比特币（BTC）继续无视全球经济不确定性，更接近赚取$ 86,000

现在，它距离其“解放日”高3％。为了迈向透视，比特币优势（衡量BTC在总加密货币市值中的份额）接近64％

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to inch closer to reclaiming $86,000, now less than 3% away from its “Liberation Day” high. To put the move into perspective, bitcoin dominance — which measures BTC’s share of the total cryptocurrency market cap — is approaching 64%, a level not seen since January 2021. In contrast, the Nasdaq 100 is still 5% away from its own Liberation Day high, highlighting bitcoin's relative strength versus U.S. equities.

比特币（BTC）继续靠近收回86,000美元，现在距离其“解放日”高3％。为了迈向透视，比特币优势（衡量BTC在总加密货币市值中的份额）接近64％，这是自2021年1月以来未见的水平。相比之下，纳斯达克100号仍然距离其自身的自由日高5％，距离比特币的相对优势与美国公平相对强。

According to X account Cheddar Flow, the S&P 500 has just formed a “death cross” — a traditionally bearish signal that occurs when the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average. The last time this happened was March 15, 2022, when S&P 500 initially rose by 11% in the following week, only to be followed by a 20% decline. Bearish sentiment is also reflected in the options market, where investors are reportedly buying large volumes of NVDA puts, signaling expectations of lower prices.

根据X帐户CHEDDAR流量，标准普尔500指数刚刚形成了“死亡十字架”，这是传统上看跌信号，当50天移动平均线降至200天移动平均线以下时发生。最后一次发生是2022年3月15日，当时标准普尔500指数最初在接下来的一周中增长了11％，随后又下降了20％。看跌的情绪也反映在期权市场上，据报道，投资者正在购买大量NVDA投票，这表明了对价格较低的预期。

In a Bloomberg interview on Monday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reaffirmed confidence in the U.S. bond market, dismissing concerns that foreign nations are dumping Treasuries.

在周一的彭博社采访中，财政部长斯科特·贝斯特（Scott Bessent）重申了对美国债券市场的信心，驳斥了对外国国家正在倾倒财政部的担忧。

“I am not seeing a dumping of U.S. Treasuries. The Treasury has lots of tools, but we're a long way from needing them.”

“我没有看到美国国库的倾销。财政部有很多工具，但是我们需要它们很长的路要走。”

Bessent also emphasized the enduring status of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency, despite the DXY index — which measures the dollar's value against a basket of major trading partners — falling below 100 and dropping over 10% in recent weeks.

Bessent还强调了美元的持久状态作为世界储备货币，尽管DXY指数（衡量了一篮子的主要交易伙伴的价值），而最近几周下降了10％以上。

Bessent also confirmed that the Trump administration is seeking a new Federal Reserve Chair to replace Jerome Powell, with interviews set to begin later in the year. He concluded the interview by suggesting that the VIX (S&P 500 volatility index) may have peaked after the largest one-day percentage drop in its history last week. Stay alert!

Bessent还确认，特朗普政府正在寻求新的美联储主席来取代杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell），访谈将于今年晚些时候开始。他通过建议VIX（标准普尔500指数）可能在上周历史上最大的一日百分比下降之后达到顶峰，得出了访谈的结论。保持警觉！

What to Watch

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By Shaurya Malwa

Shaurya Malwa

Derivatives Positioning

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Source: Farside Investors

资料来源：Farside Investors

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In the Ether

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