比特币（BTC）随着170,000枚硬币从3-6个月持有人队列移动，准备体验显着波动

尽管比特币（BTC）在80,00美元的中期范围内继续保持稳定，但分析师预测，领先的加密货币可能即将出现明显的波动性。

Cryptocurrency analyst Mignolet highlighted in a recent CryptoQuant post that approximately 170,000 BTC has been moved from the 3–6 month holder cohort.

加密货币分析师Mignolet在最近的一篇加密文章中强调，大约170,000 BTC已从3-6个月的持有人群中移动。

Historically, such large movements from this group have often preceded significant price swings in the cryptocurrency.

从历史上看，该群体的如此庞大的运动通常在加密货币的价格波动之前进行了重大波动。

The analyst shared a chart showcasing how spikes in BTC movement from the 3–6 month cohort have frequently led to heightened price volatility. Notably, green boxes denote upward price movement, while red boxes indicate price declines.

这位分析师分享了一张图表，展示了从3-6个月组中的BTC运动中的尖峰经常导致价格波动的提高。值得注意的是，绿色盒子表示向上的价格移动，而红色盒子表示价格下降。

Several analysts have shared their insights on recent BTC price action based on both on-chain metrics and technical chart patterns.

几位分析师分享了他们对基于链度指标和技术图表模式的最新BTC价格行动的见解。

For example, seasoned crypto analyst Master of Crypto made an observation about the realized price of short-term holders (STH) versus long-term holders (LTH).

例如，经验丰富的加密分析师加密货币分析师对短期持有人（STH）与长期持有人（LTH）的实现价格进行了观察。

According to the analyst, STH are currently mostly in the red, with a realized price of around $92,700, while LTH have a realized price of $26,500, meaning they’re sitting on gains of over 200%.

根据分析师的说法，STH目前主要是红色的，实现的价格约为92,700美元，而LTH的实现价格为26,500美元，这意味着他们的收益超过200％。

Master of Crypto added that whenever such a wide gap exists between STH and LTH realized prices, it often paves the way for severe price volatility.

加密大师补充说，每当STH和LTH之间存在如此巨大的差距都会实现价格时，它通常为严重的价格波动铺平了道路。

They concluded by saying “either the weak hands fold, or we rip higher.”

他们结束时说：“弱的手要么折叠，要么我们撕裂更高。”

Another analyst, Ted, drew attention to BTC’s correlation with the global M2 money supply.

另一位分析师TED引起了BTC与全球M2货币供应的相关性的关注。

According to Ted, Bitcoin is tracking the growth in global M2 with a 108-day lag, suggesting a potential trend reversal as early as May. The analyst further added:

根据泰德（Ted）的说法，比特币正在以108天的滞后来跟踪全球M2的增长，这表明早在5月，潜在的趋势逆转。分析师进一步补充：

“I think for the next few weeks, BTC could consolidate between $75K-$90K. During this timeframe, retail will most likely panic sell while smart money will accumulate.”

“我认为在接下来的几周内，BTC可以巩固75,000美元至9万美元之间。在此期间，零售很可能会在智能货币累积的同时出售。”

Meanwhile, noted analyst Titan of Crypto recently stated that BTC’s consolidation around the $83,000 level could be laying the groundwork for a rally toward $135,000.

同时，Crypto的著名分析师Titan最近表示，BTC在83,000美元左右的合并可能会将集会的基础归为135,000美元。