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加密货币新闻

XRP和比特币(BTC)价格动作类似于压缩的弹簧

2025/04/20 21:01

XRP和比特币(BTC)的价格动作类似于突然释放能量的脱落的边缘紧密压缩的弹簧。

XRP和比特币(BTC)价格动作类似于压缩的弹簧

The price action for XRP and bitcoin (BTC) resembles a tightly compressed spring on the verge of uncoiling with a sudden release of energy.

XRP和比特币(BTC)的价格动作类似于突然释放能量的脱落的边缘紧密压缩的弹簧。

That's the message from a key volatility indicator called Bollinger Bandwidth. Bollinger Bands are volatility bands set at plus two and minus two standard deviations above and below the 20-period moving average (SMA) of an asset's market price. The bandwidth measures the space between these bands as a percentage of the 20-day moving average.

这就是来自关键波动率指示器的消息,称为Bollinger带宽。布林乐队是波动率频段,设置为加上两个,并减去资产市场价格的20个周期移动平均值(SMA)的两个标准偏差。带宽可以衡量这些频段之间的空间,占20天移动平均线的百分比。

In the case of XRP, the Bollinger bandwidth has narrowed to its lowest level since October 2024 on the 4-hour chart, where each candle represents price action for a four-hour period. The 4-hour chart interval is quite popular in the 24/7 crypto market, allowing traders to analyze and predict short-term price movements. Bitcoin's 4-hour chart shows the same Bollinger bandwidth pattern in XRP.

就XRP而言,Bollinger带宽在2024年10月的4小时图表上已缩小到最低水平,每个蜡烛代表了四个小时的价格行动。 4小时的图表间隔在24/7加密市场中非常受欢迎,使交易者可以分析和预测短期价格变动。比特币的4小时图表显示了XRP中相同的Bollinger带宽图案。

The long-held belief is that tighter Bollinger bandwidth, reflecting a quiet period in the market, is akin to a compressed spring ready for significant movement.

长期以来的信念是,反映市场上安静的时期的布林带宽类似于压缩的弹簧,准备重大运动。

During these calm phases, the market accumulates energy that is eventually released once a clear direction is established, often leading to dramatic rallies or sharp price declines/ Both XRP and bitcoin surged in November-December following an extended range-bound period that left their bandwidth at levels comparable to those observed today.

在这些平静的阶段,市场积累了一旦建立明确的方向,最终会释放出能量,通常会导致急剧的集会或急剧的价格下降/ XRP和比特币在11月至12月飙升,此后延长了距离范围内的时期,这使他们的带宽处于与今天相当的水平。

That said, tighter bands do not always indicate a bullish volatility explosion; they can also foreshadow a sell-off. For example, the bands tightened in October 2022, signaling a significant move ahead, which materialized on the downside after FTX went bust.

也就是说,更紧密的乐队并不总是表明看涨的波动爆炸。他们还可以预示抛售。例如,乐队于2022年10月收紧,这表明了前进的重大举动,在FTX破产后,该动作在不利方面实现了。

It remains to be seen whether this latest spring compression will trigger bullish volatility or lead both tokens into a tailspin. The recent hawkish comments from Federal Reserve's Chairman Jerome Powell and selling by some whales favor the latter.

这项最新的弹簧压缩是触发看涨的波动还是将两个令牌带入尾旋还有待观察。美联储董事长杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)最近的鹰派评论和一些鲸鱼的销售有利于后者。

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