比特币（BTC）价格可能会随着鲸鱼活动的变化而看到恢复

对于市场来说，这是新的一周，投资者渴望看到比特币价格是否会坚持恢复轨迹。特别是随着市场最近的变化引发了持有人动态的转变。

It’s a new week for the market and investors are eager to see whether Bitcoin price will stick to a recovery trajectory. Especially with recent changes in the market triggering a shift in holder dynamics.

对于市场来说，这是新的一周，投资者渴望看到比特币价格是否会坚持恢复轨迹。特别是随着市场最近的变化引发了持有人动态的转变。

Bitcoin price just concluded last week with the bears on top by a 2.29% gain from its weekly opening to closing price. Interestingly, that, was its second week concluding in the green since 30 March, despite initially kicking off last week on a bearish leg.

比特币价格上周刚刚结束时，熊队以每周的开放到收盘价的价格收益2.29％。有趣的是，这是自3月30日以来的第二周在果岭上结束，尽管上周最初在看跌的腿上开始。

Although Bitcoin’s weekly performance underscores the return of demand after a pause on tariff wars, uncertainty was still prevalent in the market.

尽管比特币的每周表现突显了关税战争停顿后需求的回报，但不确定性在市场上仍然普遍存在。

Especially as the latest fear and greed sentiment hovered at 45, which was still in fear territory.

尤其是当最新的恐惧和贪婪情绪徘徊在45岁时，这仍然处于恐惧领域。

The uncertainty signaled potential for short term profit-taking. Price had already dipped by 1.79% from its opening price on Sunday, to its $83,718 press time price tag.

不确定性标志着短期利润的潜力。价格已经从周日开盘价下跌1.79％，至其83,718美元的新闻时间价格标签。

Both the RSI and MFI confirmed a demand cool-down but could this signal that Bitcoin price is not ready to push back above $90,000? Its performance signaled a cautiously optimistic outlook in the market.

RSI和MFI都证实了需求降低，但是这表明比特币价格还没有准备好撤回90,000美元以上？它的表现标志着市场上谨慎乐观的前景。

Bitcoin Price May Benefit from Whale Inflows

比特币价格可能会受益于鲸鱼流入

Speaking of uncertainty, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost explored Binance whale activity under the current market conditions.

说到不确定性，加密分析师DarkFost在当前市场条件下探索了二鲸活动。

The analyst made some interesting observations which may offer insights into BTC’s potential move this week.

分析师做出了一些有趣的观察结果，这些观察可能会对本周BTC的潜在举动提供见解。

According to Darkfost’s analysis, Bitcoin’s 365-day Moving Average continued ticking up, signaling that the market was still in a long term uptrend.

根据DarkFost的分析，比特币的365天移动平均线继续滴答作响，这表明市场仍处于长期上升趋势。

The analysis also noted that whale activity in the short term was on the decline according to the 30-day Moving Average.

分析还指出，根据30天移动平均线，短期内的鲸鱼活动正在下降。

The short term whale retreat pushed whale activity to levels previously seen in September and October last year.

短期鲸鱼静修会将鲸鱼活​​动推向去年9月和10月的先前水平。

Binance whale to exchange ratio collaborated with the same observation, revealing that exchange inflows from whales cooled down significantly.

Binance Whale与交换比率与相同的观察结果合作，表明鲸鱼的交换流入显着冷却。

Darkfost also noted that the 30-day whale to exchange flow was drawn down by roughly $3 billion in the last 30 days.

DarkFost还指出，在过去30天内，30天的交换流量汇合了约30亿美元。

He noted that this latest drawdown was comparable with the massive correction in 2024 after the February and March rally.

他指出，这一最新缩减与2月和三月集会后2024年的大规模更正相当。

Darkfost concluded that whale activity still demonstrated confidence despite the recent highly volatile period characterized by heavy uncertainty.

Darkfost得出的结论是，尽管最近的高度不确定性为特征，鲸鱼活动仍表现出信心。

What is Smart Money’s Stance on Bitcoin?

聪明的钱对比特币的立场是什么？

The fear and greed index climbed to 45 in the last 24 hours, indicating slight sentiment recovery.

在过去的24小时内，恐惧和贪婪的指数攀升至45个，表明稍微恢复了情感。

However, it was still in fear territory, meaning the market was likely still focused on short term price movements.

但是，它仍然处于恐惧领域，这意味着市场可能仍集中在短期价格变动上。

Meanwhile, smart money, AKA whale activityregistered a massive spike between Wednesday and Friday saw a strong demand wave that contributed to Bitcoin’s bullish performance.

同时，聪明的钱，又名鲸鱼活动在周三至周五之间进行了巨大的尖峰，这一需求浪潮促成了比特币的看涨表现。

However, large holder netflows cooled down on Saturday, signaling that that it was a short term burst of whale activity.

但是，大型持有人的Netflows在周六冷却了，这表明这是短期的鲸鱼活动。

This may explain the downside in the last 24 hours as some traders took profits. Bitcoin balance by time held coincided with the aforementioned Darkfost analysis.

这可以解释过去24小时内的缺点，因为一些交易者拿走了利润。按时间持有的比特币平衡与上述Darkfost分析相吻合。

IntoTheblock data revealed that HODLer holdings (1 year plus) hovered at 12.37 million BTC. This was the same level of holdings that they had at the start of April.

Intotheblock数据显示，霍德勒控股（1年以上）徘徊在1237万BTC。这与4月初相同的股份水平。

Cruiser balances dipped slightly from 6.23 million BTC to 6.2 million BTC. Trader balances were up from 1.27 million coins to 1.3 million coins.

巡洋舰平衡从623万BTC略微下降至620万BTC。贸易商余额从127万个硬币增加到130万个硬币。

This signaled that swing traders may have taken profits while short term traders anticipate more upside.

这表明摇摆交易者可能已经获利了，而短期交易者预计会有更多的上涨空间。

The fact that long term holders have maintained their balances in the last 2 weeks could also signifying growing confidence.

长期持有人在过去两个星期中保持余额的事实也可能意味着日益增长的信心。

Especially after Bitcoin’s heavy discount since its January peak. This could indicate that long term HODLers do not expect Bitcoin price to fall much lower from its recent lows.

尤其是在比特币自1月峰值以来的折扣之后。这可能表明，长期的霍德尔人预计比特币价格不会比最近的低点低得多。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance continued ticking up, indicating that it stands to benefit the most in liquidity inflows make a strong comeback in crypto.

同时，比特币的支配地位继续勾勒出来，这表明它在流动性流入中受益最大，这使加密货币恢复了强烈的复出。