比特币（BTC）价格预测：超过85,000美元的突破可能会触发新的牛市

第1季度2025年比特币的价格轨迹非常依赖宏观经济力量，而且技术结构与技术结构一样多。

Bitcoin price is holding strong above $85,000, consolidating in a key technical zone after navigating through the first-quarter volatility driven by Trump administration tariffs.

比特币的价格在85,000美元以上的价格高于$ 85,000，这是在特朗普政府关税驱动的第一季度波动性之后，在关键的技术区域巩固了。

Now, entering Q2 with market volatility falling and the U.S. dollar weakening, conditions are setting up for a potential Bitcoin breakout this quarter, according to Coin Edition analysis.

根据Coin Edition分析，现在进入第二季度，随着市场波动的下降和美元削弱，条件正在为本季度潜在的比特币突破设置。

How Did Trump Tariffs Impact Bitcoin in Q1 2025?

特朗普关税如何影响第1季度2025年的比特币？

Bitcoin’s price movements in Q1 2025 have been heavily influenced by macroeconomic forces as much as the technical structure.

比特币在第1季度2025年的价格变动受到宏观经济力量与技术结构一样的影响。

After hitting a new all-time high of $109K during Trump’s re-election in November, BTC’s winning streak ended in March with the U.S. tariff announcements (losing over $20K of its value). On-chain data shows declining open interest and mass liquidations.

在十一月的特朗普连任期间，在特朗普连任期间达到了新的10.9万美元的新高价之后，BTC的连胜纪录于3月结束，美国关税公告（损失了超过20万美元的价值）。链上数据显示开放兴趣和批量清算的下降。

However, as panic spread across the global financial market, Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause, excluding China, on April 5, providing a brief respite, and BTC made a notable rebound from the $70K–$80K liquidity pocket.

然而，随着恐慌在全球金融市场中的蔓延，特朗普于4月5日宣布了90天的关税停顿，不包括中国，提供了短暂的喘息，而BTC从7万美元 - $ 80K的流动性口袋中取得了显着反弹。

Related: Bitcoin Emerges as ‘Safe’ Asset Thanks to Trump Tariffs and Recession Fears

相关：由于特朗普的关税和经济衰退的恐惧，比特币成为“安全”的资产

Bitcoin Eyes Q2 Breakout After $90K Rally and FVG Consolidation

比特币眼睛Q2突破$ 90K集会和FVG合并

On the price front, BTC is reclaiming a descending trendline, and is now consolidating inside a former Fair Value Gap (FVG) created post-election. Historical price action (during Nov 2024) shows this zone has previously acted as a launchpad for momentum surges.

在价格方面，BTC正在收回下降的趋势线，现在正在巩固以前的公允价值差距（FVG）在选举后创建的。历史价格行动（2024年11月）表明，该区域以前曾充当动力激增的发射台。

In the 1-day chart, the RSI at 53 reflects a recovery from oversold levels, aligning with favorable global liquidity trends. All these are classic signs of a bottoming behavior, suggesting BTC is primed for a Q2 breakout.

在为期1天的图表中，RSI为53，反映了超出水平的恢复，与有利的全球流动性趋势保持一致。所有这些都是底部行为的经典迹象，这表明BTC是为了进行Q2突破。

Related: ‘Buy Stocks’ Says Trump, ‘Bad Advice’ Says Schiff: Who’s Right on Tariffs?

相关：“购买股票”说：“不好的建议”说：谁对关税是正确的？

Are Macro Factors Turning Bullish for Bitcoin in Q2?

宏因素是否会在Q2中对比特币看涨？

Several improving macroeconomic factors add weight to the bullish case.

几种改善的宏观经济因素增加了看涨案例的重量。

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) recently slipped below 2023 levels, and with the Fed’s May FOMC meeting on the horizon, talk of possible quantitative easing (QE) is back in focus. A weaker dollar usually favors risk assets, with crypto among the top beneficiaries.

美元指数（DXY）最近滑倒在2023年的水平以下，并且随着美联储的May FOMC会议即将到来，谈论可能的定量宽松（QE）又重新焦点了。较弱的美元通常有利于风险资产，而最高受益人则有加密货币。

Market volatility (VIX index) also dropped significantly to the mid-30s after the tariff pause, bringing in a more favorable “risk-on” environment.

市场波动率（VIX指数）也大大减少到关税停顿后的30年代中期，带来了更有利的“风险启用”环境。

Also, the upcoming May Federal Reserve (FOMC) meeting brings potential Quantitative Easing (QE) back into market discussions, another supportive factor for crypto.

此外，即将举行的五月美联储（FOMC）会议将潜在的定量宽松（QE）带回市场讨论中，这是加密货币的另一个支持因素。

What’s the Bitcoin Price Outlook for Q2 2025?

第二季度2025的比特币价格前景是什么？

Based on this confluence of technical strength and supportive macro trends, traders will be watching the $90K–$93K resistance zone closely.

根据技术实力和支持性宏观趋势的融合，交易者将密切关注$ 90K - $ 93K的电阻区。

A decisive breakout above this area would confirm renewed bullish momentum.

该地区上方的决定性突破将确认新的看涨势头。

If current supportive macro conditions persist, Bitcoin seems well-positioned for a potential strong rally this quarter.

如果目前的支持宏条件持续存在，那么本季度潜在的强烈集会似乎比特币似乎有很好的位置。

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