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比特幣在第四天繼續下降趨勢,白天的交易低至83,600美元。
Bitcoin (BTC) extended its declines for a fourth day on Thursday, trading as low as $83,600 during the session. The cryptocurrency’s downturn affected not only the digital asset market but also Wall Street, which slid sharply with the Dow dropping 700 points and the S&P 500 sliding 112 points.
比特幣(BTC)在周四的第四天延長了下降,在會議期間的交易低至83,600美元。加密貨幣的低迷不僅影響了數字資產市場,而且影響了華爾街,華爾街急劇下滑,道瓊斯指數下降700點和標準普爾500分的滑動112分。
Tariffs and Market Jitters
關稅和市場煩惱
Bitcoin’s decline came amid growing concerns over inflation after February’s figures showed that consumer prices rose more than expected. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, still rose 2.8% year-over-year after sliding 0.4% month-over-month.
在2月份的數據表明,消費者價格上漲超過預期,比特幣的下降是由於對通貨膨脹的越來越擔憂。核心個人消費支出(PCE)價格指數是美聯儲的首選通貨膨脹量表,在每月0.4%的月份下滑後,同比同比增長2.8%。
As inflation continues to pose problems, both the crypto and traditional markets are becoming increasingly uneasy. The uncertainty in the market is also being driven by President Trump’s new “reciprocal tariffs,” which will impose a 25% tax on foreign-built cars and threatens to spark trade worries once again, adding yet another stressor to an already anxiety-ridden market.
隨著通貨膨脹率繼續引起問題,加密貨幣和傳統市場都變得越來越不安。特朗普總統的新“互惠關稅”也驅動了市場的不確定性,該費用將對外國製造的汽車徵收25%的稅,並威脅要再次引起貿易擔憂,從而為已經焦慮的市場增加了另一個壓力源。
Moreover, “Liberation Day” is fast approaching on April 2, and the market is preparing for two other possible outbreaks, including medical tariffs that have been rumored. For now, traders are going into standby mode, preparing for further developments before making any big moves.
此外,“解放日”在4月2日迅速臨近,市場正在為其他兩次可能的爆發做準備,包括傳聞的醫療關稅。目前,貿易商正在進入待機模式,為進一步的發展做準備,然後再採取任何重大舉措。
Bitcoin Whales Are Still Buying
比特幣鯨仍在購買
While Bitcoin is struggling, some prominent players might be using this as an opportunity to accumulate more BTC. According to crypto analyst Cole Garner, Bitfinex’s BTC margin longs versus shorts just flashed a rare bullish signal that has historically led to 50% gains in 50 days.
雖然比特幣在掙扎,但一些傑出的球員可能會將其作為積累更多BTC的機會。根據加密分析師科爾·加納(Cole Garner)的說法,Bitfinex的BTC保證金與短褲剛剛閃爍了一個罕見的看漲信號,歷史上一直在50天內獲得50%的收益。
This means that despite the recent price declines and panic among retail traders, some major institutions might be quietly loading up on Bitcoin, bodes well for the cryptocurrency’s future.
這意味著,儘管零售商人最近的價格下跌和恐慌,但一些主要機構可能會悄悄地加載比特幣,這對於加密貨幣的未來來說是很好的。
With all that, the big question is whether Bitcoin’s downtrend has more downward movement or whether a bounce is coming. Let’s take a more detailed look at the price charts.
所有這些,最大的問題是比特幣的下降趨勢是否有更多的下降運動,或者彈跳是否即將到來。讓我們更詳細地了解價格圖表。
Price Analysis and BTC Price Prediction
價格分析和BTC價格預測
The trading session on March 28 opened with Bitcoin extending its four-day downward streak.
3月28日的交易會開幕,比特幣延長了為期四天的下跌。
A golden cross emerged at 00:40 UTC on the MACD, indicating the possibility of a price bounce. However, this minor jump was quickly followed by a death cross at 02:00 UTC, and a new bearish trend returned. Another death cross occurred at 04:30 UTC, affirming the downward trend.
MACD上的00:40 UTC出現了一個金十字架,表明價格反彈的可能性。但是,這次未成年人很快在UTC 02:00的死亡十字架上迅速出現,而新的看跌趨勢又恢復了。另一個死亡十字架發生在UTC 04:30,確認了下降趨勢。
Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on March 29, 2025.
圖1,由Alokkp0608分析,於2025年3月29日發布。
By 05:45 UTC, a golden cross emerged following an oversold signal from the RSI, offering temporary relief from further declines. Yet, selling pressure persisted. A subsequent golden cross at 08:35 UTC helped establish a temporary support zone at $85,000, providing a foothold for a minor price rebound.
在05:45 UTC之前,在RSI的超售信號之後出現了一個金十字架,從而暫時減輕了進一步的減少。然而,銷售壓力仍然存在。隨後在UTC 08:35的金十字架以85,000美元的價格建立了一個臨時支持區,為次要價格反彈提供了立足點。
Bitcoin’s price climbed to around $85,550 before another death cross at 13:45 UTC sent it back on a downward trajectory. A critical support level was established at $83,530, in conjunction with the RSI signaling in oversold. The current level of support and resistance is at $83,530 and $85,840, respectively.
比特幣的價格上漲至85,550美元左右,然後在13:45 UTC的另一個死亡十字架上將其送回了下降軌跡。與RSI信號交通交流的相結合,關鍵的支持水平為83,530美元。目前的支持和阻力水平分別為83,530美元和85,840美元。
While Bitcoin has found new support, bullish momentum has been low, with the price remaining relatively flat between $84,600 and $83,740. Now, at the start of a new trading day on March 29, Bitcoin continues to trade within a tight trading range, illustrating the uncertainty and caution in the market.
儘管比特幣已經找到了新的支持,但看漲的勢頭卻很低,其價格保持相對較低的價格在84,600美元至83,740美元之間。現在,在3月29日的新交易日開始時,比特幣繼續在交易範圍內進行交易,這說明了市場的不確定性和謹慎。
Bitcoin’s Next Move: Further Declines or a Trend Reversal?
比特幣的下一步行動:進一步下降還是趨勢逆轉?
Although accumulation by Bitcoin Whale is ramping up, Bitcoin’s price-trends are wavering, and general bullish price movement is still lacking. Currently, these price movements are being limited below $85,840 resistance, while overall support at $83,530 is still holding strong. Equity markets are restless right now because of inflationary jitters and ongoing geopolitical issues such as tariff talks, which investors are beginning to factor into their decisions.
儘管比特幣鯨的積累正在加劇,但比特幣的價格趨勢正在動搖,仍然缺乏看漲的價格運動。目前,這些價格變動的限制低於85,840美元,而總體支持為83,530美元仍保持強勁。由於通貨膨脹的不安和持續的地緣政治問題,例如關稅會談,股票市場現在是不安的,投資者開始考慮他們的決策。
Almost all evidence from on-chain data suggests larger investors are positioning for a potential relief rally, however, there remains a risk that prices can once again volatility in the upward direction. Ideally, if Bitcoin can break through its resistance, there may be an upside; however, if Bitcoin is once again rejected, we may see prices leg down again. A change in risk appetite or renewed buying can spark upward momentum, but for now , we will keep watch on the price action over the coming days. The BTC price prediction indicates that traders should monitor confirmation from signals like MACD and RSI to ascertain the subsequent course of action.
幾乎所有來自鍊鍊數據的證據都表明,較大的投資者正在定位潛在的救濟集會,但是,價格可能會再次向上方向再次波動。理想情況下,如果比特幣可以突破其阻力,則可能會有一個上行空間。但是,如果比特幣再次被拒絕,我們可能會再次看到價格下跌。風險胃口或更新的購買的變化可能會引起上升的勢頭,但就目前而言,我們將在接下來的幾天內關注價格行動。 BTC價格預測表明,交易者應監視MACD和RSI等信號的確認,以確定隨後的行動過程。
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