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在跌至 59,000 美元以下的多周低點後,市場參與者看到比特幣重新獲得動力,並在周末回升至 63,000 美元。
Bitcoin price has seen a remarkable recovery over the past week, rising from a multi-week low of under $59,000 to nearly $68,000 at the time of writing. This bullish trend has been accompanied by a surge in open interest, indicating heightened market activity and institutional participation.
過去一周,比特幣價格顯著回升,從 59,000 美元以下的多周低點上漲至撰寫本文時的近 68,000 美元。這種看漲趨勢伴隨著未平倉合約的激增,顯示市場活動和機構參與度增加。
After briefly dipping to $67,000 during the midweek, Bitcoin price stabilized above $68,000 by Friday. This price action follows a significant pullback from the $73,000 high reached in March 2024.
比特幣價格在周中短暫跌至 67,000 美元後,到週五穩定在 68,000 美元以上。此次價格走勢是在 2024 年 3 月觸及的 73,000 美元高點大幅回檔之後發生的。
Open interest in Bitcoin has surged to unprecedented levels, reaching $20 billion according to data from CryptoQuant. This marks a substantial increase from the previous high of $15 billion observed during Bitcoin’s rally in 2021.
根據 CryptoQuant 的數據,比特幣的未平倉部位已飆升至前所未有的水平,達到 200 億美元。這標誌著比特幣 2021 年上漲期間創下的 150 億美元高點大幅增加。
Historically, open interest, which measures the number of open derivative contracts, has shown a strong correlation with price movements, especially during periods of sharp market shifts. The recent surge in open interest suggests a significant influx of liquidity and interest in Bitcoin derivatives.
從歷史上看,衡量未平倉衍生性合約數量的未平倉合約與價格變動具有很強的相關性,尤其是在市場劇烈波動期間。最近未平倉合約的激增表明,比特幣衍生品的流動性和興趣大量湧入。
This heightened activity also indicates that traders are increasingly willing to engage in leveraged positions, a development that could signal bullish sentiment while also introducing increased risk into the market.
這種活動的加劇也表明交易者越來越願意參與槓桿頭寸,這一發展可能預示著看漲情緒,同時也為市場帶來了更大的風險。
In a chart shared by CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, the relationship between Bitcoin’s price and open interest is evident. During Bitcoin’s rally from late 2020 to mid-2021, when the price surged from $10,000 to nearly $60,000, open interest also rose, reaching around $15 billion.
在 CryptoQuant 執行長 Ki Young Ju 分享的圖表中,比特幣價格與未平倉合約之間的關係顯而易見。在比特幣從 2020 年底到 2021 年年中的上漲過程中,價格從 1 萬美元飆升至近 6 萬美元,未平倉合約也有所增加,達到約 150 億美元。
Conversely, during subsequent market corrections in 2021 and 2022, open interest dropped in tandem with price declines. The current increase in open interest is particularly significant because the price of Bitcoin remains only 8% away from its all-time high of $73,737.94.
相反,在隨後的 2021 年和 2022 年市場調整期間,未平倉合約隨著價格下跌而下降。目前未平倉合約的成長尤其顯著,因為比特幣的價格距離歷史高點 73,737.94 美元僅相差 8%。
Meanwhile, as the chart shows, significant correction often follows during a peak in open interest. The current figure suggests the market may be overheated and due for a substantial retracement.
同時,如圖所示,在未平倉合約達到高峰期間,通常會出現重大調整。目前的數據顯示市場可能過熱,並可能出現大幅回檔。
On the other hand, Bitcoin Futures open interest on CME has reached an all-time high, largely driven by institutional investors building up long positions.
另一方面,芝商所的比特幣期貨未平倉合約已創歷史新高,這主要是由機構投資者建立多頭部位所推動的。
According to Vetle Lunde, head of K33 Research, CME open interest hit a new notional peak of 172,430 BTC on Tuesday. Last week, there was an increase of 19,120 BTC, marking the most notable three-day growth since June 2023.
K33 Research 負責人 Vetle Lunde 表示,週二 CME 未平倉合約達到 172,430 BTC 的新名目高峰。上週比特幣增加了 19,120 個,這是自 2023 年 6 月以來最顯著的三天增長。
This substantial build-up of longs by institutions comes as Bitcoin price has risen by over 15% year-to-date from the $58,000 level in January. The price has been largely rangebound since then, with key resistance at $73,000 and support around $54,000.
機構大量增加多頭部位之際,比特幣價格今年迄今已較 1 月的 58,000 美元水準上漲了 15% 以上。此後價格一直在區間波動,關鍵阻力位在 73,000 美元,支撐位約 54,000 美元。
As reported by The Crypto Basic, Bitcoin open interest on CME hit a record high of 182,000 BTC in March 2024, coinciding with the price reaching its all-time peak.
根據 The Crypto Basic 報道,2024 年 3 月,CME 的比特幣未平倉合約創下 182,000 BTC 的歷史新高,同時價格也達到歷史最高點。
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