比特幣（BTC）隨著170,000枚硬幣從3-6個月持有人隊列移動，準備體驗顯著波動

儘管比特幣（BTC）在80,00美元的中期範圍內繼續保持穩定，但分析師預測，領先的加密貨幣可能即將出現明顯的波動性。

Cryptocurrency analyst Mignolet highlighted in a recent CryptoQuant post that approximately 170,000 BTC has been moved from the 3–6 month holder cohort.

加密貨幣分析師Mignolet在最近的一篇加密文章中強調，大約170,000 BTC已從3-6個月的持有人群中移動。

Historically, such large movements from this group have often preceded significant price swings in the cryptocurrency.

從歷史上看，該群體的如此龐大的運動通常在加密貨幣的價格波動之前進行了重大波動。

The analyst shared a chart showcasing how spikes in BTC movement from the 3–6 month cohort have frequently led to heightened price volatility. Notably, green boxes denote upward price movement, while red boxes indicate price declines.

這位分析師分享了一張圖表，展示了從3-6個月組中的BTC運動中的尖峰經常導致價格波動的提高。值得注意的是，綠色盒子表示向上的價格移動，而紅色盒子表示價格下降。

Several analysts have shared their insights on recent BTC price action based on both on-chain metrics and technical chart patterns.

幾位分析師分享了他們對基於鏈度指標和技術圖表模式的最新BTC價格行動的見解。

For example, seasoned crypto analyst Master of Crypto made an observation about the realized price of short-term holders (STH) versus long-term holders (LTH).

例如，經驗豐富的加密分析師加密貨幣分析師對短期持有人（STH）與長期持有人（LTH）的實現價格進行了觀察。

According to the analyst, STH are currently mostly in the red, with a realized price of around $92,700, while LTH have a realized price of $26,500, meaning they’re sitting on gains of over 200%.

根據分析師的說法，STH目前主要是紅色的，實現的價格約為92,700美元，而LTH的實現價格為26,500美元，這意味著他們的收益超過200％。

Master of Crypto added that whenever such a wide gap exists between STH and LTH realized prices, it often paves the way for severe price volatility.

加密大師補充說，每當STH和LTH之間存在如此巨大的差距都會實現價格時，它通常為嚴重的價格波動鋪平了道路。

They concluded by saying “either the weak hands fold, or we rip higher.”

他們結束時說：“弱的手要么折疊，要么我們撕裂更高。”

Another analyst, Ted, drew attention to BTC’s correlation with the global M2 money supply.

另一位分析師TED引起了BTC與全球M2貨幣供應的相關性的關注。

According to Ted, Bitcoin is tracking the growth in global M2 with a 108-day lag, suggesting a potential trend reversal as early as May. The analyst further added:

根據泰德（Ted）的說法，比特幣正在以108天的滯後來跟踪全球M2的增長，這表明早在5月，潛在的趨勢逆轉。分析師進一步補充：

“I think for the next few weeks, BTC could consolidate between $75K-$90K. During this timeframe, retail will most likely panic sell while smart money will accumulate.”

“我認為在接下來的幾週內，BTC可以鞏固75,000美元至9萬美元之間。在此期間，零售很可能會在智能貨幣累積的同時出售。”

Meanwhile, noted analyst Titan of Crypto recently stated that BTC’s consolidation around the $83,000 level could be laying the groundwork for a rally toward $135,000.

同時，Crypto的著名分析師Titan最近表示，BTC在83,000美元左右的合併可能會將集會的基礎歸為135,000美元。