比特币（BTC）的价格显示了恢复的迹象，因为它的目的是$ 93500

当前，比特币的价格行动包含在两个重要的指数移动平均值之间，通常定义牛市的行为。

Bitcoin price is currently showing signs of recovery as it aims for the $93,500 level. However, traders remain cautious due to technical resistance that could potentially drive prices lower.

比特币价格目前显示出恢复的迹象，因为它的目标是93,500美元。但是，由于技术抵抗力可能会推动价格降低，交易者仍然保持谨慎。

According to analysis from Rekt Capital, BTC is consolidating within a triangular market structure developed by two critical exponential moving averages (EMAs). These EMAs usually factor into Bitcoin’s price action during bull markets.

根据REKT Capital的分析，BTC在由两个关键的指数移动平均值（EMA）开发的三角市场结构中巩固。这些EMA通常会在牛市期间考虑到比特币的价格行动。

BTC recently tested the bottom of the 50-week EMA as support. It is now pressing against the green 21-week EMA resistance at approximately $86,500.

BTC最近测试了50周EMA的底部作为支持。现在，它以大约86,500美元的价格对抗绿色的21周EMA阻力。

BTC faces triple-resistance at the 21-week EMA. Image: Rekt Capital

BTC在21周EMA面临三重抗性。图片：Rekt Capital

Last week saw Bitcoin price find support at the lower 50-week EMA. This week, the price is applying pressure to the green 21-week EMA resistance.

上周，比特币的价格在较低的50周EMA获得了支持。本周，价格正对绿色的21周EMA电阻施加压力。

This week’s analysis from Rekt Capital focused on how Bitcoin is consolidating inside a triangular market structure formed by these two Bull Market EMAs. A weekly close above the green 21-week EMA and successful post-breakout retest, as seen in mid-2021, would be the primary confirming indicator for a breakout.

本周REKT Capital的分析重点是比特币如何在这两个牛市EMAS形成的三角市场结构内整合。在2021年中期，每周都有21周的EMA和成功的破裂后重新测试，这将是突破的主要确认指标。

The 21-week EMA sits at around $86,500, making it the crucial level Bitcoin needs to break and reclaim to continue toward the all-important $93,500 (ReAccumulation Range Low) reclaim area.

21周的EMA位于86,500美元左右，因此，至关重要的比特币需要打破并恢复，以继续朝着最重要的93,500美元（重新计算范围低）回收面积。

Cycle analysis highlights that Bitcoin is exhibiting a downside deviation below the previous ReAccumulation Range, and for price to resynchronize with the overall range, BTC will need to reclaim the Range Low of $93,500.

周期分析强调，比特币的下行偏差低于以前的重新汇总范围，并且为了与整体范围重新同步，BTC将需要收回低点93,500美元的范围。

Bitcoin could fall to $80,500 if resistance holds

如果阻力保持，比特币可能会降至80,500美元

If Bitcoin price rejects from the triple-resistance area, a price drop to the $80,500 level becomes increasingly likely.

如果比特币价格从三重抗性区域拒绝，那么价格下跌至80,500美元的价格越来越大。

This level corresponds to the early March lows which previously acted as support but were subsequently lost. Notably, this support level was never technically reclaimed; instead, price moved upward past it without establishing a proper reclaim pattern.

该级别对应于3月初的低点，该低点以前是支持，但随后丢失了。值得注意的是，这种支持水平从未在技术上得到回收。取而代之的是，价格向上移动，而没有建立适当的回收模式。

Rekt Capital suggested that a rejection from current levels would make the $80,500 target logical. The 50-week EMA (shown in purple on the chart) sitting just below this level, potentially provides secondary support.

Rekt Capital建议，当前水平的拒绝将使$ 80,500的目标逻辑逻辑。 50周的EMA（在图表上以紫色为紫色显示）位于此级别下方，可能会提供次要支撑。

The confirmation signals for Bitcoin’s next move are clearly defined in the analysis. BTC needs to reclaim the triple-resistance as support, with a Weekly Close above the 21-week EMA serving as the major confirmation signal of a successful breakout. Until this occurs, price remains positioned at resistance with uncertain direction.

分析中明确定义了比特币下一步行动的确认信号。 BTC需要收回三重耐药性作为支持，每周接近21周的EMA，作为成功突破的主要确认信号。在这种情况发生之前，价格仍然保持在不确定方向的阻力位置。

In the meantime, Bitcoin must continue to hold its Daily Downtrend as support. The analysis describes how Bitcoin has already achieved a Daily Close above the Daily Downtrend and successfully retested it as support for the first time.

同时，比特币必须继续保持其日常趋势作为支持。该分析描述了比特币如何在每日下降趋势上超过每日的收盘价，并成功地将其重新测试为首次支持。

This post-breakout retesting of the Downtrend is “essential” to avoid price playing into a rejection from the Weekly triple-resistance. If Bitcoin can maintain this support while working to overcome the resistance levels above, it improves the chances for continued upward momentum toward the target recovery level.

对下降趋势的破裂后重新测试对于避免每周三重抗性的价格拒绝价格而“必不可少”。如果比特币在努力克服上述阻力水平时可以维持此支持，则它可以提高向目标恢复水平向上势头的机会。

Historical RSI Patterns Signal Potential Bottom Confirmation

历史RSI模式信号潜在的底部确认

Last week’s analysis from Rekt Capital examined historical Daily RSI (Relative Strength Index) tendencies and the Bullish Divergences they generate at market bottoms.

上周REKT Capital的分析检查了历史性的每日RSI（相对强度指数）趋势以及他们在市场底部产生的看涨分歧。

The analysis tracked how RSI forms Higher Lows while price makes Lower Lows – a classic bullish divergence pattern that often signals the end of downtrends.

该分析跟踪了RSI如何形成较高的低点，而价格则使低点 - 一种经典的看涨差异模式，通常标志着下降趋势的结束。

According to the data presented, the historical price difference in forming these Lower Lows has ranged from -0.32% to as much as -8.44%.

根据提出的数据，形成这些较低低点的历史价格差异范围从-0.32％到-8.44％。

In the current cycle, this price distance appears to be -2.79%, falling well within the historical range. More importantly, on the recent Bitcoin price rally, BTC seems to have solidified its RSI Higher Low formation.

在当前周期中，此价格距离似乎为-2.79％，落在历史范围内。更重要的是，在最近的比特币价格集会上，BTC似乎巩固了其RSI更高的低层形成。

The newsletter points out a consistent pattern: whenever RSI Higher Lows form as part of Bullish Divergences in this cycle, it effectively signals that the price bottom is already established. This technical observation adds weight to the theory that Bitcoin may have found its local bottom in the recent correction.

该新闻通讯指出了一个一致的模式：每当RSI较高的低点作为本周期中的看涨分歧的一部分形成时，它实际上就表明价格最低的已经建立。该技术观察结果增加了比特币在最近的校正中发现其局部底层的理论。

For confirmation of this bottom, Bitcoin will need to break convincingly beyond its current Price Downtrend. Such a move would transition Bitcoin into a new technical uptrend and likely confirm that the bottom of this correction phase is definitively in place.

为了确认此底部，比特币将需要令人信服地超越其当前的价格下降趋势。这样的举动将将比特币转变为新的技术上升趋势，并可能确认该校正阶段的底部已确定到位。