比特幣的下一個重大舉措可能會被意外的來源推動：美國國庫

比特幣的下一個重大舉措可能會被一個意外的資料來推動：美國財政部。分析師說，該部門最近的5000億美元流動性注入

The U.S. Treasury’s massive liquidity injections, recently totaling $500 billion, are a key factor driving Bitcoin’s next major move, according to some analysts.

一些分析師稱，美國財政部的大規模流動性注入最近總計5000億美元，是推動比特幣的下一個重大行動的關鍵因素。

As the government’s spending outpaces revenue, the Treasury is drawing down funds from its General Account (TGA) to keep up with obligations. This action has already boosted market liquidity and could drive the Bitcoin breakout higher.

隨著政府的支出超過收入，財政部正在從其一般帳戶（TGA）中獲取資金，以跟上義務。這一行動已經提高了市場流動性，並可能使比特幣突破更高。

According to macroeconomic analyst Tomas, the TGA balance has dropped sharply since February, and further injections are expected by summer.

據宏觀經濟分析師托馬斯（Tomas）稱，自2月以來，TGA餘額急劇下降，預計將在夏季進行進一步的注射。

As the Treasury ramps up liquidity injections to fund government operations, macroeconomic analyst Tomas says this will likely fuel a surge in risk assets.

隨著財政部提高流動性注射以資助政府運營，宏觀經濟分析師托馬斯（Tomas）表示，這可能會促進風險資產的湧入。

With the U.S. reaching the debt ceiling and the need to finance operations, the TGA outflows have contributed more than $500 billion to the overall financial system.

隨著美國達到債務上限以及為運營籌集資金的需求，TGA流出為整個金融體系貢獻了超過5000億美元。

This action has raised net liquidity to $6.3 trillion, and such inflows tend to act as a tailwind for risk assets, including Bitcoin.

這一行動將淨流動性提高到6.3萬億美元，這種流入往往是包括比特幣在內的風險資產的逆風。

Analysts at Seven Eight Nine Point at the Impact of TGA Drawdowns on Speculative Assets

TGA縮水對投機資產的影響，分析師在七個八點處

Past TGA drawdowns in 2022 and 2023 triggered rallies in speculative assets, and with another $100 billion expected by April’s end, market watchers anticipate similar effects.

過去在2022年和2023年的TGA趨勢引發了投機資產的集會，預計在四月終結時預計另外1000億美元，市場觀察家預計會產生類似的影響。

Moreover, if liquidity trends continue, the Bitcoin price may have the runway to push past $130,000 as early as Q3 2025.

此外，如果流動性趨勢繼續下去，比特幣價格可能會在第3季度2025年之前將跑道推到130,000美元。

Bitcoin’s Correlation with Global Liquidity

比特幣與全球流動性的相關性

The macroeconomic analyst also noted that Bitcoin’s correlation with global liquidity, historically around 83%, makes it a leading indicator of monetary expansion.

這位宏觀經濟分析師還指出，比特幣與全球流動性的相關性（歷史上約為83％）使其成為貨幣擴張的主要指標。

If talks around the debt ceiling extend through Q3, total liquidity could reach new multi-year highs, possibly pushing BTC into fresh price territory.

如果關於債務上限的談判延伸到第三季度，那麼總流動性可能會達到新的多年高點，可能會將BTC推向新的價格領域。

Combined with the possibility of stable interest rates and regulatory clarity, liquidity alone could set the stage for a rally toward $137,000. One scenario sees a bitcoin breakout occurring if these macro forces align at once. Let’s take a look at Bitcoin price predictions to see how these developments impact the price of Bitcoin.

再加上穩定的利率和監管清晰度的可能性，僅流動性就可以為137,000美元的集會奠定基礎。一個方案看到，如果這些宏力量立即對齊，則會發生比特幣突破。讓我們看一下比特幣價格預測，以了解這些發展如何影響比特幣的價格。

Bitcoin Price Prediction for April 15, 2025

比特幣價格預測2025年4月15日

The 1-hour BTC/USDT chart reveals Bitcoin price consolidating between a key support zone at $83,000 and resistance near $86,000. After rebounding from deeper supports around $75,000 and $79,000, the price has entered a sideways range, signaling indecision.

1小時的BTC/USDT圖表顯示，在關鍵支撐區為83,000美元的關鍵支持區與抵抗的比特幣價格合併接近86,000美元。從更深層次的支撐大約75,000美元和79,000美元的籃板後，價格進入了側向范圍，信號猶豫不決。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 51, reflecting neutral momentum, with no immediate overbought or oversold conditions, unlike earlier signals where RSI extremes accurately preceded reversals.

相對強度指數（RSI）為51，反映了中性動量，沒有立即過多的或超售的條件，這與早期的信號不同的是RSI極端的準確逆轉。

The MACD indicator shows multiple recent death crosses (April 11 and 13), suggesting weakening bullish momentum. A flat histogram further indicates a lack of strong trend direction.

MACD指標顯示了最近的多個死亡十字架（4月11日和13日），表明看漲勢頭減弱。平坦的直方圖進一步表明缺乏強大的趨勢方向。

Chart 1: Analysed by vallijat007, published on TradingView, April 15, 2025

圖1：由Vallijat007分析，於2025年4月15日在TradingView上發布

For bulls to reclaim control, a decisive breakout above $86,000 is essential. Failure to hold above $83,000 could open the door to a retest of lower support zones.

要使公牛收回控制權，必須進行86,000美元以上的決定性突破。如果不持有83,000美元以上的價格，則可以為重新支撐較低的支撐區域打開大門。

Overall, while the structure remains bullish with higher lows, the waning momentum and absence of whale-driven buying suggest caution. The market is waiting for a clear catalyst to define the next move, which could come from an unexpected source.

總體而言，儘管該結構仍然以更高的低點為單位，但逐漸減弱的動力和缺乏鯨魚驅動的購買表明要謹慎。市場正在等待明確的催化劑來定義下一步行動，這可能來自意外的來源。

What to Watch Next

接下來要看什麼

The Bitcoin price path to $137K hinges on more than just charts; it’s about liquidity. If the U.S. Treasury continues draining the TGA and injecting billions into the system, the crypto market could see another major leg up. But near-term momentum remains muted, with BTC stuck in a consolidation zone.

比特幣的價格路徑達到13.7萬美元，不僅僅是圖表。這是關於流動性。如果美國財政部繼續排出TGA並將數十億美元注入系統，則加密貨幣市場可能會看到另一個主要的領域。但是，近期動量仍然靜音，BTC粘在合併區。

Key resistance at $86K must break for bulls to regain control. Until then, liquidity flows, macro clarity, and large-scale buyer activity will dictate whether Bitcoin’s next move is explosive or delayed. Fresh crypto news around Treasury policy or rate decisions could serve as a catalyst for movement.

$ 86K的關鍵阻力必須打破公牛重新控制。在此之前，流動性流動，宏觀清晰度和大規模買家活動將決定比特幣的下一步行動是爆炸性的還是延遲的。圍繞財政部政策或費率決策的新鮮加密新聞可以作為運動的催化劑。