比特幣（BTC）可伸縮性可以在2026年底之前進一步增強

在2026年末，預計塊大小增長到4 MB，比特幣（BTC）可伸縮性可以進一步提高。根據專注於比特幣生態系統的研究公司Mempool的最新報告，他指出，銘文驅動的區塊鏈增長可能會在未來幾年內爆炸。

Bitcoin’s [BTC] scalability could enhance further by late 2026, with projected block size growth to 4 MB.

比特幣的[BTC]可伸縮性可以在2026年底進一步增強，預計塊大小的增長率為4 MB。

According to the latest report by Mempool, a research firm focused on the Bitcoin ecosystem, inscription-driven blockchain growth could explode in the next few years.

根據Mempool的最新報告，一家專注於比特幣生態系統的研究公司，銘文驅動的區塊鏈增長可能會在未來幾年中爆炸。

Part of the report stated,

報告的一部分說明，

“If we see massive growth in the use of Bitcoin to store arbitrary data (resulting in consistent 4 MB blocks) the blockchain would reach 1TB by late 2026…We should expect a 1 TB blockchain after 2 – 4 years, and 2 TB in 7 – 9 years time.”

“如果我們看到使用比特幣來存儲任意數據的大量增長（導致一致的4 MB區塊），區塊鏈將在2026年底到達1TB……我們應該期望2 - 4年後有1 TB鏈，而在7中2 tb - 9年的時間。”

For perspective, the current average block size is about 1.69 MB per block. This was initially capped at 1 MB before the SegWit (Segregated Witness) upgrade in 2017, which scaled the network significantly.

從角度來看，當前的平均塊大小約為每塊1.69 MB。最初，這是在2017年的Segwit（隔離見證人）升級之前的1 MB上限，該升級大大擴展了網絡。

Demand beyond 1 MB

超過1 MB的需求

Post-SegWit, there was a surge in inscription protocols that allowed extra arbitrary data (from texts to smart contracts) on the Bitcoin network.

識別後，銘文協議激增，該協議允許比特幣網絡上的額外任意數據（從文本到智能合約）。

Overall, the demand for block space exploded beyond the 1 MB limits, which was reported set by miners and the network’s default settings, noted Mempool.

總體而言，對1 MB限制的需求爆炸了，這是礦工和網絡的默認設置報告的。

“The median block size increased until block 400,000 at which point the 1 MB consensus limit was reached, approximately 1.5 years before SegWit activation in block 481,824. Following SegWit’s introduction, block size gradually increased after an initial temporary decline”

“中間塊的大小增加到塊400,000，此時達到1 MB共識限制，大約在Segwit激活481,824的Segwit激活前約1.5年。 Segwit引入後，最初暫時下降後的塊大小逐漸增加”

The average block size growth surged between 1.11 MB and 1.69 MB, suggesting more transaction data per block.

平均塊大小的增長在1.11 MB至1.69 MB之間，表明每個塊的交易數據更多。

Mempool added that the above trend of massive adoption of inscription protocols could expand the block size to 4 MB.

Mempool補充說，上述大量採用銘文協議的趨勢可以將塊大小擴展到4 MB。

However, not every Bitcoin core dev is happy with the outlook.

但是，並非每個比特幣核心開發人員都對展望感到滿意。

According to one renowned dev, Luke Dash Jr, ordinals and inscriptions are ‘spam’ and ‘an attack’ on the Bitcoin network. Dash has always called for capping block size below 1 MB to limit this ‘attack’ vector.

根據一個著名的開發人員，盧克·達什（Luke Dash Jr）的說法，序列和銘文是對比特幣網絡上的“垃圾郵件”和“攻擊”。 DASH始終呼籲將塊大小限制在1 MB以下，以限制此“攻擊”向量。

Dash’s plan to cap Bitcoin block size at 300 KB in the second half of 2025 did not garner support from his X (formerly Twitter) users.

Dash計劃在2025年下半年將比特幣大小限制為300 KB的計劃並未獲得其X（以前為Twitter）用戶的支持。

Solana’s theoretical block size limit can reach 128 MB at much higher throughput. This makes Solana more scalable but less decentralized than BTC.

Solana的理論尺寸限制可以在更高的吞吐量下達到128 MB。這使Solana更可擴展，但比BTC分散了。

It remains to be seen how Bitcoin’s divergent views on block size increment will affect its adoption and scalability in the future.

比特幣對塊大小增量的不同看法將如何影響其將來的採用和可擴展性。