IOTA（Miota）價格預測：下降三角模式信號潛在看跌趨勢

在過去一周中，IOTA的收益率為6％。儘管這似乎是一個積極的跡象，但技術指標表明可能形成了潛在的看跌趨勢。

IOTA has risen a modest 6% over the past week. While this may seem like a positive sign, technical indicators suggest a potential bearish trend may be forming, threatening to wipe out IOTA’s recent gains.

在過去一周中，Iota上升了6％。儘管這似乎是一個積極的信號，但技術指標表明可能形成了潛在的看跌趨勢，威脅要消除IOTA最近的收益。

A looming reversal pattern on the charts signals that if bullish momentum fails to pick up, the token could be heading for a downturn. This bearish flip could trigger a sharp price drop, aligning with the broader weakness observed in the cryptocurrency market.

圖表上有迫在眉睫的逆轉模式，表明如果看漲的勢頭無法拾取，代幣可能會走向低迷。這種看跌的翻轉可能會觸發價格下降，與加密貨幣市場中觀察到的更廣泛的弱點保持一致。

Market Sentiment: Weakness Across the Board

市場情緒：全面弱點

The wider crypto environment is still grappling with macroeconomic headwinds, putting a dampener on any swift recovery in the cryptocurrency market.

更廣泛的加密環境仍在與宏觀經濟的逆風斗爭，這使阻尼器在加密貨幣市場的任何迅速恢復中。

Large cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), are only just holding onto gains, with both trading in a less than 1% range over the past week. Meanwhile, Solana (SOL) is struggling to stay afloat, having lost around 3% in the past seven days.

大型加密貨幣，例如比特幣（BTC）和以太坊（ETH），僅保持收益，過去一周的交易範圍不到1％。同時，Solana（Sol）正在努力保持漂浮，在過去的七天中損失了約3％。

Although there is the occasional pop among some altcoins—notably, Aptos (APT) has seen triple-digit gains—the general mood remains rather nervous.

儘管某些山寨幣之間偶爾會出現流行音樂（尤其是Aptos（APT）已經看到了三位數的增長，但一般的情緒仍然很緊張。

A lot of this is because macroeconomic issues persist—chiefly ambiguity over global tariffs—causing many investors to take profits in advance. This risk aversion environment has led to constant selling pressure, particularly in the futures market.

其中很多是因為宏觀經濟問題持續存在 - 對全球關稅的歧義歧義 - 導致許多投資者提前獲利。這種風險規避環境導致了不斷的銷售壓力，尤其是在期貨市場。

Bitcoin, for example, will drop back to the $80,000 support level if such pressure persists. Any attempts to break above the key resistance level will be quickly sold into.

例如，如果這種壓力持續下去，比特幣將降至80,000美元的支持水平。任何超出關鍵阻力水平的嘗試的嘗試都將迅速出售。

IOTA’s Current Price Action

IOTA目前的價格行動

As of Monday morning, IOTA is trading at $0.16, marking a gain of less than 1% in the past 24 hours. However, this slight uptick doesn’t tell the whole story.

截至週一早上，IOTA的交易價格為0.16美元，在過去24小時內的增長率不到1％。但是，這個輕微的上升並不能說明整個故事。

After a decent run from the $0.13 area, IOTA appears to be forming a descending triangle pattern—a classic bearish indicator. This technical setup suggests that the coin may be losing bullish momentum.

從$ 0.13的區域進行了不錯的運行後，IOTA似乎正在形成下降的三角形圖案 - 經典的看跌指示器。這種技術設置表明，硬幣可能正在失去看漲的勢頭。

If the lower boundary of the triangle breaks, and sellers manage to push the coin below the $0.14 support level, then it could open the door for a steeper decline.

如果三角形的下邊界破裂，而賣方設法將硬幣推到0.14美元的支撐級別以下，那麼它可能會為更急劇下降的門打開大門。

A drop below the current support could embolden sellers to push IOTA down toward the $0.13 mark. If this level breaks, the next stop could be below $0.10—a concerning scenario for bullish investors.

低於當前支持的下降可能會使賣家升至$ 0.13大關。如果此水平破裂，下一站可能低於0.10美元，這是對看漲投資者的方案。

However, if buyers manage to step in and push the coin back above the triangle’s upper boundary, then it could pave the way for a move toward $0.20.

但是，如果買家設法介入並將硬幣推回三角形的上邊界上方，那麼它可能會為駛向0.20美元的途徑鋪平道路。

Trouble Brewing in the Derivatives Market

在衍生品市場釀造的麻煩

The warning signs are not limited to spot price charts. Derivatives data point out that IOTA may be in worse trouble.

警告標誌不僅限於點價格圖表。衍生品數據指出，IOTA可能遇到更嚴重的麻煩。

One of the key red flags is the condition of the funding rates in the futures market. These rates are moving towards negative levels, which means that bearish sentiment is increasing among the traders.

關鍵的危險信號之一是期貨市場的資金率條件。這些速率正朝著負水平發展，這意味著交易者中看跌的情緒正在增加。

When the funding rates go negative, it indicates that short sellers have overwhelmed long buyers, generally anticipating a near-future price decrease. This is one of the most important indications that a majority of traders anticipate the token to decrease.

當資金率變元時，這表明賣空者不堪重負的長期買家，通常預計價格下降的價格會下降。這是大多數交易者預計令牌減少的最重要跡象之一。

Stagnant Open Interest Raises Further Doubts

停滯的開放興趣引起了進一步的疑問

Another concerning factor is IOTA’s stagnant open interest. Open interest refers to the total number of outstanding futures contracts and often reflects market participation and enthusiasm. Since early 2025, IOTA’s open interest has remained largely flat, suggesting a lack of confidence among leveraged traders.

另一個有關因素是IOTA停滯的開放興趣。公開利息是指未償還期貨合約的總數，並且通常反映了市場的參與和熱情。自2025年初以來，IOTA的開放興趣基本上仍然很平坦，這表明槓桿交易者缺乏信心。

The combination of flat open interest and declining funding rates paints a rather bleak picture for IOTA in the short term. Unless market conditions shift or a catalyst emerges to inspire buyers, the token may continue to face downward pressure.

在短期內，坦率的開放興趣和降低的資金率的結合為IOTA繪製了一幅相當黯淡的圖片。除非市場狀況發生變化或催化劑以激發買家，否則令牌可能會繼續面對向下壓力。