比特币（BTC）长期恢复与纳斯达克趋势向上趋势的能力紧密相关

研究服务生态计量学在周一指出，比特币（BTC）的长期恢复与纳斯达克趋势上升的能力紧密相关，强调了这一点

The strong positive correlation between bitcoin (BTC) and the Nasdaq is crucial for the cryptocurrency’s long-term recovery, according to research service Ecoinometrics.

根据研究服务生态测量法研究，比特币（BTC）和纳斯达克之间的强正相关对于加密货币的长期恢复至关重要。

However, the tech-heavy index triggered a major bearish reversal pattern on Monday, putting BTC’s 200-day simple moving average (SMA) support at risk.

但是，该技术繁重的指数在周一引发了极端看跌的逆转模式，这使BTC的200天简单移动平均线（SMA）支持处于危险之中。

Bitcoin price dropped over 10% in the past 24 hours, erasing Sunday’s price rally to $95,000. At one point early Monday, the price tested the 200-day SMA support at $82,587, as shown by the chart from TradingView.

在过去的24小时内，比特币的价格下跌了10％以上，将周日的价格升至95,000美元。周一早些时候，价格测试了200天的SMA支持，为82,587美元，如TradingView的图表所示。

The 200-day SMA is commonly regarded as a key indicator of long-term trends, and price declines below this level are often seen as a signal of potential significant losses ahead.

200天的SMA通常被视为长期趋势的关键指标，而且价格下降以下水平以下通常被视为未来潜在的重大损失的信号。

The possibility of BTC’s price moving below the long-term average cannot be ruled out, as Wall Street’s Nasdaq fell 2.2% on Monday, triggering a double top breakout.

由于华尔街的纳斯达克在周一下降了2.2％，因此BTC价格的可能性低于长期平均水平，这可能会被排除在外。

A double top comprises two peaks separated by a trough and takes roughly two to six weeks to form. The gap between the two peaks must be equal to or less than 5%, with the spread between peaks and the trough being at least 10%, according to technical analysis theory.

双顶部包括两个峰，由一个槽隔开，大约需要两到六个星期的形成。根据技术分析理论，两个峰之间的差距必须等于或小于5％，峰和谷之间的扩展至少为10％。

These are guidelines and not rules; the backdrop is more important, meaning the pattern should appear after a prolonged uptrend to be valid, which is the case with Nasdaq.

这些是指南，而不是规则；背景更为重要，这意味着该模式应在延长上升趋势之后出现，这是有效的，纳斯达克是这种情况。

Nasdaq has formed two peaks at around $22,200 since mid-December, with a trough at $20,538. The index closed on Tuesday below the trough support, confirming the double-top bearish reversal pattern.

自12月中旬以来，纳斯达克山脉以22,200美元的价格形成了两个峰值，低谷为20,538美元。该指数于周二在低谷支撑下关闭，证实了双顶看跌的逆转模式。

Per technical analysis theory, the subsequent decline could be at least 70% of the distance between the peaks and the trough, which means the Nasdaq could go as low as 19,400. The pattern’s historical failure rate is 11%, according to CMT’s analysis books. This means that breakdowns lead to deeper losses more often than not.

根据技术分析理论，随后的下降可能至少是峰和谷之间距离的70％，这意味着纳斯达克的距离可能低至19,400。根据CMT的分析书籍，该模式的历史故障率为11％。这意味着崩溃会导致更深层的损失。

Both Nasdaq and BTC lost bullish momentum in December and have since peaked to trade nearly at their respective 200-day averages.

纳斯达克和BTC在12月失去了看涨的动力，此后一直达到贸易几乎在各自的200天平均值上。

Below the 200-day SMA, the next support for bitcoin is seen directly at the former record high (resistance)-turned-support at $73,757.

在200天的SMA下方，对比特币的下一个支持直接在以前的纪录高（电阻）支持的支持下，为73,757美元。