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在跌至 59000 美元以下的多周低点后,市场参与者看到比特币重新获得动力,并在周末回升至 63000 美元。
Bitcoin price has seen a remarkable recovery over the past week, rising from a multi-week low of under $59,000 to nearly $68,000 at the time of writing. This bullish trend has been accompanied by a surge in open interest, indicating heightened market activity and institutional participation.
过去一周,比特币价格显着回升,从 59,000 美元以下的多周低点上涨至撰写本文时的近 68,000 美元。这种看涨趋势伴随着未平仓合约的激增,表明市场活动和机构参与度增加。
After briefly dipping to $67,000 during the midweek, Bitcoin price stabilized above $68,000 by Friday. This price action follows a significant pullback from the $73,000 high reached in March 2024.
比特币价格在周中短暂跌至 67,000 美元后,到周五稳定在 68,000 美元以上。此次价格走势是在 2024 年 3 月触及的 73,000 美元高点大幅回调之后出现的。
Open interest in Bitcoin has surged to unprecedented levels, reaching $20 billion according to data from CryptoQuant. This marks a substantial increase from the previous high of $15 billion observed during Bitcoin’s rally in 2021.
根据 CryptoQuant 的数据,比特币的未平仓头寸已飙升至前所未有的水平,达到 200 亿美元。这标志着比特币 2021 年上涨期间创下的 150 亿美元高点大幅增加。
Historically, open interest, which measures the number of open derivative contracts, has shown a strong correlation with price movements, especially during periods of sharp market shifts. The recent surge in open interest suggests a significant influx of liquidity and interest in Bitcoin derivatives.
从历史上看,衡量未平仓衍生品合约数量的未平仓合约与价格变动具有很强的相关性,尤其是在市场剧烈波动期间。最近未平仓合约的激增表明,比特币衍生品的流动性和兴趣大量涌入。
This heightened activity also indicates that traders are increasingly willing to engage in leveraged positions, a development that could signal bullish sentiment while also introducing increased risk into the market.
这种活动的加剧还表明交易者越来越愿意参与杠杆头寸,这一发展可能预示着看涨情绪,同时也给市场带来了更大的风险。
In a chart shared by CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, the relationship between Bitcoin’s price and open interest is evident. During Bitcoin’s rally from late 2020 to mid-2021, when the price surged from $10,000 to nearly $60,000, open interest also rose, reaching around $15 billion.
在 CryptoQuant 首席执行官 Ki Young Ju 分享的图表中,比特币价格与未平仓合约之间的关系显而易见。在比特币从 2020 年底到 2021 年中的上涨过程中,价格从 10,000 美元飙升至近 60,000 美元,未平仓合约也有所增加,达到约 150 亿美元。
Conversely, during subsequent market corrections in 2021 and 2022, open interest dropped in tandem with price declines. The current increase in open interest is particularly significant because the price of Bitcoin remains only 8% away from its all-time high of $73,737.94.
相反,在随后的 2021 年和 2022 年市场调整期间,未平仓合约随着价格下跌而下降。目前未平仓合约的增长尤其显着,因为比特币的价格距离历史高点 73,737.94 美元仅相差 8%。
Meanwhile, as the chart shows, significant correction often follows during a peak in open interest. The current figure suggests the market may be overheated and due for a substantial retracement.
与此同时,如图所示,在未平仓合约达到峰值期间,通常会出现重大调整。目前的数据表明市场可能过热,并可能出现大幅回调。
On the other hand, Bitcoin Futures open interest on CME has reached an all-time high, largely driven by institutional investors building up long positions.
另一方面,芝商所的比特币期货未平仓合约已创历史新高,这主要是由机构投资者建立多头头寸推动的。
According to Vetle Lunde, head of K33 Research, CME open interest hit a new notional peak of 172,430 BTC on Tuesday. Last week, there was an increase of 19,120 BTC, marking the most notable three-day growth since June 2023.
K33 Research 负责人 Vetle Lunde 表示,周二 CME 未平仓合约达到 172,430 BTC 的新名义峰值。上周比特币增加了 19,120 个,这是自 2023 年 6 月以来最显着的三天增长。
This substantial build-up of longs by institutions comes as Bitcoin price has risen by over 15% year-to-date from the $58,000 level in January. The price has been largely rangebound since then, with key resistance at $73,000 and support around $54,000.
机构大量增加多头头寸之际,比特币价格今年迄今已较 1 月份的 58,000 美元水平上涨了 15% 以上。此后价格一直在区间波动,关键阻力位为 73,000 美元,支撑位为 54,000 美元左右。
As reported by The Crypto Basic, Bitcoin open interest on CME hit a record high of 182,000 BTC in March 2024, coinciding with the price reaching its all-time peak.
据 The Crypto Basic 报道,2024 年 3 月,CME 的比特币未平仓合约创下 182,000 BTC 的历史新高,同时价格也达到历史最高点。
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