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比特幣(BTC)在周末恢復勢頭,開始從 56,000 美元價格區域攀升至目前的 63,585.22 美元,在此期間上漲了近 12%。
Bitcoin (BTC) started the week trading at $63,585.22, following a nearly 12% increase over the weekend. The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization rose from the $56,000 price zone on Monday.
比特幣 (BTC) 本週開盤價為 63,585.22 美元,週末上漲近 12%。全球市值最大的加密貨幣週一從 56,000 美元的價格區域上漲。
After a 25.2% correction that lasted 42 days, BTC might be preparing for a new all-time high in 2024, according to the trader known as Rekt Capital.
據 Rekt Capital 交易員稱,在持續 42 天的 25.2% 調整之後,BTC 可能正在為 2024 年創下新的歷史高點做準備。
Meanwhile, the completion of repayments to Mt. Gox creditors and the end of the BTC liquidation by the German government could indicate that the worst correction of the current period is over, according to Hank Wyatt, founder of DiamondSwap.
同時,DiamondSwap 創辦人 Hank Wyatt 表示,完成對 Mt. Gox 債權人的償還以及德國政府結束 BTC 清算可能表明當前時期最嚴重的調整已經結束。
“These events had exerted significant downward pressure, but with them mostly behind us, Bitcoin has the potential to trade within a higher range, assuming no new macroeconomic disruptions happen,” Wyatt added in an email to Crypto Briefing.
懷亞特在給Crypto Briefing 的一封電子郵件中補充說:「這些事件施加了巨大的下行壓力,但隨著它們大部分已經過去,假設沒有發生新的宏觀經濟幹擾,比特幣有可能在更高的區間內交易。
James Davies, Founder and CPO of CVEX, also highlighted that Bitcoin started rebounding after the German government was done selling its BTC holdings. Despite the claims that the Trump incident was the major factor behind the price growth during the weekend, Davies points out that the upward movement started before that.
CVEX 創辦人兼 CPO James Davies 也強調,在德國政府出售其持有的 BTC 後,比特幣開始反彈。儘管有人聲稱川普事件是周末價格上漲的主要因素,但戴維斯指出,上漲趨勢在此之前就開始了。
“The rally started earlier and was even more pronounced during Asian trading hours. In my view, this suggests the rebound is a return to fair value, as the market was temporarily oversold due to insufficient liquidity to absorb the temporary sell pressure,” he added.
「漲勢較早開始,在亞洲交易時段更為明顯。在我看來,這表明反彈是對公允價值的回歸,因為由於流動性不足以吸收暫時的拋售壓力,市場暫時超賣,」他補充道。
Mehdi Lebbar, co-founder and president of Exponential.fi, also believes that the market is looking bullish on Bitcoin after the German government depleted its Bitcoin stash. Furthermore, since the repayment of Mt. Gox’s creditors happened 10 days ago, Lebbar adds that the market can assume that the ones who needed to realize profits have already done so.
Exponential.fi 聯合創辦人兼總裁 Mehdi Lebbar 也認為,在德國政府耗盡比特幣儲備後,市場對比特幣看漲。此外,由於 Mt. Gox 債權人的償還是在 10 天前發生的,Lebbar 補充道,市場可以假設那些需要利潤的人已經這樣做了。
Stuck until the first rate cut?
一直堅持到第一次降息嗎?
Although Bitcoin has reclaimed important price levels, the market expects that the largest crypto by market cap will still trade within its previous range between $65,000 and $71,000 for the next few weeks. The first rate cut from the Fed, set to happen in September, could be able to break this range.
儘管比特幣已經恢復了重要的價格水平,但市場預計,在未來幾週內,市值最大的加密貨幣仍將在先前的 65,000 美元至 71,000 美元區間內交易。聯準會將於 9 月首次降息,可能會突破這一區間。
Hank Wyatt, from DiamondSwap, shares this market expectation, adding that it could serve as a catalyst for Bitcoin to surpass its previous all-time high.
DiamondSwap 的 Hank Wyatt 也認同這個市場預期,並補充說,這可能成為比特幣超越先前歷史高點的催化劑。
“Lower interest rates generally reduce the appeal of fiat currencies and more traditional investments, thereby enhancing the attractiveness of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. However, if the rate cut does not materialize, continued volatility and consolidation may still occur as the market adjusts its expectations and seeks new drivers for upward movement,” added Wyatt.
「較低的利率通常會降低法定貨幣和更傳統投資的吸引力,從而增強比特幣和其他加密貨幣的吸引力。然而,如果降息沒有落實,隨著市場調整預期並尋找新的上行動力,持續的波動和盤整仍可能發生。
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