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在全球流动性增加和有利的宏观经济条件的推动下,比特币[BTC]继续表现强劲。随着全球流动性增加 0.92% 至 132.8 万亿美元,为 2022 年初以来的最高水平,比特币预计将从这一趋势中受益。
Bitcoin [BTC] price analysis: BTC set to rise higher as key levels indicate bullish trend
比特币 [BTC] 价格分析:关键水平表明看涨趋势,BTC 将走高
Bitcoin [BTC] continues to show strength, driven by rising global liquidity and favorable macroeconomic conditions. With global liquidity increasing by 0.92% to $132.8 trillion, the highest since early 2022, Bitcoin is expected to benefit from this trend.
在全球流动性增加和有利的宏观经济条件的推动下,比特币[BTC]继续表现强劲。随着全球流动性增加 0.92% 至 132.8 万亿美元,为 2022 年初以来的最高水平,比特币预计将从这一趋势中受益。
Improved collateral values and actions by China’s central bank have contributed to this rise. Though the Federal Reserve has not yet implemented a stimulus, markets are optimistic about future rate cuts.
抵押品价值的提高和中国央行的行动推动了这一增长。尽管美联储尚未实施刺激措施,但市场对未来降息持乐观态度。
These factors suggest that Bitcoin could see higher prices, making the final quarter of the year particularly bullish for the broader crypto market.
这些因素表明,比特币的价格可能会上涨,使得今年最后一个季度对更广泛的加密货币市场尤其有利。
Bitcoin’s price action and key levels
比特币的价格走势和关键水平
Bitcoin’s price recently bounced off the critical 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, currently trading at $66,000. This level has consistently acted as a key indicator for both upward and downward movements this year.
比特币的价格最近从关键的 0.786 斐波那契回撤位反弹,目前交易价格为 66,000 美元。这一水平一直是今年上涨和下跌的关键指标。
The pattern of respecting this level shows that Bitcoin remains aligned with global liquidity trends. As liquidity continues to rise, it is expected to move higher, with the next major target being new highs above $66,700.
尊重这一水平的模式表明,比特币仍然与全球流动性趋势保持一致。随着流动性持续上升,预计将走高,下一个主要目标是66,700美元上方的新高。
The global liquidity boost will likely benefit Bitcoin as it remains a primary hedge against monetary inflation, alongside gold.
全球流动性的增加可能会使比特币受益,因为它与黄金一样仍然是抵御货币通胀的主要对冲工具。
Impact of September’s bullish close
九月看涨收盘的影响
This month closed with a 7.35% increase, making it the best-performing September in BTC’s history. This bullish sentiment is supported by Bitcoin’s ability to withstand recent corrections and maintain upward momentum.
本月收盘上涨 7.35%,成为 BTC 历史上表现最好的 9 月份。这种看涨情绪得到了比特币承受近期调整并保持上涨势头的能力的支持。
Despite market expectations of a decline, AI models from Spot On Chain accurately predicted a bullish month, noting,
尽管市场预期会出现下滑,但 Spot On Chain 的人工智能模型准确预测了牛市月份,并指出,
“There’s a 69% chance of a new all-time high this month and a 54% chance of Bitcoin reaching $100K by year-end.”
“本月有 69% 的机会创下历史新高,而到年底,比特币有 54% 的机会达到 10 万美元。”
The broader crypto market is also expected to benefit from favorable macroeconomic factors, particularly potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank.
预计更广泛的加密货币市场也将受益于有利的宏观经济因素,特别是美联储和欧洲央行的潜在降息。
The Fed has shifted its focus from inflation to employment, with a 42% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in November.
美联储已将关注重点从通胀转向就业,11 月降息 50 个基点的可能性为 42%。
If upcoming U.S. unemployment data comes in lower than expected, this probability could increase further. Rate cuts generally signal a more favorable environment for risk assets like Bitcoin, pushing its price higher.
如果即将公布的美国失业数据低于预期,这种可能性可能会进一步增加。降息通常预示着比特币等风险资产的环境更加有利,从而推高其价格。
Liquidity clusters to watch
值得关注的流动性集群
Key liquidity clusters for Bitcoin are emerging as the price climbs. Recent retraces towards $63,225 allowed Bitcoin to grab liquidity, setting the stage for the next move.
随着价格上涨,比特币的主要流动性集群正在出现。最近回撤至 63,225 美元使比特币获得了流动性,为下一步行动奠定了基础。
The next high-liquidity clusters sit between $66,700 and $66,750, while lower clusters around $62,050 to $62,120 provide support.
接下来的高流动性集群位于 66,700 美元至 66,750 美元之间,而较低的集群在 62,050 美元至 62,120 美元之间提供支撑。
These levels will be important to monitor as Bitcoin continues its upward trend, potentially leading to a breakout to higher prices.
随着比特币继续其上涨趋势,监控这些水平非常重要,可能会导致价格突破。
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