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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC)价格预测,因为它将其向下趋势延长了第四天

2025/03/30 13:00

比特币在第四天继续下降趋势,白天的交易低至83,600美元。

比特币(BTC)价格预测,因为它将其向下趋势延长了第四天

Bitcoin (BTC) extended its declines for a fourth day on Thursday, trading as low as $83,600 during the session. The cryptocurrency’s downturn affected not only the digital asset market but also Wall Street, which slid sharply with the Dow dropping 700 points and the S&P 500 sliding 112 points.

比特币(BTC)在周四的第四天延长了下降,在会议期间的交易低至83,600美元。加密货币的低迷不仅影响了数字资产市场,而且影响了华尔街,华尔街急剧下滑,道琼斯指数下降700点和标准普尔500分的滑动112分。

Tariffs and Market Jitters

关税和市场烦恼

Bitcoin’s decline came amid growing concerns over inflation after February’s figures showed that consumer prices rose more than expected. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, still rose 2.8% year-over-year after sliding 0.4% month-over-month.

在2月份的数据表明,消费者价格上涨超过预期,比特币的下降是由于对通货膨胀的越来越担忧。核心个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数是美联储的首选通货膨胀量表,在每月0.4%的月份下滑后,同比同比增长2.8%。

As inflation continues to pose problems, both the crypto and traditional markets are becoming increasingly uneasy. The uncertainty in the market is also being driven by President Trump’s new “reciprocal tariffs,” which will impose a 25% tax on foreign-built cars and threatens to spark trade worries once again, adding yet another stressor to an already anxiety-ridden market.

随着通货膨胀率继续引起问题,加密货币和传统市场都变得越来越不安。特朗普总统的新“互惠关税”也驱动了市场的不确定性,该费用将对外国制造的汽车征收25%的税,并威胁要再次引起贸易担忧,从而为已经焦虑的市场增加了另一个压力源。

Moreover, “Liberation Day” is fast approaching on April 2, and the market is preparing for two other possible outbreaks, including medical tariffs that have been rumored. For now, traders are going into standby mode, preparing for further developments before making any big moves.

此外,“解放日”在4月2日迅速临近,市场正在为其他两次可能的爆发做准备,包括传闻的医疗关税。目前,贸易商正在进入待机模式,为进一步的发展做准备,然后再采取任何重大举措。

Bitcoin Whales Are Still Buying

比特币鲸仍在购买

While Bitcoin is struggling, some prominent players might be using this as an opportunity to accumulate more BTC. According to crypto analyst Cole Garner, Bitfinex’s BTC margin longs versus shorts just flashed a rare bullish signal that has historically led to 50% gains in 50 days.

虽然比特币在挣扎,但一些杰出的球员可能会将其作为积累更多BTC的机会。根据加密分析师科尔·加纳(Cole Garner)的说法,Bitfinex的BTC保证金与短裤刚刚闪烁了一个罕见的看涨信号,历史上一直在50天内获得50%的收益。

This means that despite the recent price declines and panic among retail traders, some major institutions might be quietly loading up on Bitcoin, bodes well for the cryptocurrency’s future.

这意味着,尽管零售商人最近的价格下跌和恐慌,但一些主要机构可能会悄悄地加载比特币,这对于加密货币的未来来说是很好的。

With all that, the big question is whether Bitcoin’s downtrend has more downward movement or whether a bounce is coming. Let’s take a more detailed look at the price charts.

所有这些,最大的问题是比特币的下降趋势是否有更多的下降运动,或者弹跳是否即将到来。让我们更详细地了解价格图表。

Price Analysis and BTC Price Prediction

价格分析和BTC价格预测

The trading session on March 28 opened with Bitcoin extending its four-day downward streak.

3月28日的交易会开幕,比特币延长了为期四天的下跌。

A golden cross emerged at 00:40 UTC on the MACD, indicating the possibility of a price bounce. However, this minor jump was quickly followed by a death cross at 02:00 UTC, and a new bearish trend returned. Another death cross occurred at 04:30 UTC, affirming the downward trend.

MACD上的00:40 UTC出现了一个金十字架,表明价格反弹的可能性。但是,这次未成年人很快在UTC 02:00的死亡十字架上迅速出现,而新的看跌趋势又恢复了。另一个死亡十字架发生在UTC 04:30,确认了下降趋势。

Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on March 29, 2025.

图1,由Alokkp0608分析,于2025年3月29日发布。

By 05:45 UTC, a golden cross emerged following an oversold signal from the RSI, offering temporary relief from further declines. Yet, selling pressure persisted. A subsequent golden cross at 08:35 UTC helped establish a temporary support zone at $85,000, providing a foothold for a minor price rebound.

在05:45 UTC之前,在RSI的超售信号之后出现了一个金十字架,从而暂时减轻了进一步的减少。然而,销售压力仍然存在。随后在UTC 08:35的金十字架以85,000美元的价格建立了一个临时支持区,为次要价格反弹提供了立足点。

Bitcoin’s price climbed to around $85,550 before another death cross at 13:45 UTC sent it back on a downward trajectory. A critical support level was established at $83,530, in conjunction with the RSI signaling in oversold. The current level of support and resistance is at $83,530 and $85,840, respectively.

比特币的价格上涨至85,550美元左右,然后在13:45 UTC的另一个死亡十字架上将其送回了下降轨迹。与RSI信号交通交流的相结合,关键的支持水平为83,530美元。目前的支持和阻力水平分别为83,530美元和85,840美元。

While Bitcoin has found new support, bullish momentum has been low, with the price remaining relatively flat between $84,600 and $83,740. Now, at the start of a new trading day on March 29, Bitcoin continues to trade within a tight trading range, illustrating the uncertainty and caution in the market.

尽管比特币已经找到了新的支持,但看涨的势头却很低,价格保持相对较低的价格在84,600美元至83,740美元之间。现在,在3月29日的新交易日开始时,比特币继续在交易范围内进行交易,这说明了市场的不确定性和谨慎。

Bitcoin’s Next Move: Further Declines or a Trend Reversal?

比特币的下一步行动:进一步下降还是趋势逆转?

Although accumulation by Bitcoin Whale is ramping up, Bitcoin’s price-trends are wavering, and general bullish price movement is still lacking. Currently, these price movements are being limited below $85,840 resistance, while overall support at $83,530 is still holding strong. Equity markets are restless right now because of inflationary jitters and ongoing geopolitical issues such as tariff talks, which investors are beginning to factor into their decisions.

尽管比特币鲸的积累正在加剧,但比特币的价格趋势正在动摇,仍然缺乏看涨的价格运动。目前,这些价格变动的限制低于85,840美元,而总体支持为83,530美元仍保持强劲。由于通货膨胀的不安和持续的地缘政治问题,例如关税会谈,股票市场现在是不安的,投资者开始考虑他们的决策。

Almost all evidence from on-chain data suggests larger investors are positioning for a potential relief rally, however, there remains a risk that prices can once again volatility in the upward direction. Ideally, if Bitcoin can break through its resistance, there may be an upside; however, if Bitcoin is once again rejected, we may see prices leg down again. A change in risk appetite or renewed buying can spark upward momentum, but for now , we will keep watch on the price action over the coming days. The BTC price prediction indicates that traders should monitor confirmation from signals like MACD and RSI to ascertain the subsequent course of action.

几乎所有来自链链数据的证据都表明,较大的投资者正在定位潜在的救济集会,但是,价格可能会再次向上方向再次波动。理想情况下,如果比特币可以突破其阻力,则可能会有一个上行空间。但是,如果比特币再次被拒绝,我们可能会再次看到价格下跌。风险胃口或更新的购买的变化可能会引起上升的势头,但就目前而言,我们将在接下来的几天内关注价格行动。 BTC价格预测表明,交易者应监视MACD和RSI等信号的确认,以确定随后的行动过程。

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