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这种出色的表现是在唐纳德·特朗普最近连任以及机构投资通过比特币 ETF 大量涌入的背景下出现的。
Bitcoin set a new record high Sunday, crossing the 80,000 dollar threshold on major exchanges like Bitstamp. At the time of writing, the world’s leading cryptocurrency trades at 80,116 dollars, with a 4.50% increase over the last 24 hours. This exceptional performance comes in a context marked by the recent reelection of Donald Trump and the massive influx of institutional investments via Bitcoin ETFs.
周日,比特币创下新高,在 Bitstamp 等主要交易所突破 80,000 美元大关。截至撰写本文时,全球领先的加密货币交易价格为 80,116 美元,过去 24 小时内上涨 4.50%。这种出色的表现是在唐纳德·特朗普最近连任以及机构投资通过比特币 ETF 大量涌入的背景下出现的。
A historical surge driven by political events
政治事件推动的历史性激增
On November 10, 2024, Bitcoin crossed a symbolic threshold by surpassing the 80,000 dollar mark on Bitstamp for the first time in its history, propelling its market capitalization to over 1.5 trillion dollars. This 4.50% increase for the day fits into a broader trend, with a weekly progression of 15.65% since Donald Trump’s electoral victory on November 6 – the largest weekly increase since February.
2024 年 11 月 10 日,比特币在 Bitstamp 上历史上首次突破 80,000 美元大关,跨越了象征性的门槛,使其市值突破 1.5 万亿美元。当日 4.50% 的涨幅符合更广泛的趋势,自唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 11 月 6 日赢得选举以来,每周涨幅为 15.65%,这是自 2 月份以来最大的每周涨幅。
The victory of the Republican candidate, who campaigned on pro-cryptocurrency promises, including plans for a national strategic reserve of Bitcoin, has clearly galvanized investors. This prospect of a favorable regulatory environment in the United States has also dragged along other major cryptocurrencies like Ether, Dogecoin, and Cardano, which are up 2.80%, 4.05%, and 3.25% respectively over the last 24 hours.
这位共和党候选人的胜利显然激发了投资者的兴趣,他在竞选时做出了支持加密货币的承诺,包括建立比特币国家战略储备的计划。美国有利的监管环境前景也拖累了以太坊、狗狗币和卡尔达诺等其他主要加密货币,在过去 24 小时内分别上涨了 2.80%、4.05% 和 3.25%。
ETFs and institutional demand as drivers of the increase
ETF 和机构需求是增长的驱动力
Since the beginning of 2024, Bitcoin has seen its value rise by 80%, an increase primarily due to the launch of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States. These new financial products, which allow investing in Bitcoin as simply as in the stock market, have seen meteoric success. The largest of them, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, has shattered records with 1.4 billion dollars in investments just for the day of November 8.
自 2024 年初以来,比特币价值上涨了 80%,这主要是由于美国推出了比特币 ETF。这些新的金融产品让投资比特币就像投资股票市场一样简单,并取得了巨大的成功。其中规模最大的贝莱德 (BlackRock) 旗下 iShares 比特币信托 (iShares Bitcoin Trust) 仅在 11 月 8 日当天就以 14 亿美元的投资额打破了记录。
Investors show remarkable appetite in the face of a Bitcoin supply that remains very limited. Mining only produces 450 new Bitcoins per day, while demand continues to rise: individuals have recently purchased 60,000 bitcoins, and the giant BlackRock has itself acquired 1,800 units. Exchange platforms are left with only two million BTC, a rarity that naturally drives prices to new heights.
面对比特币供应仍然非常有限,投资者表现出了极大的兴趣。挖矿每天只生产 450 个新比特币,而需求却持续上升:个人最近购买了 60,000 个比特币,巨头贝莱德本身也购买了 1,800 个比特币。交易平台上只剩下 200 万枚 BTC,这种稀缺性自然会将价格推向新的高度。
This exceptional situation is pushing experts to revise their forecasts upward. Several analysts now estimate that Bitcoin could reach 100,000 dollars by the end of 2024. Bernstein Research goes even further, predicting a Bitcoin at 200,000 dollars by the end of 2025.
这种特殊情况正促使专家上调他们的预测。一些分析师现在估计,到 2024 年底,比特币的价格可能会达到 10 万美元。伯恩斯坦研究公司 (Bernstein Research) 更进一步,预测到 2025 年底,比特币的价格将达到 20 万美元。
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