比特幣（BTC）面對“前所未有的”美元相關性，因為新的BTC價格研究提供了75,000美元的樓層。

在4月18日的最新分析中，網絡經濟學家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）計算出，在未來三個月內，BTC/USD可能會上升到138,000美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) faces "unprecedented" US dollar correlation as new BTC price research gives a $75,000 floor.

比特幣（BTC）面對“前所未有的”美元相關性，因為新的BTC價格研究提供了75,000美元的樓層。

In one of his latest analyses on April 18, network economist Timothy Peterson calculated that BTC/USD may rise as high as $138,000 within the next three months.

在4月18日的最新分析中，網絡經濟學家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）計算出，在未來三個月內，BTC/USD可能會上升到138,000美元。

BTC price probabilities give bulls the upper hand

BTC價格概率使公牛占上風

Bitcoin is navigating highly unusual macroeconomic conditions as a result of the ongoing US trade war, but history still offers clues as to where BTC price action may head next.

由於美國正在進行的貿易戰，比特幣正在駕駛高度不尋常的宏觀經濟狀況，但歷史仍然提供了有關BTC價格行動下一步可能出現的線索。

For Peterson, the US High Yield Index Effective Yield, currently at over 8%, holds the key.

對於彼得森而言，美國高收益指數的有效收益率目前超過8％，是關鍵。

"This has happened 38 times since 2010 (monthly data).

“自2010年以來，這已經發生了38次（每月數據）。

With BTC/USD performance thus skewed to the upside, Peterson gave hope to those waiting for a rematch of all-time highs from January.

隨著BTC/USD的性能偏向上升，彼得森給那些等待一月份開始有史以來高潮的人帶來了希望。

"This likely puts Bitcoin between $75k and $138k within 90 days," he concluded.

他總結說：“這可能在90天內將比特幣在$ 75K到13.8萬美元之間。”

Bitcoin would need to deliver 62% gains within that period to achieve that maximum level.

比特幣需要在此期間提供62％的收益才能達到最高水平。

As Cointelegraph reported, Peterson has been a frequent contributor to BTC price forecasts in 2025, with one of his proprietary tools, Lowest Price Forward, giving 95% odds of a $69,000 floor in March.

正如Cointelegraph所報導的那樣，彼得森經常為2025年BTC價格預測提供了貢獻，他的專有工具之一是最低價格，3月份的價格為69,000美元。

Bitcoin DXY correlation will flip negative

比特幣DXY相關性將負面影響

Turning his attention to the dramatic drop in the US dollar index (DXY) thanks to US trade tariffs, he predicted that its unusual positive correlation with BTC would ultimately end.

由於我們的貿易關稅，他將注意力轉向了美元指數（DXY）的急劇下降，他預測其與BTC的異常正相關最終將結束。

Related: Bitcoin price volatility 'imminent' as speculators move 170K BTC — CryptoQuant

相關：當投機者移動170k BTC時，比特幣價格波動“迫在眉睫” - 加密量

"This level of BTC-USD correlation is unprecedented. The relationship is not causal, but reflective of underlying conditions affecting both."

“這種BTC-USD相關性的水平是前所未有的。這種關係不是因果關係，而是反映了影響兩者的潛在條件。”

DXY continued to stay below the key 100 mark on April 18, per data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView, reflecting some of its lowest levels in the past three years.

DXY在4月18日的數據中，DXY繼續保持低於100大關，這是Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的數據，反映了過去三年中其最低水平。

Earlier, separate analysis nonetheless saw the potential for Bitcoin to directly benefit from dollar weakness in a manner similar to the early innings of the bull run in 2023.

儘管如此，單獨的分析仍然使比特幣以類似於2023年公牛奔跑的早期局的方式直接從美元弱點中受益。

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投資建議或建議。每個投資和交易舉動都涉及風險，讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。