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在全球流動性增加和有利的宏觀經濟條件的推動下,比特幣[BTC]持續表現強勁。隨著全球流動性增加 0.92% 至 132.8 兆美元,為 2022 年初以來的最高水平,比特幣預計將從這一趨勢中受益。
Bitcoin [BTC] price analysis: BTC set to rise higher as key levels indicate bullish trend
比特幣 [BTC] 價格分析:關鍵水平表明看漲趨勢,BTC 將走高
Bitcoin [BTC] continues to show strength, driven by rising global liquidity and favorable macroeconomic conditions. With global liquidity increasing by 0.92% to $132.8 trillion, the highest since early 2022, Bitcoin is expected to benefit from this trend.
在全球流動性增加和有利的宏觀經濟條件的推動下,比特幣[BTC]持續表現強勁。隨著全球流動性增加 0.92% 至 132.8 兆美元,為 2022 年初以來的最高水平,比特幣預計將從這一趨勢中受益。
Improved collateral values and actions by China’s central bank have contributed to this rise. Though the Federal Reserve has not yet implemented a stimulus, markets are optimistic about future rate cuts.
抵押品價值的提高和中國央行的行動推動了這一成長。儘管聯準會尚未實施刺激措施,但市場對未來降息持樂觀態度。
These factors suggest that Bitcoin could see higher prices, making the final quarter of the year particularly bullish for the broader crypto market.
這些因素表明,比特幣的價格可能會上漲,使得今年最後一個季度對更廣泛的加密貨幣市場尤其有利。
Bitcoin’s price action and key levels
比特幣的價格走勢和關鍵水平
Bitcoin’s price recently bounced off the critical 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, currently trading at $66,000. This level has consistently acted as a key indicator for both upward and downward movements this year.
比特幣的價格最近從關鍵的 0.786 斐波那契回撤位反彈,目前交易價格為 66,000 美元。這一水平一直是今年上漲和下跌的關鍵指標。
The pattern of respecting this level shows that Bitcoin remains aligned with global liquidity trends. As liquidity continues to rise, it is expected to move higher, with the next major target being new highs above $66,700.
尊重這一水平的模式表明,比特幣仍然與全球流動性趨勢保持一致。隨著流動性持續上升,預計將走高,下一個主要目標是66,700美元上方的新高。
The global liquidity boost will likely benefit Bitcoin as it remains a primary hedge against monetary inflation, alongside gold.
全球流動性的增加可能會使比特幣受益,因為它與黃金一樣仍然是抵禦貨幣通膨的主要對沖工具。
Impact of September’s bullish close
九月看漲收盤的影響
This month closed with a 7.35% increase, making it the best-performing September in BTC’s history. This bullish sentiment is supported by Bitcoin’s ability to withstand recent corrections and maintain upward momentum.
本月收盤上漲 7.35%,成為 BTC 史上表現最好的 9 月。這種看漲情緒得到了比特幣承受近期調整併保持上漲勢頭的能力的支持。
Despite market expectations of a decline, AI models from Spot On Chain accurately predicted a bullish month, noting,
儘管市場預期會出現下滑,但 Spot On Chain 的人工智慧模型準確預測了牛市月份,並指出,
“There’s a 69% chance of a new all-time high this month and a 54% chance of Bitcoin reaching $100K by year-end.”
「本月有 69% 的機會創下歷史新高,而到年底,比特幣有 54% 的機會達到 10 萬美元。”
The broader crypto market is also expected to benefit from favorable macroeconomic factors, particularly potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank.
預計更廣泛的加密貨幣市場也將受益於有利的宏觀經濟因素,特別是聯準會和歐洲央行的潛在降息。
The Fed has shifted its focus from inflation to employment, with a 42% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in November.
聯準會已將專注於從通膨轉向就業,11 月降息 50 個基點的可能性為 42%。
If upcoming U.S. unemployment data comes in lower than expected, this probability could increase further. Rate cuts generally signal a more favorable environment for risk assets like Bitcoin, pushing its price higher.
如果即將公佈的美國失業數據低於預期,這種可能性可能會進一步增加。降息通常預示著比特幣等風險資產的環境更加有利,從而推高其價格。
Liquidity clusters to watch
值得關注的流動性集群
Key liquidity clusters for Bitcoin are emerging as the price climbs. Recent retraces towards $63,225 allowed Bitcoin to grab liquidity, setting the stage for the next move.
隨著價格上漲,比特幣的主要流動性群聚正在出現。最近回撤至 63,225 美元使比特幣獲得了流動性,為下一步奠定了基礎。
The next high-liquidity clusters sit between $66,700 and $66,750, while lower clusters around $62,050 to $62,120 provide support.
接下來的高流動性集群位於 66,700 美元至 66,750 美元之間,而較低的集群在 62,050 美元至 62,120 美元之間提供支撐。
These levels will be important to monitor as Bitcoin continues its upward trend, potentially leading to a breakout to higher prices.
隨著比特幣繼續其上漲趨勢,監控這些水準非常重要,可能會導致價格突破。
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