减半前比特币徘徊在 6.5 万美元附近；美联储的立场降低了风险偏好

受 2.9% 小幅上涨的提振，比特币周三徘徊在 64,269.5 美元附近。由于美国利率预期上升，避险情绪挥之不去，令加密货币市场面临压力。即将到来的比特币减半旨在减少新代币的供应，由于交易员预计价格可能上涨，因此引起了人们的关注。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔重申长期较高的利率给加密货币市场蒙上了阴影，而加密货币市场往往在低利率环境下表现更好。

Bitcoin Hovers Near $65K as Halving Event Looms, Fed Stance Dampens Risk Sentiment

随着减半事件临近，比特币徘徊在 6.5 万美元附近，美联储立场抑制风险情绪

The world's largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, has edged slightly higher on Wednesday, continuing to fluctuate within a narrow trading range that has characterized the past month. However, risk sentiment remains fragile as concerns over the Federal Reserve's continued hawkish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions weigh on the market.

全球最大的加密货币比特币周三小幅走高，继续在过去一个月的狭窄交易区间内波动。然而，由于对美联储持续强硬立场的担忧以及持续的地缘政治紧张局势给市场带来压力，风险情绪仍然脆弱。

The strength of the U.S. dollar has been a headwind for cryptocurrency markets in recent sessions, particularly following the release of strong inflation and retail sales data, which have strengthened the Federal Reserve's resolve to maintain elevated interest rates. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments on Tuesday further reinforced this notion, indicating that the central bank is in no rush to begin cutting rates.

最近几个交易日，美元走强一直是加密货币市场的阻力，特别是在强劲的通胀和零售销售数据发布之后，这些数据增强了美联储维持高利率的决心。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二的言论进一步强化了这一观点，表明央行并不急于开始降息。

Amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, the lack of risk appetite has kept traders largely cautious, while the demand for safe-haven assets and expectations of higher interest rates have pushed the dollar to its highest levels in over five months.

在中东地缘政治局势持续紧张的情况下，风险偏好的缺乏使得交易员基本保持谨慎态度，而对避险资产的需求和利率上升的预期则将美元推升至五个多月以来的最高水平。

At the time of writing (01:15 ET), Bitcoin is trading at $64,269.5, having gained approximately 2.9% over the past 24 hours. The token has been trapped in a trough between $60,000 and $70,000 since mid-March, after reaching a record high above $73,000.

截至撰写本文时（美国东部时间 01:15），比特币交易价格为 64,269.5 美元，在过去 24 小时内上涨了约 2.9%。自 3 月中旬以来，该代币在触及 73,000 美元以上的历史高位后，一直陷入 60,000 美元至 70,000 美元之间的低谷。

Bitcoin Halving Event Takes Center Stage

比特币减半事件成为焦点

Attention has now shifted to the upcoming Bitcoin halving event, which is anticipated to occur within the next few days with the generation of block number 840,000 on the Bitcoin blockchain. This event will reduce the rate at which new bitcoins are mined by half and is widely believed to reinforce the argument that the scarcity of the token will drive up its value.

现在注意力已经转移到即将到来的比特币减半事件，预计该事件将在未来几天内发生，并在比特币区块链上生成编号为 840,000 的区块。这一事件将使新比特币的开采速度降低一半，并被广泛认为强化了代币稀缺性将推高其价值的论点。

While traders anticipate the halving to stimulate some gains in Bitcoin, it is worth noting that previous halving events have often resulted in limited near-term price increases.

尽管交易员预计减半将刺激比特币上涨，但值得注意的是，之前的减半事件往往导致近期价格上涨有限。

Fed Chair Powell Reiterates Hawkish Stance

美联储主席鲍威尔重申鹰派立场

In a speech delivered on Tuesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that persistent inflation has made the central bank reluctant to start lowering interest rates. His comments have prompted traders to further scale back their expectations for an interest rate cut in June.

美联储主席鲍威尔在周二发表的讲话中强调，持续的通胀使得央行不愿开始降息。他的言论促使交易员进一步降低了对 6 月份降息的预期。

According to the CME Fedwatch tool, markets now assign a less than 18% probability to a 25 basis point cut in June and an approximately 80% likelihood that the Fed will keep rates unchanged. This represents a significant shift from earlier expectations that a June rate cut was likely.

根据 CME Fedwatch 工具，市场目前认为 6 月份降息 25 个基点的可能性不到 18%，而美联储维持利率不变的可能性约为 80%。这与之前六月份可能降息的预期发生了重大转变。

The prospect of higher interest rates for an extended period bodes poorly for cryptocurrency markets, which generally thrive in a low-rate, high-liquidity environment.

长期利率上升的前景对于加密货币市场来说是一个不好的兆头，因为加密货币市场通常在低利率、高流动性的环境中蓬勃发展。

Altcoins See Modest Gains, But Mood Remains Subdued

山寨币小幅上涨，但市场情绪依然低迷

Broader cryptocurrency prices have also risen on Wednesday, with Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, gaining 2.8% to trade at $3,110.40. Solana has surged by 7%, while XRP has remained relatively flat.

周三，更广泛的加密货币价格也有所上涨，市值第二大加密货币以太坊上涨 2.8%，交易价格为 3,110.40 美元。 Solana 飙升了 7%，而 XRP 则保持相对平稳。

However, all three tokens have recently suffered losses, primarily due to the negative impact of higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates. Market sentiment remains subdued as the geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel continue to escalate, fostering fears of further market volatility.

然而，这三种代币最近都遭受了损失，主要是由于美国利率长期走高的负面影响。由于伊朗和以色列之间的地缘政治紧张局势持续升级，市场情绪依然低迷，引发了对市场进一步波动的担忧。