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Crypto.com 執行長 Kris Marszalek 分享了他對比特幣即將減半的見解,承認潛在的短期拋售,但對其長期市場影響持樂觀態度,並與類似網路更新後的歷史價格波動進行了比較。
Bitcoin Halving Looms, Crypto.com CEO Predicts Long-Term Market Boost Despite Short-Term Volatility
比特幣減半迫在眉睫,Crypto.com執行長預測,儘管短期波動,但長期市場將提振
Singapore, March 29, 2023 - As the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event approaches, Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek anticipates a potential short-term sell-off yet remains optimistic about its long-term impact on the market.
新加坡,2023 年 3 月 29 日 - 隨著備受期待的比特幣減半事件臨近,Crypto.com 首席執行官 Kris Marszalek 預計可能會出現短期拋售,但對其對市場的長期影響仍持樂觀態度。
The upcoming halving, scheduled for April 20, will cut the daily supply of newly mined Bitcoins in half, from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This event historically coincides with significant price increases in Bitcoin, according to Marszalek, who believes similar market dynamics may unfold this time around.
即將到來的減半將於 4 月 20 日進行,屆時新開採的比特幣每日供應量將減少一半,從 6.25 BTC 減少至 3.125 BTC。 Marszalek 表示,從歷史上看,這起事件與比特幣價格大幅上漲同時發生,他認為這次可能會出現類似的市場動態。
"Historically, we've seen some pretty decent action within the six months following the Bitcoin halving," Marszalek said in an interview with Bloomberg.
馬薩萊克在接受彭博社採訪時表示:“從歷史上看,我們在比特幣減半後的六個月內看到了一些相當不錯的行動。”
Despite acknowledging the possibility of short-term selling pressure as the halving nears, Marszalek believes that in the long run, the halving will have a "positive development for the market."
儘管承認隨著減半的臨近,短期內可能會出現拋售壓力,但 Marszalek 認為,從長遠來看,減半將對市場產生「積極的發展」。
This optimism stems from the historical trend of Bitcoin price increases following halving events. After the first halving in 2012, the price of Bitcoin rose by 8,714% within six months, and after the second halving in 2016, it rose by 2,900%.
這種樂觀情緒源自於減半事件後比特幣價格上漲的歷史趨勢。 2012年第一次減半後,比特幣價格在六個月內上漲了8,714%,2016年第二次減半後,價格上漲了2,900%。
However, it's crucial to note that Bitcoin has recently hit record highs, with its price reaching $73,750 in March. This has raised some uncertainty about whether the halving will lead to the same level of price appreciation as in previous cycles.
然而,值得注意的是,比特幣最近創下了歷史新高,其價格在 3 月達到了 73,750 美元。這給減半是否會導致與之前週期相同水準的價格升值帶來了一些不確定性。
Despite this uncertainty, Marszalek remains confident that the halving will provide a long-term boost to the Bitcoin market. He predicts that the halving's impact may not be immediately visible but will manifest within a six-month timeframe.
儘管存在這種不確定性,Marszalek 仍然相信減半將為比特幣市場提供長期提振。他預測減半的影響可能不會立即顯現出來,但會在六個月的時間內顯現出來。
As of press time, Bitcoin is trading at $63,132, a 14% decrease from its March highs. This sell-off may be attributed to factors such as geopolitical tensions and regulatory concerns, rather than the imminent halving.
截至發稿,比特幣交易價格為 63,132 美元,較 3 月高點下跌 14%。這種拋售可能歸因於地緣政治緊張局勢和監管擔憂等因素,而不是即將到來的減半。
Other industry experts have expressed varying views on the halving's effects. Tezos co-founder Arthur Breitman views it as a "reduction in security budget," while former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes anticipates BTC price declines due to limited dollar liquidity.
其他行業專家對減半的影響表達了不同的看法。 Tezos 聯合創始人 Arthur Breitman 將其視為“安全預算的減少”,而 BitMEX 前首席執行官 Arthur Hayes 預計,由於美元流動性有限,比特幣價格將下跌。
Marathon CEO Fred Thiel suggests that the halving's impact may already be priced in, citing the recent approval of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Marathon 執行長 Fred Thiel 表示,減半的影響可能已經被定價,並引用了最近批准的現貨交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的例子。
Regardless of the diverse perspectives, the Bitcoin halving remains a pivotal event for the cryptocurrency ecosystem. While short-term volatility may occur, many experts anticipate that the halving will have a long-term bullish impact on the market.
無論觀點如何,比特幣減半仍是加密貨幣生態系統的關鍵事件。雖然短期可能會出現波動,但許多專家預計減半將對市場產生長期看漲影響。
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