IOTA（Miota）价格预测：下降三角模式信号潜在看跌趋势

在过去一周中，IOTA的收益率为6％。尽管这似乎是一个积极的迹象，但技术指标表明可能形成了潜在的看跌趋势。

IOTA has risen a modest 6% over the past week. While this may seem like a positive sign, technical indicators suggest a potential bearish trend may be forming, threatening to wipe out IOTA’s recent gains.

在过去一周中，Iota上升了6％。尽管这似乎是一个积极的信号，但技术指标表明可能形成了潜在的看跌趋势，威胁要消除IOTA最近的收益。

A looming reversal pattern on the charts signals that if bullish momentum fails to pick up, the token could be heading for a downturn. This bearish flip could trigger a sharp price drop, aligning with the broader weakness observed in the cryptocurrency market.

图表上有迫在眉睫的逆转模式，表明如果看涨的势头无法拾取，代币可能会走向低迷。这种看跌的翻转可能会触发价格下降，与加密货币市场中观察到的更广泛的弱点保持一致。

Market Sentiment: Weakness Across the Board

市场情绪：全面弱点

The wider crypto environment is still grappling with macroeconomic headwinds, putting a dampener on any swift recovery in the cryptocurrency market.

更广泛的加密环境仍在与宏观经济的逆风斗争，这使阻尼器在加密货币市场的任何迅速恢复中。

Large cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), are only just holding onto gains, with both trading in a less than 1% range over the past week. Meanwhile, Solana (SOL) is struggling to stay afloat, having lost around 3% in the past seven days.

大型加密货币，例如比特币（BTC）和以太坊（ETH），仅保持收益，过去一周的交易范围不到1％。同时，Solana（Sol）正在努力保持漂浮，在过去的七天中损失了约3％。

Although there is the occasional pop among some altcoins—notably, Aptos (APT) has seen triple-digit gains—the general mood remains rather nervous.

尽管某些山寨币之间偶尔会出现流行音乐（尤其是Aptos（APT）已经看到了三位数的增长，但一般的情绪仍然很紧张。

A lot of this is because macroeconomic issues persist—chiefly ambiguity over global tariffs—causing many investors to take profits in advance. This risk aversion environment has led to constant selling pressure, particularly in the futures market.

其中很多是因为宏观经济问题持续存在 - 对全球关税的歧义歧义 - 导致许多投资者提前获利。这种风险规避环境导致了不断的销售压力，尤其是在期货市场。

Bitcoin, for example, will drop back to the $80,000 support level if such pressure persists. Any attempts to break above the key resistance level will be quickly sold into.

例如，如果这种压力持续下去，比特币将降至80,000美元的支持水平。任何超出关键阻力水平的尝试的尝试都将迅速出售。

IOTA’s Current Price Action

IOTA目前的价格行动

As of Monday morning, IOTA is trading at $0.16, marking a gain of less than 1% in the past 24 hours. However, this slight uptick doesn’t tell the whole story.

截至周一早上，IOTA的交易价格为0.16美元，在过去24小时内的增长率不到1％。但是，这个轻微的上升并不能说明整个故事。

After a decent run from the $0.13 area, IOTA appears to be forming a descending triangle pattern—a classic bearish indicator. This technical setup suggests that the coin may be losing bullish momentum.

从$ 0.13的区域进行了不错的运行后，IOTA似乎正在形成下降的三角形图案 - 经典的看跌指示器。这种技术设置表明，硬币可能正在失去看涨的势头。

If the lower boundary of the triangle breaks, and sellers manage to push the coin below the $0.14 support level, then it could open the door for a steeper decline.

如果三角形的下边界破裂，而卖方设法将硬币推到0.14美元的支撑级别以下，那么它可能会为更急剧下降的门打开大门。

A drop below the current support could embolden sellers to push IOTA down toward the $0.13 mark. If this level breaks, the next stop could be below $0.10—a concerning scenario for bullish investors.

低于目前的支持可能会使卖家升至$ 0.13的销售商。如果此水平破裂，下一站可能低于0.10美元，这是对看涨投资者的方案。

However, if buyers manage to step in and push the coin back above the triangle’s upper boundary, then it could pave the way for a move toward $0.20.

但是，如果买家设法介入并将硬币推回三角形的上边界上方，那么它可能会为驶向0.20美元的途径铺平道路。

Trouble Brewing in the Derivatives Market

在衍生品市场酿造的麻烦

The warning signs are not limited to spot price charts. Derivatives data point out that IOTA may be in worse trouble.

警告标志不仅限于点价格图表。衍生品数据指出，IOTA可能遇到更严重的麻烦。

One of the key red flags is the condition of the funding rates in the futures market. These rates are moving towards negative levels, which means that bearish sentiment is increasing among the traders.

关键的危险信号之一是期货市场的资金率条件。这些速率正朝着负水平发展，这意味着交易者中看跌的情绪正在增加。

When the funding rates go negative, it indicates that short sellers have overwhelmed long buyers, generally anticipating a near-future price decrease. This is one of the most important indications that a majority of traders anticipate the token to decrease.

当资金率变元时，这表明卖空者不堪重负的长期买家，通常预计价格下降的价格会下降。这是大多数交易者预计令牌减少的最重要迹象之一。

Stagnant Open Interest Raises Further Doubts

停滞的开放兴趣引起了进一步的疑问

Another concerning factor is IOTA’s stagnant open interest. Open interest refers to the total number of outstanding futures contracts and often reflects market participation and enthusiasm. Since early 2025, IOTA’s open interest has remained largely flat, suggesting a lack of confidence among leveraged traders.

另一个有关因素是IOTA停滞的开放兴趣。公开利息是指未偿还期货合约的总数，并且通常反映了市场的参与和热情。自2025年初以来，IOTA的开放兴趣基本上仍然很平坦，这表明杠杆交易者缺乏信心。

The combination of flat open interest and declining funding rates paints a rather bleak picture for IOTA in the short term. Unless market conditions shift or a catalyst emerges to inspire buyers, the token may continue to face downward pressure.

在短期内，坦率的开放兴趣和降低的资金率的结合为IOTA绘制了一幅相当黯淡的图片。除非市场状况发生变化或催化剂以激发买家，否则令牌可能会继续面对向下压力。