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在2026年末,预计块大小增长到4 MB,比特币(BTC)可伸缩性可以进一步提高。根据专注于比特币生态系统的研究公司Mempool的最新报告,他指出,铭文驱动的区块链增长可能会在未来几年内爆炸。
Bitcoin’s [BTC] scalability could enhance further by late 2026, with projected block size growth to 4 MB.
比特币的[BTC]可伸缩性可以在2026年底进一步增强,预计块大小的增长率为4 MB。
According to the latest report by Mempool, a research firm focused on the Bitcoin ecosystem, inscription-driven blockchain growth could explode in the next few years.
根据Mempool的最新报告,一家专注于比特币生态系统的研究公司,铭文驱动的区块链增长可能会在未来几年中爆炸。
Part of the report stated,
报告的一部分说明,
“If we see massive growth in the use of Bitcoin to store arbitrary data (resulting in consistent 4 MB blocks) the blockchain would reach 1TB by late 2026…We should expect a 1 TB blockchain after 2 – 4 years, and 2 TB in 7 – 9 years time.”
“如果我们看到使用比特币来存储任意数据的大量增长(导致一致的4 MB区块),区块链将在2026年底到达1TB……我们应该期望2 - 4年后有1 TB链,而在7中2 tb - 9年的时间。”
For perspective, the current average block size is about 1.69 MB per block. This was initially capped at 1 MB before the SegWit (Segregated Witness) upgrade in 2017, which scaled the network significantly.
从角度来看,当前的平均块大小约为每块1.69 MB。最初,这是在2017年的Segwit(隔离见证人)升级之前的1 MB上限,该升级大大扩展了网络。
Demand beyond 1 MB
超过1 MB的需求
Post-SegWit, there was a surge in inscription protocols that allowed extra arbitrary data (from texts to smart contracts) on the Bitcoin network.
识别后,铭文协议激增,该协议允许比特币网络上的额外任意数据(从文本到智能合约)。
Overall, the demand for block space exploded beyond the 1 MB limits, which was reported set by miners and the network’s default settings, noted Mempool.
总体而言,对1 MB限制的需求爆炸了,这是矿工和网络的默认设置报告的。
“The median block size increased until block 400,000 at which point the 1 MB consensus limit was reached, approximately 1.5 years before SegWit activation in block 481,824. Following SegWit’s introduction, block size gradually increased after an initial temporary decline”
“中间块的大小增加到块400,000,此时达到1 MB共识限制,大约在Segwit激活481,824的Segwit激活前约1.5年。 Segwit引入后,最初暂时下降后的块大小逐渐增加”
The average block size growth surged between 1.11 MB and 1.69 MB, suggesting more transaction data per block.
平均块大小的增长在1.11 MB至1.69 MB之间,表明每个块的交易数据更多。
Mempool added that the above trend of massive adoption of inscription protocols could expand the block size to 4 MB.
Mempool补充说,上述大量采用铭文协议的趋势可以将块大小扩展到4 MB。
However, not every Bitcoin core dev is happy with the outlook.
但是,并非每个比特币核心开发人员都对展望感到满意。
According to one renowned dev, Luke Dash Jr, ordinals and inscriptions are ‘spam’ and ‘an attack’ on the Bitcoin network. Dash has always called for capping block size below 1 MB to limit this ‘attack’ vector.
根据一个著名的开发人员,卢克·达什(Luke Dash Jr)的说法,序列和铭文是对比特币网络上的“垃圾邮件”和“攻击”。 DASH始终呼吁将块大小限制在1 MB以下,以限制此“攻击”向量。
Dash’s plan to cap Bitcoin block size at 300 KB in the second half of 2025 did not garner support from his X (formerly Twitter) users.
Dash计划在2025年下半年将比特币大小限制为300 KB的计划并未获得其X(以前为Twitter)用户的支持。
Solana’s theoretical block size limit can reach 128 MB at much higher throughput. This makes Solana more scalable but less decentralized than BTC.
Solana的理论尺寸限制可以在更高的吞吐量下达到128 MB。这使Solana更可扩展,但比BTC分散了。
It remains to be seen how Bitcoin’s divergent views on block size increment will affect its adoption and scalability in the future.
比特币对块大小增量的不同看法将如何影响其将来的采用和可扩展性。
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