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由于美元贬值,比特币在周五经历了短暂的上涨,但由于美国利率预计将保持在高位,其前景仍然不确定。尽管有所上涨,但比特币的每周跌幅仍然高达 6.2%,主要是由于人们担心长期高利率会对加密货币的投机性质产生负面影响。
Bitcoin Gains Respite Amid Dollar Weakness, But Cryptocurrency Outlook Remains Uncertain
美元疲软,比特币获得喘息,但加密货币前景仍不确定
New York, NY (April 8, 2022) - Bitcoin (BTC) prices experienced a modest upswing on Friday, seeking some respite from an earlier sharp decline in the U.S. dollar. However, the long-term outlook for the cryptocurrency remains clouded by the prospect of persistently high U.S. interest rates.
纽约州纽约(2022 年 4 月 8 日)——比特币 (BTC) 价格周五小幅上涨,寻求从美元早前大幅下跌中得到一定喘息。然而,加密货币的长期前景仍然因美国持续高利率的前景而蒙上阴影。
Market Dynamics
市场动态
The 3.7% surge in Bitcoin's value over the past 24 hours, bringing it to $59,529.4 by 01:07 ET (05:07 GMT), provided some relief after the cryptocurrency had plunged more than 20% from its record high in March.
比特币的价值在过去 24 小时内飙升 3.7%,到美国东部时间 01:07(格林威治标准时间 05:07)达到 59,529.4 美元,在该加密货币从 3 月份的历史高点暴跌超过 20% 后,这给人们带来了一些缓解。
The decline in the dollar's value offered some support to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, but they remained on track for weekly losses. As of Friday, Bitcoin was still down 6.2% for the week, as traders remained cautious amid expectations of prolonged high U.S. interest rates.
美元贬值为比特币和其他加密货币提供了一些支撑,但它们仍有望每周下跌。截至周五,比特币本周仍下跌 6.2%,因交易员在美国利率长期处于高位的预期下保持谨慎。
Investor Sentiment
投资者情绪
The recent decline in Bitcoin prices has been attributed to a shift in investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies. The anticipation of key U.S. nonfarm payrolls data on Friday, which could influence the outlook for interest rates, has further dampened investor enthusiasm.
最近比特币价格的下跌归因于投资者情绪转向加密货币。周五美国关键非农就业数据的预期可能会影响利率前景,这进一步削弱了投资者的热情。
This shift is also reflected in the performance of Bitcoin investment products, particularly spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These ETFs had fueled Bitcoin's rally to record highs in March, but their popularity has since waned.
这种转变也反映在比特币投资产品的表现上,特别是现货交易所交易基金(ETF)。这些 ETF 推动比特币在 3 月份上涨至历史新高,但其受欢迎程度此后有所下降。
Consequently, Bitcoin has been trading within a narrow range of $60,000 to $70,000 for over a month, although it has recently broken below this range.
因此,比特币一个多月以来一直在 60,000 美元至 70,000 美元的窄幅区间内交易,尽管最近已跌破该区间。
Altcoins Follow Bitcoin
山寨币追随比特币
Most alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) mirrored Bitcoin's gains, erasing some of their earlier losses. Ethereum (ETH), the world's second-largest cryptocurrency, rose 2.6% to $2,999.45, while Solana (SOL) and XRP (XRP) gained 8% and 1.7%, respectively.
大多数替代加密货币(山寨币)反映了比特币的收益,抹去了之前的一些损失。全球第二大加密货币以太坊 (ETH) 上涨 2.6% 至 2,999.45 美元,而 Solana (SOL) 和 XRP (XRP) 分别上涨 8% 和 1.7%。
However, these gains were tempered by the anticipation of the nonfarm payrolls data.
然而,非农就业数据的预期削弱了这些涨幅。
Interest Rates Weigh on Crypto Markets
利率对加密货币市场造成压力
The prospect of sustained high U.S. interest rates poses a significant challenge for cryptocurrency markets. Cryptocurrencies, which are often regarded as speculative investments, tend to perform well in low-rate, high-liquidity environments.
美国持续高利率的前景对加密货币市场构成了重大挑战。加密货币通常被视为投机投资,往往在低利率、高流动性环境中表现良好。
The nonfarm payrolls data, due later on Friday, is expected to indicate continued strength in the U.S. labor market. This could potentially provide the Federal Reserve (Fed) with more leeway to keep interest rates elevated.
周五晚些时候公布的非农就业数据预计将表明美国劳动力市场持续走强。这可能为美联储(Fed)提供更多的余地来维持高利率。
Earlier this week, the Fed signaled that it had no immediate plans to cut rates, particularly in light of recent data suggesting that inflation remains elevated.
本周早些时候,美联储表示没有立即降息的计划,特别是考虑到最近的数据表明通胀仍然较高。
Conclusion
结论
While Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experienced a temporary reprieve on Friday, their long-term outlook remains uncertain. The prospect of persistently high U.S. interest rates is likely to continue weighing on investor sentiment and could hinder further price gains. The outcome of the nonfarm payrolls data will be closely watched by market participants as it could provide additional insights into the Fed's monetary policy trajectory.
虽然比特币和其他加密货币在周五经历了暂时的喘息,但它们的长期前景仍然不确定。美国利率持续高企的前景可能会继续打压投资者情绪,并可能阻碍价格进一步上涨。非农就业数据的结果将受到市场参与者的密切关注,因为它可以为美联储的货币政策轨迹提供更多见解。
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