比特幣（BTC）可能接近完成其價格更正，為2025年突破奠定了基礎

根據最近的一個加密快速帖子，比特幣（BTC）可能接近完成當前市場週期的價格校正。

According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by CryptoQuant contributor Crypto Dan, Bitcoin (BTC) may be close to completing its price correction for the current market cycle.

根據加密貢獻者Crypto Dan的最新加密快速帖子，比特幣（BTC）可能接近完成當前市場週期的價格校正。

The premier cryptocurrency appears primed for positive movement in 2025, despite lingering macroeconomic uncertainty.

儘管宏觀經濟的不確定性持續存在，但在2025年，主要的加密貨幣似乎是為了積極運動。

Crypto Dan highlighted that BTC is currently undergoing a correction phase similar to the one observed in 2024. The analyst noted that the amount of BTC held for less than one week to one month can serve as an indicator of how “overheated” the crypto market is.

Crypto Dan強調，BTC目前正在進行與2024年觀察到的校正階段相似的校正階段。分析師指出，持有的BTC數量不到一個星期到一個月，可以用來表明該加密市場的“過度加熱”。

For context, in markets with high speculative activity – such as crypto – price pullbacks tend to be significant. In contrast, markets with lower speculation, like gold, typically experience shallower corrections.

在上下文中，在高投機活動（例如加密貨幣）的市場中，價格下跌趨勢往往很大。相比之下，猜測較低的市場（例如黃金）通常會經歷較淺的校正。

Crypto Dan shared the following chart showing three major phases of the crypto market – a market rally (red arrow), an increase in the ratio of BTC held for less than one week to one month (green pattern), and a subsequent correction (yellow arrow). He explained that this pattern has played out twice during the current bull market, with both instances showing similarly elevated levels of short-term BTC suggestions a comparable degree of market overheating.

Crypto Dan分享了以下圖表，顯示了加密市場的三個主要階段 - 市場集會（紅色箭頭），持有的BTC比率增加了不到一個星期到一個月（綠色模式），以及隨後的更正（黃色箭頭）。他解釋說，這種模式在當前的牛市中已經兩次發揮作用，這兩種情況都表明，短期BTC建議水平相似地提高了可比的市場過熱程度。

This ratio has now reached a cycle low, highlighted in the yellow-box region of the chart. Notably, the same region also marked the bottom of the 2024 market cycle. If the pattern mirrors its behaviour from 2024, it could indicate that the current cycle has also bottomed out. Crypto Dan explained:

現在，該比率達到了一個循環，在圖表的黃色盒子區域中突出顯示。值得注意的是，同一地區也標誌著2024年市場週期的底部。如果該模式從2024年開始反映其行為，則可以表明當前週期也已經觸底了。加密丹解釋說：

“In other words, the overheating is now resolved, and although we may need to wait a little longer, with the progress of macroeconomic issues, 2025 is likely to show a positive movement.”

“換句話說，現在已經解決了過熱，儘管我們可能需要等待更長的時間，而隨著宏觀經濟問題的進展，2025年可能會顯示出積極的運動。”

Adding to the optimism, a separate post on X by crypto analyst Titan of Crypto also points to a possible shift in momentum. The analyst noted that BTC recently formed a golden cross on the daily chart – a bullish signal that often suggests a trend reversal is underway.

加密分析師泰坦（Titan）在X上的單獨帖子增加了樂觀，也表明了動量的轉變。分析師指出，BTC最近在每日圖表上形成了一個金十字架 - 看漲信號通常表明趨勢逆轉正在進行中。

For the uninitiated, a golden cross occurs when Bitcoin’s 50-day moving average crosses above its 200-day moving average, signalling a potential long-term bullish trend. It’s widely seen as a buy signal by traders, indicating growing upward momentum.

對於初學者，當比特幣的50天移動平均線超過其200天移動平均線時，就會發生黃金十字架，這表明潛在的長期看漲趨勢。它被廣泛視為交易者的買入信號，表明向上勢頭成長。

BTC Futures Sentiment Index Signals Caution

BTC期貨情緒指數信號警告

Despite these bullish signals, not all analysts are convinced. Fellow CryptoQuant contributor abramchart recently observed that BTC’s futures sentiment index has continued to decline since February, suggesting a more cautious outlook among derivatives traders.

儘管有這些看漲信號，但並非所有分析師都相信。同胞加密貢獻者Abramchart最近觀察到，自2月以來，BTC的未來情緒指數一直在下降，這表明衍生品交易員的前景更加謹慎。

Another CryptoQuant contributor, Ben, highlighted a recent report by the ChainHead research institute, which suggests that China could be preparing to sell a large amount of confiscated BTC in 2024. According to Ben, this move may increase selling pressure and could potentially suppress BTC’s price in the short term.

另一位加密貢獻者Ben強調了Chainhead Research Institute最近的一份報告，該報告表明，中國可能準備在2024年出售大量沒收的BTC。

At press time, BTC trades at $84,766, down 0.1% in the past 24 hours.

發稿時，BTC的交易價格為84,766美元，在過去24小時內下跌0.1％。