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比特币(BTC)在周末恢复势头,开始从 56,000 美元价格区域攀升至目前的 63,585.22 美元,在此期间上涨了近 12%。
Bitcoin (BTC) started the week trading at $63,585.22, following a nearly 12% increase over the weekend. The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization rose from the $56,000 price zone on Monday.
比特币 (BTC) 本周开盘价为 63,585.22 美元,周末上涨近 12%。全球市值最大的加密货币周一从 56,000 美元的价格区域上涨。
After a 25.2% correction that lasted 42 days, BTC might be preparing for a new all-time high in 2024, according to the trader known as Rekt Capital.
据 Rekt Capital 交易员称,在持续 42 天的 25.2% 调整之后,BTC 可能正在为 2024 年创下新的历史高点做准备。
Meanwhile, the completion of repayments to Mt. Gox creditors and the end of the BTC liquidation by the German government could indicate that the worst correction of the current period is over, according to Hank Wyatt, founder of DiamondSwap.
与此同时,DiamondSwap 创始人 Hank Wyatt 表示,完成对 Mt. Gox 债权人的偿还以及德国政府结束 BTC 清算可能表明当前时期最严重的调整已经结束。
“These events had exerted significant downward pressure, but with them mostly behind us, Bitcoin has the potential to trade within a higher range, assuming no new macroeconomic disruptions happen,” Wyatt added in an email to Crypto Briefing.
怀亚特在给 Crypto Briefing 的一封电子邮件中补充道:“这些事件施加了巨大的下行压力,但随着它们大部分已经过去,假设没有发生新的宏观经济干扰,比特币有可能在更高的区间内交易。”
James Davies, Founder and CPO of CVEX, also highlighted that Bitcoin started rebounding after the German government was done selling its BTC holdings. Despite the claims that the Trump incident was the major factor behind the price growth during the weekend, Davies points out that the upward movement started before that.
CVEX 创始人兼 CPO James Davies 也强调,在德国政府出售其持有的 BTC 后,比特币开始反弹。尽管有人声称特朗普事件是周末价格上涨的主要因素,但戴维斯指出,上涨趋势在此之前就开始了。
“The rally started earlier and was even more pronounced during Asian trading hours. In my view, this suggests the rebound is a return to fair value, as the market was temporarily oversold due to insufficient liquidity to absorb the temporary sell pressure,” he added.
“涨势较早开始,在亚洲交易时段更为明显。在我看来,这表明反弹是对公允价值的回归,因为由于流动性不足以吸收暂时的抛售压力,市场暂时超卖,”他补充道。
Mehdi Lebbar, co-founder and president of Exponential.fi, also believes that the market is looking bullish on Bitcoin after the German government depleted its Bitcoin stash. Furthermore, since the repayment of Mt. Gox’s creditors happened 10 days ago, Lebbar adds that the market can assume that the ones who needed to realize profits have already done so.
Exponential.fi 联合创始人兼总裁 Mehdi Lebbar 也认为,在德国政府耗尽比特币储备后,市场对比特币看涨。此外,由于 Mt. Gox 债权人的偿还是在 10 天前发生的,Lebbar 补充道,市场可以假设那些需要实现利润的人已经这样做了。
Stuck until the first rate cut?
一直坚持到第一次降息吗?
Although Bitcoin has reclaimed important price levels, the market expects that the largest crypto by market cap will still trade within its previous range between $65,000 and $71,000 for the next few weeks. The first rate cut from the Fed, set to happen in September, could be able to break this range.
尽管比特币已经恢复了重要的价格水平,但市场预计,在未来几周内,市值最大的加密货币仍将在之前的 65,000 美元至 71,000 美元区间内交易。美联储将于 9 月份首次降息,可能会突破这一区间。
Hank Wyatt, from DiamondSwap, shares this market expectation, adding that it could serve as a catalyst for Bitcoin to surpass its previous all-time high.
DiamondSwap 的汉克·怀亚特 (Hank Wyatt) 也认同这一市场预期,并补充说,这可能成为比特币超越之前历史高点的催化剂。
“Lower interest rates generally reduce the appeal of fiat currencies and more traditional investments, thereby enhancing the attractiveness of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. However, if the rate cut does not materialize, continued volatility and consolidation may still occur as the market adjusts its expectations and seeks new drivers for upward movement,” added Wyatt.
“较低的利率通常会降低法定货币和更传统投资的吸引力,从而增强比特币和其他加密货币的吸引力。然而,如果降息没有落实,随着市场调整预期并寻找新的上行动力,持续的波动和盘整仍可能发生。”怀亚特补充道。
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