XRP價格預測：特朗普 - 鮑威爾衝突會發動硬幣飆升嗎？

當前的價格運動與美國的政治緊張局勢相吻合

The current price movement coincides with mounting political tension in the United States, where President Donald Trump is reportedly considering the removal of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This potential development, paired with anticipated regulatory clarity, is fueling bullish sentiment in the broader crypto market and prompting discussions over a possible surge in XRP price.

目前的價格運動與美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）總統正在考慮罷免美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）的政治緊張局勢相吻合。這種潛在的發展與預期的監管清晰度相結合，正在推動更廣泛的加密貨幣市場中的看漲情緒，並促使人們討論了可能的XRP價格上漲。

Trump-Powell Clash and Macro Impact on Crypto

特朗普 - 鮑威爾衝突和對加密貨幣的宏觀影響

The drama surrounding the Federal Reserve’s leadership has stirred financial markets. According to White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett, Trump’s team is actively reviewing whether the president could fire Powell, a move that would defy long-standing traditions surrounding central bank independence.

圍繞美聯儲領導層的戲劇激起了金融市場。白宮經濟顧問凱文·哈塞特（Kevin Hassett）表示，特朗普的團隊正在積極審查總統是否可以解僱鮑威爾，這一舉動將無視圍繞中央銀行獨立的長期傳統。

Trump, who appointed Powell, now wants to fire him for acting independently, sparking fears of a politically driven Fed. Source: Ash Crypto via X

任命鮑威爾（Powell）的特朗普現在想解僱他獨立行動，引發了對政治驅動的美聯儲的恐懼。資料來源：Ash Crypto通過X

“The president and his team will continue to study that matter,” Hassett confirmed when questioned about Powell’s potential ouster. Trump has publicly criticized Powell for refusing to lower interest rates, accusing him of “playing politics.”

“總統及其團隊將繼續研究這件事，”哈塞特（Hassett）在質疑鮑威爾（Powell）的潛在罷工時確認。特朗普公開批評鮑威爾拒絕降低利率，指責他“發揮政治”。

Should Trump follow through, such a decision would not only shake traditional markets but could also spark a shift in sentiment toward decentralized assets. In such a scenario, Bitcoin could surge past $110,000, as investors look to hedge against fiat uncertainty. This kind of macro shock, many analysts believe, would trigger a bullish breakout for high-beta altcoins like XRP.

如果特朗普遵循，這樣的決定不僅會動搖傳統市場，而且還可能引發情緒轉向分散資產。在這種情況下，由於投資者希望對沖菲亞特不確定性，比特幣可能會超過110,000美元。許多分析人士認為，這種宏觀衝擊將引發像XRP這樣的高β山雀的看漲突破。

Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that Trump’s unexpectedly large tariffs could pose a historic challenge for the central bank. Source: Brian Krassenstein via X

美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）警告說，特朗普出乎意料的大型關稅可能會對中央銀行構成歷史性挑戰。資料來源：Brian Krassenstein通過X

“A sudden crystallization of the threat to Fed independence would both intensify market stress and shift it in more of a stagflationary direction with a sharp increase in tail risk,” Evercore ISI Vice Chair Krishna Guha noted.

Evercore ISI Vice主席Krishna Guha指出：“對餵養獨立性的威脅的突然結晶既會加劇市場壓力，又會朝著更大的散落向方向轉移，尾巴風險急劇增加。”

XRP Price Forecast: Could $3.15 Be in Sight?

XRP價格預測：$ 3.15可以看到嗎？

At present, XRP price is hovering above a key support level at $2.08, with analysts projecting a potential rally of 30% to 40% if Bitcoin’s breakout materializes. Based on recent technical forecasts, XRP could climb toward $2.70 and possibly reach $3.15—provided broader risk appetite remains elevated and capital rotation into altcoins continues.

目前，XRP價格徘徊在2.08美元的關鍵支持水平以上，分析師預計，如果比特幣的突破性實現，則預計30％至40％的潛在集會。根據最近的技術預測，XRP可能會攀升至2.70美元，並可能達到3.15美元 - 保留更廣泛的風險胃口仍然升高，並且資本旋轉向山寨幣的旋轉仍在繼續。

Immediate technical targets include:

直接的技術目標包括：

The chart suggests XRP is exiting the Wyckoff Spring phase, signaling a potential major price markup ahead. Source: Prophecy_Trading on TradingView

圖表表明，XRP正在退出Wyckoff春季，這表明了潛在的主要價格標記。資料來源：TradingView上的Prophecy_trading

If Bitcoin’s momentum sustains and macroeconomic turmoil intensifies, XRP could gain further traction. Ripple news surrounding its institutional relationships, such as with Bank of America and other major financial entities, also plays a role in boosting investor confidence.

如果比特幣的動量維持和宏觀經濟動盪加劇，XRP可以進一步吸引。圍繞其機構關係的漣漪新聞，例如與美國銀行和其他主要金融實體，也在增強投資者的信心中發揮了作用。

Derivatives Market: Institutional Players Remain Cautious

衍生品市場：機構參與者保持謹慎

Despite this optimistic XRP price prediction, data from derivatives markets suggests that institutional traders are taking a more cautious approach. Over the past 24 hours, XRP derivatives volume has dropped by over 23%, and open interest has declined slightly by 0.42%.

儘管有這種樂觀的XRP價格預測，但來自衍生品市場的數據表明，機構交易者正在採取更加謹慎的態度。在過去的24小時內，XRP衍生品量下降了23％以上，開放興趣略有下降0.42％。

More strikingly, options volume has plunged 61.64%, indicating that institutional participants are steering away from volatility-heavy positions. However, options open interest has jumped by more than 31%, implying that traders are hedging against potential market swings rather than positioning outright for upside.

更引人注目的是，期權量減少了61.64％，表明機構參與者正在遠離波動性繁重的位置。但是，期權開放興趣增加了31％以上，這意味著交易者正在對抗潛在的市場波動，而不是直接定位上漲空間。

The long/short ratio across exchanges is relatively balanced at 0.98, which is uncharacteristic during true bull runs. On Binance, the retail-focused XRP/USDT long/short ratio stands at 2.076, while on OKX it hovers around 1.66, signaling that retail investors are more optimistic than institutional players.

跨交易所的長/短比相對平衡，為0.98，這在真正的牛跑期間是不典型的。在Binance上，以零售為重點的XRP/USDT長/短比為2.076，而OKX上則徘徊在1.66左右，這表明零售投資者比機構參與者更加樂觀。

Yet, looking at top trader behavior, caution becomes evident. On Binance, the long/short ratio by position drops to 1.24, highlighting a potential reduction in leveraged bets.

然而，考慮到頂級交易者的行為，謹慎變得明顯。在二進制方面，長/短比例按位置下降到1.24，突顯了槓桿賭注的潛在減少。

Ripple Lawsuit and Regulatory Clarity Remain Key

連鎖訴訟和監管清晰度仍然是關鍵

A significant variable in XRP’s long-term outlook remains the Ripple lawsuit with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Market participants continue to await final regulatory clarity, which many believe could unlock suppressed XRP value.

XRP長期前景的一個重大變化仍然是美國證券交易委員會（SEC）的連鎖訴訟。市場參與者繼續等待最終的法規清晰度，許多人認為這可以解鎖抑制XRP值。

Brad Garlinghouse, CEO of Ripple, has remained optimistic that 2025 will bring a conclusion to the legal standoff, stating earlier this year that “the end is in sight.” A favorable resolution in the SEC Ripple case could lead to renewed institutional adoption and boost the Ripple exchange ecosystem.

Ripple首席執行官布拉德·加林豪斯（Brad Garlinghouse）對2025年的結論保持樂觀，並表示今年早些時候指出“結束了”。在SEC Ripple案件中，有利的決議可能導致機構採用並增強連鎖交換生態系統。

Regulatory clarity could also open the doors for Ripple to resume or expand its partnerships with major banks and financial institutions, further increasing the utility and stability of Ripple XRP news.

監管清晰度還可以為Ripple恢復或擴大與主要銀行和金融機構的合作夥伴關係打開大門，從而進一步提高了Ripple XRP新聞的效用和穩定性。

Accumulation Phase: A Setup for the Next Move?

累積階段：下一步的設置？

XRP’s current trading pattern appears to be part of a broader accumulation phase. Market analysts suggest that liquidity beneath the current price may soon be taken, setting the stage for a potential rally.

XRP的當前交易模式似乎是更廣泛的積累階段的一部分。市場分析師認為，當前價格下方可能很快下降，為潛在的集會奠定了基礎。

Ripple (XRP) was trading at around $2.04, down 1.8% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP Liquid Index (XR

Ripple（XRP）的交易價格約為2.04美元，在發稿時24小時內下跌1.8％。資料來源：XRP液體指數（XR