XRP价格预测：特朗普 - 鲍威尔冲突会发动硬币飙升吗？

当前的价格运动与美国的政治紧张局势相吻合

The current price movement coincides with mounting political tension in the United States, where President Donald Trump is reportedly considering the removal of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This potential development, paired with anticipated regulatory clarity, is fueling bullish sentiment in the broader crypto market and prompting discussions over a possible surge in XRP price.

目前的价格运动与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统正在考虑罢免美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）的政治紧张局势相吻合。这种潜在的发展与预期的监管清晰度相结合，正在推动更广泛的加密货币市场中的看涨情绪，并促使人们讨论了可能的XRP价格上涨。

Trump-Powell Clash and Macro Impact on Crypto

特朗普 - 鲍威尔冲突和对加密货币的宏观影响

The drama surrounding the Federal Reserve’s leadership has stirred financial markets. According to White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett, Trump’s team is actively reviewing whether the president could fire Powell, a move that would defy long-standing traditions surrounding central bank independence.

围绕美联储领导层的戏剧激起了金融市场。白宫经济顾问凯文·哈塞特（Kevin Hassett）表示，特朗普的团队正在积极审查总统是否可以解雇鲍威尔，这一举动将无视围绕中央银行独立的长期传统。

Trump, who appointed Powell, now wants to fire him for acting independently, sparking fears of a politically driven Fed. Source: Ash Crypto via X

任命鲍威尔（Powell）的特朗普现在想解雇他独立行动，引发了对政治驱动的美联储的恐惧。资料来源：Ash Crypto通过X

“The president and his team will continue to study that matter,” Hassett confirmed when questioned about Powell’s potential ouster. Trump has publicly criticized Powell for refusing to lower interest rates, accusing him of “playing politics.”

“总统及其团队将继续研究这件事，”哈塞特（Hassett）在质疑鲍威尔（Powell）的潜在罢工时确认。特朗普公开批评鲍威尔拒绝降低利率，指责他“发挥政治”。

Should Trump follow through, such a decision would not only shake traditional markets but could also spark a shift in sentiment toward decentralized assets. In such a scenario, Bitcoin could surge past $110,000, as investors look to hedge against fiat uncertainty. This kind of macro shock, many analysts believe, would trigger a bullish breakout for high-beta altcoins like XRP.

如果特朗普遵循，这样的决定不仅会动摇传统市场，而且还可能引发情绪转向分散资产。在这种情况下，由于投资者希望对冲菲亚特不确定性，比特币可能会超过110,000美元。许多分析人士认为，这种宏观冲击将引发像XRP这样的高β山雀的看涨突破。

Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that Trump’s unexpectedly large tariffs could pose a historic challenge for the central bank. Source: Brian Krassenstein via X

美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）警告说，特朗普出乎意料的大型关税可能会对中央银行构成历史性挑战。资料来源：Brian Krassenstein通过X

“A sudden crystallization of the threat to Fed independence would both intensify market stress and shift it in more of a stagflationary direction with a sharp increase in tail risk,” Evercore ISI Vice Chair Krishna Guha noted.

Evercore ISI Vice主席Krishna Guha指出：“对喂养独立性的威胁的突然结晶既会加剧市场压力，又会朝着更大的散落向方向转移，尾巴风险急剧增加。”

XRP Price Forecast: Could $3.15 Be in Sight?

XRP价格预测：$ 3.15可以看到吗？

At present, XRP price is hovering above a key support level at $2.08, with analysts projecting a potential rally of 30% to 40% if Bitcoin’s breakout materializes. Based on recent technical forecasts, XRP could climb toward $2.70 and possibly reach $3.15—provided broader risk appetite remains elevated and capital rotation into altcoins continues.

目前，XRP价格徘徊在2.08美元的关键支持水平以上，分析师预计，如果比特币的突破性实现，则预计30％至40％的潜在集会。根据最近的技术预测，XRP可能会攀升至2.70美元，并可能达到3.15美元 - 保留更广泛的风险胃口仍然升高，并且资本旋转向山寨币的旋转仍在继续。

Immediate technical targets include:

直接的技术目标包括：

The chart suggests XRP is exiting the Wyckoff Spring phase, signaling a potential major price markup ahead. Source: Prophecy_Trading on TradingView

图表表明，XRP正在退出Wyckoff春季，这表明了潜在的主要价格标记。资料来源：TradingView上的Prophecy_trading

If Bitcoin’s momentum sustains and macroeconomic turmoil intensifies, XRP could gain further traction. Ripple news surrounding its institutional relationships, such as with Bank of America and other major financial entities, also plays a role in boosting investor confidence.

如果比特币的动量维持和宏观经济动荡加剧，XRP可以进一步吸引。围绕其机构关系的涟漪新闻，例如与美国银行和其他主要金融实体，也在增强投资者的信心中发挥了作用。

Derivatives Market: Institutional Players Remain Cautious

衍生品市场：机构参与者保持谨慎

Despite this optimistic XRP price prediction, data from derivatives markets suggests that institutional traders are taking a more cautious approach. Over the past 24 hours, XRP derivatives volume has dropped by over 23%, and open interest has declined slightly by 0.42%.

尽管有这种乐观的XRP价格预测，但来自衍生品市场的数据表明，机构交易者正在采取更加谨慎的态度。在过去的24小时内，XRP衍生品量下降了23％以上，开放兴趣略有下降0.42％。

More strikingly, options volume has plunged 61.64%, indicating that institutional participants are steering away from volatility-heavy positions. However, options open interest has jumped by more than 31%, implying that traders are hedging against potential market swings rather than positioning outright for upside.

更引人注目的是，期权量减少了61.64％，表明机构参与者正在远离波动性繁重的位置。但是，期权开放兴趣增加了31％以上，这意味着交易者正在对抗潜在的市场波动，而不是直接定位上涨空间。

The long/short ratio across exchanges is relatively balanced at 0.98, which is uncharacteristic during true bull runs. On Binance, the retail-focused XRP/USDT long/short ratio stands at 2.076, while on OKX it hovers around 1.66, signaling that retail investors are more optimistic than institutional players.

跨交易所的长/短比相对平衡，为0.98，这在真正的牛跑期间是不典型的。在Binance上，以零售为重点的XRP/USDT长/短比为2.076，而OKX上则徘徊在1.66左右，这表明零售投资者比机构参与者更加乐观。

Yet, looking at top trader behavior, caution becomes evident. On Binance, the long/short ratio by position drops to 1.24, highlighting a potential reduction in leveraged bets.

然而，考虑到顶级交易者的行为，谨慎变得明显。在二进制方面，长/短比例按位置下降到1.24，突显了杠杆赌注的潜在减少。

Ripple Lawsuit and Regulatory Clarity Remain Key

连锁诉讼和监管清晰度仍然是关键

A significant variable in XRP’s long-term outlook remains the Ripple lawsuit with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Market participants continue to await final regulatory clarity, which many believe could unlock suppressed XRP value.

XRP长期前景的一个重大变化仍然是美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的连锁诉讼。市场参与者继续等待最终的法规清晰度，许多人认为这可以解锁抑制XRP值。

Brad Garlinghouse, CEO of Ripple, has remained optimistic that 2025 will bring a conclusion to the legal standoff, stating earlier this year that “the end is in sight.” A favorable resolution in the SEC Ripple case could lead to renewed institutional adoption and boost the Ripple exchange ecosystem.

Ripple首席执行官布拉德·加林豪斯（Brad Garlinghouse）对2025年的结论保持乐观，并表示今年早些时候指出“结束了”。在SEC Ripple案件中，有利的决议可能导致机构采用并增强连锁交换生态系统。

Regulatory clarity could also open the doors for Ripple to resume or expand its partnerships with major banks and financial institutions, further increasing the utility and stability of Ripple XRP news.

监管清晰度还可以为Ripple恢复或扩大与主要银行和金融机构的合作伙伴关系打开大门，从而进一步提高了Ripple XRP新闻的效用和稳定性。

Accumulation Phase: A Setup for the Next Move?

累积阶段：下一步的设置？

XRP’s current trading pattern appears to be part of a broader accumulation phase. Market analysts suggest that liquidity beneath the current price may soon be taken, setting the stage for a potential rally.

XRP的当前交易模式似乎是更广泛的积累阶段的一部分。市场分析师认为，当前价格下方可能很快下降，为潜在的集会奠定了基础。

Ripple (XRP) was trading at around $2.04, down 1.8% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP Liquid Index (XR

Ripple（XRP）的交易价格约为2.04美元，在发稿时24小时内下跌1.8％。资料来源：XRP液体指数（XR