比特幣（BTC）長期恢復與納斯達克趨勢向上趨勢的能力緊密相關

研究服務生態計量學在周一指出，比特幣（BTC）的長期恢復與納斯達克趨勢上升的能力緊密相關，強調了這一點

The strong positive correlation between bitcoin (BTC) and the Nasdaq is crucial for the cryptocurrency’s long-term recovery, according to research service Ecoinometrics.

根據研究服務生態測量法研究，比特幣（BTC）和納斯達克之間的強正相關對於加密貨幣的長期恢復至關重要。

However, the tech-heavy index triggered a major bearish reversal pattern on Monday, putting BTC’s 200-day simple moving average (SMA) support at risk.

但是，該技術繁重的指數在周一引發了極端看跌的逆轉模式，這使BTC的200天簡單移動平均線（SMA）支持處於危險之中。

Bitcoin price dropped over 10% in the past 24 hours, erasing Sunday’s price rally to $95,000. At one point early Monday, the price tested the 200-day SMA support at $82,587, as shown by the chart from TradingView.

在過去的24小時內，比特幣的價格下跌了10％以上，將周日的價格升至95,000美元。週一早些時候，價格測試了200天的SMA支持，為82,587美元，如TradingView的圖表所示。

The 200-day SMA is commonly regarded as a key indicator of long-term trends, and price declines below this level are often seen as a signal of potential significant losses ahead.

200天的SMA通常被視為長期趨勢的關鍵指標，而且價格下降以下水平以下通常被視為未來潛在的重大損失的信號。

The possibility of BTC’s price moving below the long-term average cannot be ruled out, as Wall Street’s Nasdaq fell 2.2% on Monday, triggering a double top breakout.

由於華爾街的納斯達克在周一下降了2.2％，因此BTC價格的可能性低於長期平均水平，這可能會被排除在外。

A double top comprises two peaks separated by a trough and takes roughly two to six weeks to form. The gap between the two peaks must be equal to or less than 5%, with the spread between peaks and the trough being at least 10%, according to technical analysis theory.

雙頂部包括兩個峰，由一個槽隔開，大約需要兩到六個星期的形成。根據技術分析理論，兩個峰之間的差距必須等於或小於5％，峰和谷之間的擴展至少為10％。

These are guidelines and not rules; the backdrop is more important, meaning the pattern should appear after a prolonged uptrend to be valid, which is the case with Nasdaq.

這些是指南，而不是規則；背景更為重要，這意味著該模式應在延長上升趨勢之後出現，這是有效的，納斯達克是這種情況。

Nasdaq has formed two peaks at around $22,200 since mid-December, with a trough at $20,538. The index closed on Tuesday below the trough support, confirming the double-top bearish reversal pattern.

自12月中旬以來，納斯達克山脈以22,200美元的價格形成了兩個峰值，低谷為20,538美元。該指數於週二在低谷支撐下關閉，證實了雙頂看跌的逆轉模式。

Per technical analysis theory, the subsequent decline could be at least 70% of the distance between the peaks and the trough, which means the Nasdaq could go as low as 19,400. The pattern’s historical failure rate is 11%, according to CMT’s analysis books. This means that breakdowns lead to deeper losses more often than not.

根據技術分析理論，隨後的下降可能至少是峰和谷之間距離的70％，這意味著納斯達克的距離可能低至19,400。根據CMT的分析書籍，該模式的歷史故障率為11％。這意味著崩潰會導致更深層的損失。

Both Nasdaq and BTC lost bullish momentum in December and have since peaked to trade nearly at their respective 200-day averages.

納斯達克和BTC在12月失去了看漲的動力，此後一直達到貿易幾乎在各自的200天平均值上。

Below the 200-day SMA, the next support for bitcoin is seen directly at the former record high (resistance)-turned-support at $73,757.

在200天的SMA下方，對比特幣的下一個支持直接在以前的紀錄高（電阻）支持的支持下，為73,757美元。