比特幣（BTC）的價格顯示了恢復的跡象，因為它的目的是$ 93500

當前，比特幣的價格行動包含在兩個重要的指數移動平均值之間，通常定義牛市的行為。

Bitcoin price is currently showing signs of recovery as it aims for the $93,500 level. However, traders remain cautious due to technical resistance that could potentially drive prices lower.

比特幣價格目前顯示出恢復的跡象，因為它的目標是93,500美元。但是，由於技術抵抗力可能會推動價格降低，交易者仍然保持謹慎。

According to analysis from Rekt Capital, BTC is consolidating within a triangular market structure developed by two critical exponential moving averages (EMAs). These EMAs usually factor into Bitcoin’s price action during bull markets.

根據REKT Capital的分析，BTC在由兩個關鍵的指數移動平均值（EMA）開發的三角市場結構中鞏固。這些EMA通常會在牛市期間考慮到比特幣的價格行動。

BTC recently tested the bottom of the 50-week EMA as support. It is now pressing against the green 21-week EMA resistance at approximately $86,500.

BTC最近測試了50週EMA的底部作為支持。現在，它以大約86,500美元的價格對抗綠色的21週EMA阻力。

BTC faces triple-resistance at the 21-week EMA. Image: Rekt Capital

BTC在21週EMA面臨三重抗性。圖片：Rekt Capital

Last week saw Bitcoin price find support at the lower 50-week EMA. This week, the price is applying pressure to the green 21-week EMA resistance.

上週，比特幣的價格在較低的50週EMA獲得了支持。本週，價格正對綠色的21週EMA電阻施加壓力。

This week’s analysis from Rekt Capital focused on how Bitcoin is consolidating inside a triangular market structure formed by these two Bull Market EMAs. A weekly close above the green 21-week EMA and successful post-breakout retest, as seen in mid-2021, would be the primary confirming indicator for a breakout.

本週REKT Capital的分析重點是比特幣如何在這兩個牛市EMAS形成的三角市場結構內整合。在2021年中期，每週都有21週的EMA和成功的破裂後重新測試，這將是突破的主要確認指標。

The 21-week EMA sits at around $86,500, making it the crucial level Bitcoin needs to break and reclaim to continue toward the all-important $93,500 (ReAccumulation Range Low) reclaim area.

21週的EMA位於86,500美元左右，因此，至關重要的比特幣需要打破並恢復，以繼續朝著最重要的93,500美元（重新計算範圍低）回收面積。

Cycle analysis highlights that Bitcoin is exhibiting a downside deviation below the previous ReAccumulation Range, and for price to resynchronize with the overall range, BTC will need to reclaim the Range Low of $93,500.

週期分析強調，比特幣的下行偏差低於以前的重新匯總範圍，並且為了與整體範圍重新同步，BTC將需要收回低點93,500美元的範圍。

Bitcoin could fall to $80,500 if resistance holds

如果阻力保持，比特幣可能會降至80,500美元

If Bitcoin price rejects from the triple-resistance area, a price drop to the $80,500 level becomes increasingly likely.

如果比特幣價格從三重抗性區域拒絕，那麼價格下跌至80,500美元的價格越來越大。

This level corresponds to the early March lows which previously acted as support but were subsequently lost. Notably, this support level was never technically reclaimed; instead, price moved upward past it without establishing a proper reclaim pattern.

該級別對應於3月初的低點，該低點以前是支持，但隨後丟失了。值得注意的是，這種支持水平從未在技術上得到回收。取而代之的是，價格向上移動，而沒有建立適當的回收模式。

Rekt Capital suggested that a rejection from current levels would make the $80,500 target logical. The 50-week EMA (shown in purple on the chart) sitting just below this level, potentially provides secondary support.

Rekt Capital建議，當前水平的拒絕將使$ 80,500的目標邏輯邏輯。 50週的EMA（在圖表上以紫色為紫色顯示）位於此級別下方，可能會提供次要支撐。

The confirmation signals for Bitcoin’s next move are clearly defined in the analysis. BTC needs to reclaim the triple-resistance as support, with a Weekly Close above the 21-week EMA serving as the major confirmation signal of a successful breakout. Until this occurs, price remains positioned at resistance with uncertain direction.

分析中明確定義了比特幣下一步行動的確認信號。 BTC需要收回三重耐藥性作為支持，每週接近21週的EMA，作為成功突破的主要確認信號。在這種情況發生之前，價格仍然保持在不確定方向的阻力位置。

In the meantime, Bitcoin must continue to hold its Daily Downtrend as support. The analysis describes how Bitcoin has already achieved a Daily Close above the Daily Downtrend and successfully retested it as support for the first time.

同時，比特幣必須繼續保持其日常趨勢作為支持。該分析描述了比特幣如何在每日下降趨勢上超過每日的收盤價，並成功地將其重新測試為首次支持。

This post-breakout retesting of the Downtrend is “essential” to avoid price playing into a rejection from the Weekly triple-resistance. If Bitcoin can maintain this support while working to overcome the resistance levels above, it improves the chances for continued upward momentum toward the target recovery level.

對下降趨勢的破裂後重新測試對於避免每週三重抗性的價格拒絕價格而“必不可少”。如果比特幣在努力克服上述阻力水平時可以維持此支持，則它可以提高向目標恢復水平向上勢頭的機會。

Historical RSI Patterns Signal Potential Bottom Confirmation

歷史RSI模式信號潛在的底部確認

Last week’s analysis from Rekt Capital examined historical Daily RSI (Relative Strength Index) tendencies and the Bullish Divergences they generate at market bottoms.

上週REKT Capital的分析檢查了歷史性的每日RSI（相對強度指數）趨勢以及他們在市場底部產生的看漲分歧。

The analysis tracked how RSI forms Higher Lows while price makes Lower Lows – a classic bullish divergence pattern that often signals the end of downtrends.

該分析跟踪了RSI如何形成較高的低點，而價格則使低點 - 一種經典的看漲差異模式，通常標誌著下降趨勢的結束。

According to the data presented, the historical price difference in forming these Lower Lows has ranged from -0.32% to as much as -8.44%.

根據提出的數據，形成這些較低低點的歷史價格差異範圍從-0.32％到-8.44％。

In the current cycle, this price distance appears to be -2.79%, falling well within the historical range. More importantly, on the recent Bitcoin price rally, BTC seems to have solidified its RSI Higher Low formation.

在當前週期中，此價格距離似乎為-2.79％，落在歷史範圍內。更重要的是，在最近的比特幣價格集會上，BTC似乎鞏固了其RSI更高的低層形成。

The newsletter points out a consistent pattern: whenever RSI Higher Lows form as part of Bullish Divergences in this cycle, it effectively signals that the price bottom is already established. This technical observation adds weight to the theory that Bitcoin may have found its local bottom in the recent correction.

該新聞通訊指出了一個一致的模式：每當RSI較高的低點作為本週期中的看漲分歧的一部分形成時，它實際上就表明價格最低的已經建立。該技術觀察結果增加了比特幣在最近的校正中發現其局部底層的理論。

For confirmation of this bottom, Bitcoin will need to break convincingly beyond its current Price Downtrend. Such a move would transition Bitcoin into a new technical uptrend and likely confirm that the bottom of this correction phase is definitively in place.

為了確認此底部，比特幣將需要令人信服地超越其當前的價格下降趨勢。這樣的舉動將將比特幣轉變為新的技術上升趨勢，並可能確認該校正階段的底部已確定到位。