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价值约 77 亿美元的比特币和以太坊期权将于今天到期,加密货币市场处于紧张状态。
The cryptocurrency market is bracing itself as approximately $7.7 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options are set to expire today, an event that has traders and analysts on high alert for any potential price volatility.
价值约 77 亿美元的比特币和以太坊期权将于今天到期,加密货币市场正在做好准备,这一事件让交易员和分析师对任何潜在的价格波动保持高度警惕。
A Closer Look at the Options Expiry
仔细看看期权到期日
This batch of expiring options includes $5.8 billion in Bitcoin options and $1.9 billion in Ethereum options, making it one of the largest expiries in recent months. According to data from Deribit, a major crypto options exchange, a total of 89,037 Bitcoin options contracts will expire, up significantly from the 20,037 contracts expiring last week.
这批到期期权包括 58 亿美元的比特币期权和 19 亿美元的以太坊期权,是近几个月来最大的到期期权之一。根据主要加密货币期权交易所 Deribit 的数据,共有 89,037 份比特币期权合约将到期,较上周到期的 20,037 份合约大幅增加。
For Ethereum, 719,130 contracts are expiring today, with the options market reflecting strong bullish sentiment among traders. The put-to-call ratio for Bitcoin is 0.64, indicating a balanced market with a slight preference for call options. In contrast, Ethereum’s put-to-call ratio is 0.47, suggesting even greater bullish expectations.
对于以太坊来说,今天有 719,130 份合约到期,期权市场反映出交易者强烈的看涨情绪。比特币的看跌期权与看涨期权比率为 0.64,表明市场平衡,看涨期权略有偏好。相比之下,以太坊的看跌期权与看涨期权比率为 0.47,表明看涨预期更大。
Understanding Maximum Pain Points
了解最大痛点
The concept of “maximum pain” refers to the price point at which the most options contracts expire worthless, causing maximum losses for both buyers and sellers. For Bitcoin, this point is estimated to be around $59,000, while Ethereum’s maximum pain level is slightly higher at $2,550. Analysts believe that as these options settle, prices may hover around these critical thresholds, potentially leading to increased volatility.
“最大痛苦”的概念是指大多数期权合约到期时毫无价值,给买卖双方造成最大损失的价格点。对于比特币来说,这一点估计约为 59,000 美元,而以太坊的最大痛苦水平略高,为 2,550 美元。分析师认为,随着这些期权的结算,价格可能会徘徊在这些关键阈值附近,从而可能导致波动性加剧。
Market Context: Recent Trends and Expectations
市场背景:近期趋势和预期
The expiration of these options follows a strong rally in the cryptocurrency market. Since the Federal Reserve announced a 50-basis-point interest rate cut on September 18, Bitcoin has seen its price rise from $57,000 to around $65,075, while Ethereum has climbed from $2,278 to $2,625. This bullish trend has generated immense interest among traders, leading to expectations of continued momentum.
这些期权的到期是在加密货币市场强劲反弹之后进行的。自美联储9月18日宣布降息50个基点以来,比特币的价格从57,000美元上涨至65,075美元左右,而以太坊则从2,278美元攀升至2,625美元。这种看涨趋势引起了交易者的巨大兴趣,导致了对持续势头的预期。
Greeks.live, a prominent analytics firm, highlights the significance of the recent rally on this third-quarter delivery day: “The market has rallied strongly over the last three weeks, mainly due to the Fed cutting rates, which has increased confidence. Historically, Q4 tends to be good for crypto, especially with the U.S. election and potentially further rate cuts on the horizon.”
著名分析公司Greeks.live在第三季度交割日强调了最近反弹的重要性:“市场在过去三周强劲反弹,主要是由于美联储降息,这增强了信心。从历史上看,第四季度往往对加密货币有利,尤其是在美国大选和可能进一步降息的情况下。”
Caution Amidst Optimism
乐观中谨慎
Despite the optimistic outlook, traders are advised to exercise caution. Options expiration events have historically been known to cause short-term market instability. As traders reposition themselves for the fourth quarter, the possibility of sudden price movements remains high.
尽管前景乐观,但建议交易者谨慎行事。从历史上看,期权到期事件会导致短期市场不稳定。随着交易商在第四季度重新定位,价格突然波动的可能性仍然很高。
“Volatility is expected as the market digests the expiring options,” analysts noted. “How Bitcoin and Ethereum prices react in the aftermath of this event could influence the sentiment for the coming weeks.”
分析师指出:“随着市场消化即将到期的期权,预计会出现波动。” “比特币和以太坊价格在此事件发生后的反应可能会影响未来几周的情绪。”
A Pivotal Moment for Crypto
加密货币的关键时刻
As the crypto market grapples with the implications of $7.7 billion in expiring options, the next few days will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin and Ethereum can continue their upward trajectories or if a corrective phase is on the horizon. Market participants will be closely monitoring how price dynamics unfold in the wake of this significant event.
随着加密货币市场努力应对 77 亿美元到期期权的影响,未来几天对于确定比特币和以太坊能否继续其上涨轨迹或是否即将进入修正阶段至关重要。市场参与者将密切关注这一重大事件后价格动态的演变。
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