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Crypto.com 首席执行官 Kris Marszalek 分享了他对比特币即将减半的见解,承认潜在的短期抛售,但对其长期市场影响持乐观态度,并与类似网络更新后的历史价格波动进行了比较。
Bitcoin Halving Looms, Crypto.com CEO Predicts Long-Term Market Boost Despite Short-Term Volatility
比特币减半迫在眉睫,Crypto.com首席执行官预测,尽管短期波动,但长期市场将提振
Singapore, March 29, 2023 - As the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event approaches, Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek anticipates a potential short-term sell-off yet remains optimistic about its long-term impact on the market.
新加坡,2023 年 3 月 29 日 - 随着备受期待的比特币减半事件临近,Crypto.com 首席执行官 Kris Marszalek 预计可能会出现短期抛售,但对其对市场的长期影响仍持乐观态度。
The upcoming halving, scheduled for April 20, will cut the daily supply of newly mined Bitcoins in half, from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This event historically coincides with significant price increases in Bitcoin, according to Marszalek, who believes similar market dynamics may unfold this time around.
即将到来的减半将于 4 月 20 日进行,届时新开采的比特币每日供应量将减少一半,从 6.25 BTC 减少至 3.125 BTC。 Marszalek 表示,从历史上看,这一事件与比特币价格大幅上涨同时发生,他认为这次可能会出现类似的市场动态。
"Historically, we've seen some pretty decent action within the six months following the Bitcoin halving," Marszalek said in an interview with Bloomberg.
马萨莱克在接受彭博社采访时表示:“从历史上看,我们在比特币减半后的六个月内看到了一些相当不错的行动。”
Despite acknowledging the possibility of short-term selling pressure as the halving nears, Marszalek believes that in the long run, the halving will have a "positive development for the market."
尽管承认随着减半的临近,短期内可能会出现抛售压力,但 Marszalek 认为,从长远来看,减半将对市场产生“积极的发展”。
This optimism stems from the historical trend of Bitcoin price increases following halving events. After the first halving in 2012, the price of Bitcoin rose by 8,714% within six months, and after the second halving in 2016, it rose by 2,900%.
这种乐观情绪源于减半事件后比特币价格上涨的历史趋势。 2012年第一次减半后,比特币价格在六个月内上涨了8,714%,2016年第二次减半后,价格上涨了2,900%。
However, it's crucial to note that Bitcoin has recently hit record highs, with its price reaching $73,750 in March. This has raised some uncertainty about whether the halving will lead to the same level of price appreciation as in previous cycles.
然而,值得注意的是,比特币最近创下了历史新高,其价格在 3 月份达到了 73,750 美元。这给减半是否会导致与之前周期相同水平的价格升值带来了一些不确定性。
Despite this uncertainty, Marszalek remains confident that the halving will provide a long-term boost to the Bitcoin market. He predicts that the halving's impact may not be immediately visible but will manifest within a six-month timeframe.
尽管存在这种不确定性,Marszalek 仍然相信减半将为比特币市场提供长期提振。他预测减半的影响可能不会立即显现出来,但会在六个月的时间内显现出来。
As of press time, Bitcoin is trading at $63,132, a 14% decrease from its March highs. This sell-off may be attributed to factors such as geopolitical tensions and regulatory concerns, rather than the imminent halving.
截至发稿,比特币交易价格为 63,132 美元,较 3 月份高点下跌 14%。这种抛售可能归因于地缘政治紧张局势和监管担忧等因素,而不是即将到来的减半。
Other industry experts have expressed varying views on the halving's effects. Tezos co-founder Arthur Breitman views it as a "reduction in security budget," while former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes anticipates BTC price declines due to limited dollar liquidity.
其他行业专家对减半的影响表达了不同的看法。 Tezos 联合创始人 Arthur Breitman 将其视为“安全预算的减少”,而 BitMEX 前首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 预计,由于美元流动性有限,比特币价格将下跌。
Marathon CEO Fred Thiel suggests that the halving's impact may already be priced in, citing the recent approval of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Marathon 首席执行官 Fred Thiel 表示,减半的影响可能已经被定价,并引用了最近批准的现货交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的例子。
Regardless of the diverse perspectives, the Bitcoin halving remains a pivotal event for the cryptocurrency ecosystem. While short-term volatility may occur, many experts anticipate that the halving will have a long-term bullish impact on the market.
无论观点如何,比特币减半仍然是加密货币生态系统的关键事件。虽然短期可能会出现波动,但许多专家预计减半将对市场产生长期看涨影响。
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