000美元至80,000美元之間。這種界限的行為表明投資者處於等待模式，而且大型持有人和資金。

Over $168 Million in Bitcoin Leaves Antpool

超過1.68億美元的比特幣離開螞蟻

This news comes as Antpool, a major Bitcoin mining pool, did a double sale of 2,009 BTC in two successive transactions, amounting to more than 168 million dollars. Whale Alert monitored these transactions, the first batch of some 1,009 BTC to a wallet starting with “3BHXy” and the second of 1,000 BTC to “3EDgaJ.” Neither of these wallets connects to exchanges, leading to speculation as to whether or not the coins will be sold.

這個消息是因為一個主要的比特幣開採池Antpool在連續兩次交易中進行了2,009 BTC的雙重銷售，總計超過1.68億美元。鯨魚警報監視了這些交易，這是一個以“ 3bhxy”開頭的大約1,009 btc到錢包，而1,000 btc的第二批是“ 3edgegaj”。這些錢包都沒有連接到交換，導致人們猜測是否將出售硬幣。

🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 1,009 #BTC (84,472,716 USD) transferred from #Antpool to unknown wallethttps://t.co/O7nj0NFkDZ

1,009 #BTC（84,472,716 USD）從#antpool轉移到未知的Wallethtps：//t.co/o7nj0nfkdz

Such movements from mining pools may cause market alerts because they may indicate that miners are preparing to offload their positions.

採礦池中的這種運動可能會引起市場警報，因為它們可能表明礦工正準備卸載其頭寸。

🚨 🚨 برابر 1,000 #BTC (83,511,377 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to #Antpoolhttps://t.co/ObOFOb9X7c

🚨🚨🚨喇叭1,000 #btc（83,511,377 USD）從未知錢包轉移到#antpoolhttps：//t.co/obofob9x7c

The timing fuels the concern, given that this is when Bitcoin fails to breach the $84000 various resistance levels. If such a trend persists, traders said there is potential for BTC to come back down to below $70,000. However, if prices break out above $84,000, the opportunity for $90,000 can be considered under strong bulls.

鑑於這是比特幣未能違反$ 84000的不同電阻水平的時候，時間安排引起了人們的關注。如果這種趨勢持續下去，交易者表示，BTC可能會恢復到70,000美元以下。但是，如果價格超過84,000美元，則可以在堅強的公牛下考慮使用90,000美元的機會。