比特幣（BTC）價格可能會隨著鯨魚活動的變化而看到恢復

對於市場來說，這是新的一周，投資者渴望看到比特幣價格是否會堅持恢復軌跡。特別是隨著市場最近的變化引發了持有人動態的轉變。

It’s a new week for the market and investors are eager to see whether Bitcoin price will stick to a recovery trajectory. Especially with recent changes in the market triggering a shift in holder dynamics.

對於市場來說，這是新的一周，投資者渴望看到比特幣價格是否會堅持恢復軌跡。特別是隨著市場最近的變化引發了持有人動態的轉變。

Bitcoin price just concluded last week with the bears on top by a 2.29% gain from its weekly opening to closing price. Interestingly, that, was its second week concluding in the green since 30 March, despite initially kicking off last week on a bearish leg.

比特幣價格上周剛剛結束時，熊隊以每週的開放到收盤價的價格收益2.29％。有趣的是，這是自3月30日以來的第二週在果嶺上結束，儘管上週最初在看跌的腿上開始。

Although Bitcoin’s weekly performance underscores the return of demand after a pause on tariff wars, uncertainty was still prevalent in the market.

儘管比特幣的每週表現突顯了關稅戰爭停頓後需求的回報，但不確定性在市場上仍然普遍存在。

Especially as the latest fear and greed sentiment hovered at 45, which was still in fear territory.

尤其是當最新的恐懼和貪婪情緒徘徊在45歲時，這仍然處於恐懼領域。

The uncertainty signaled potential for short term profit-taking. Price had already dipped by 1.79% from its opening price on Sunday, to its $83,718 press time price tag.

不確定性標誌著短期利潤的潛力。價格已經從周日開盤價下跌1.79％，至其83,718美元的新聞時間價格標籤。

Both the RSI and MFI confirmed a demand cool-down but could this signal that Bitcoin price is not ready to push back above $90,000? Its performance signaled a cautiously optimistic outlook in the market.

RSI和MFI都證實了需求降低，但是這表明比特幣價格還沒有準備好撤回90,000美元以上？它的表現標誌著市場上謹慎樂觀的前景。

Bitcoin Price May Benefit from Whale Inflows

比特幣價格可能會受益於鯨魚流入

Speaking of uncertainty, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost explored Binance whale activity under the current market conditions.

說到不確定性，加密分析師DarkFost在當前市場條件下探索了二鯨活動。

The analyst made some interesting observations which may offer insights into BTC’s potential move this week.

分析師做出了一些有趣的觀察結果，這些觀察可能會對本週BTC的潛在舉動提供見解。

According to Darkfost’s analysis, Bitcoin’s 365-day Moving Average continued ticking up, signaling that the market was still in a long term uptrend.

根據DarkFost的分析，比特幣的365天移動平均線繼續滴答作響，這表明市場仍處於長期上升趨勢。

The analysis also noted that whale activity in the short term was on the decline according to the 30-day Moving Average.

分析還指出，根據30天移動平均線，短期內的鯨魚活動正在下降。

The short term whale retreat pushed whale activity to levels previously seen in September and October last year.

短期鯨魚靜修會將鯨魚活​​動推向去年9月和10月的先前水平。

Binance whale to exchange ratio collaborated with the same observation, revealing that exchange inflows from whales cooled down significantly.

Binance Whale與交換比率與相同的觀察結果合作，表明鯨魚的交換流入顯著冷卻。

Darkfost also noted that the 30-day whale to exchange flow was drawn down by roughly $3 billion in the last 30 days.

DarkFost還指出，在過去30天內，30天的交換流量匯合了約30億美元。

He noted that this latest drawdown was comparable with the massive correction in 2024 after the February and March rally.

他指出，這一最新縮減與2月和三月集會後2024年的大規模更正相當。

Darkfost concluded that whale activity still demonstrated confidence despite the recent highly volatile period characterized by heavy uncertainty.

Darkfost得出的結論是，儘管最近的高度不確定性為特徵，鯨魚活動仍表現出信心。

What is Smart Money’s Stance on Bitcoin?

聰明的錢對比特幣的立場是什麼？

The fear and greed index climbed to 45 in the last 24 hours, indicating slight sentiment recovery.

在過去的24小時內，恐懼和貪婪的指數攀升至45個，表明稍微恢復了情感。

However, it was still in fear territory, meaning the market was likely still focused on short term price movements.

但是，它仍然處於恐懼領域，這意味著市場可能仍集中在短期價格變動上。

Meanwhile, smart money, AKA whale activityregistered a massive spike between Wednesday and Friday saw a strong demand wave that contributed to Bitcoin’s bullish performance.

同時，聰明的錢，又名鯨魚活動在周三至週五之間進行了巨大的尖峰，這一需求浪潮促成了比特幣的看漲表現。

However, large holder netflows cooled down on Saturday, signaling that that it was a short term burst of whale activity.

但是，大型持有人的Netflows在周六冷卻了，這表明這是短期的鯨魚活動。

This may explain the downside in the last 24 hours as some traders took profits. Bitcoin balance by time held coincided with the aforementioned Darkfost analysis.

這可以解釋過去24小時內的缺點，因為一些交易者拿走了利潤。按時間持有的比特幣平衡與上述Darkfost分析相吻合。

IntoTheblock data revealed that HODLer holdings (1 year plus) hovered at 12.37 million BTC. This was the same level of holdings that they had at the start of April.

Intotheblock數據顯示，霍德勒控股（1年以上）徘徊在1237萬BTC。這與4月初相同的股份水平。

Cruiser balances dipped slightly from 6.23 million BTC to 6.2 million BTC. Trader balances were up from 1.27 million coins to 1.3 million coins.

巡洋艦平衡從623萬BTC略微下降至620萬BTC。貿易商餘額從127萬個硬幣增加到130萬個硬幣。

This signaled that swing traders may have taken profits while short term traders anticipate more upside.

這表明搖擺交易者可能已經獲利了，而短期交易者預計會有更多的上漲空間。

The fact that long term holders have maintained their balances in the last 2 weeks could also signifying growing confidence.

長期持有人在過去兩個星期中保持餘額的事實也可能意味著日益增長的信心。

Especially after Bitcoin’s heavy discount since its January peak. This could indicate that long term HODLers do not expect Bitcoin price to fall much lower from its recent lows.

尤其是在比特幣自1月峰值以來的折扣之後。這可能表明，長期的霍德爾人預計比特幣價格不會比最近的低點低得多。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance continued ticking up, indicating that it stands to benefit the most in liquidity inflows make a strong comeback in crypto.

同時，比特幣的支配地位繼續勾勒出來，這表明它在流動性流入中受益最大，這使加密貨幣恢復了強烈的複出。