比特幣（BTC）價格預測：超過85,000美元的突破可能會觸發新的牛市

第1季度2025年比特幣的價格軌跡非常依賴宏觀經濟力量，而且技術結構與技術結構一樣多。

Bitcoin price is holding strong above $85,000, consolidating in a key technical zone after navigating through the first-quarter volatility driven by Trump administration tariffs.

比特幣的價格在85,000美元以上的價格高於$ 85,000，這是在特朗普政府關稅驅動的第一季度波動性之後，在關鍵的技術區域鞏固了。

Now, entering Q2 with market volatility falling and the U.S. dollar weakening, conditions are setting up for a potential Bitcoin breakout this quarter, according to Coin Edition analysis.

根據Coin Edition分析，現在進入第二季度，隨著市場波動的下降和美元削弱，條件正在為本季度潛在的比特幣突破設置。

How Did Trump Tariffs Impact Bitcoin in Q1 2025?

特朗普關稅如何影響第1季度2025年的比特幣？

Bitcoin’s price movements in Q1 2025 have been heavily influenced by macroeconomic forces as much as the technical structure.

比特幣在第1季度2025年的價格變動受到宏觀經濟力量與技術結構一樣的影響。

After hitting a new all-time high of $109K during Trump’s re-election in November, BTC’s winning streak ended in March with the U.S. tariff announcements (losing over $20K of its value). On-chain data shows declining open interest and mass liquidations.

在十一月的特朗普連任期間，在特朗普連任期間達到了新的10.9萬美元的新高價之後，BTC的連勝紀錄於3月結束，美國關稅公告（損失了超過20萬美元的價值）。鏈上數據顯示開放興趣和批量清算的下降。

However, as panic spread across the global financial market, Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause, excluding China, on April 5, providing a brief respite, and BTC made a notable rebound from the $70K–$80K liquidity pocket.

然而，隨著恐慌在全球金融市場中的蔓延，特朗普於4月5日宣布了90天的關稅停頓，不包括中國，提供了短暫的喘息，而BTC從7萬美元 - $ 80K的流動性口袋中取得了顯著反彈。

Related: Bitcoin Emerges as ‘Safe’ Asset Thanks to Trump Tariffs and Recession Fears

相關：由於特朗普的關稅和經濟衰退的恐懼，比特幣成為“安全”的資產

Bitcoin Eyes Q2 Breakout After $90K Rally and FVG Consolidation

比特幣眼睛Q2突破$ 90K集會和FVG合併

On the price front, BTC is reclaiming a descending trendline, and is now consolidating inside a former Fair Value Gap (FVG) created post-election. Historical price action (during Nov 2024) shows this zone has previously acted as a launchpad for momentum surges.

在價格方面，BTC正在收回下降的趨勢線，現在正在鞏固以前的公允價值差距（FVG）在選舉後創建的。歷史價格行動（2024年11月）表明，該區域以前曾充當動力激增的發射台。

In the 1-day chart, the RSI at 53 reflects a recovery from oversold levels, aligning with favorable global liquidity trends. All these are classic signs of a bottoming behavior, suggesting BTC is primed for a Q2 breakout.

在為期1天的圖表中，RSI為53，反映了超出水平的恢復，與有利的全球流動性趨勢保持一致。所有這些都是底部行為的經典跡象，這表明BTC是為了進行Q2突破。

Related: ‘Buy Stocks’ Says Trump, ‘Bad Advice’ Says Schiff: Who’s Right on Tariffs?

相關：“購買股票”說：“不好的建議”說：誰對關稅是正確的？

Are Macro Factors Turning Bullish for Bitcoin in Q2?

宏因素是否會在Q2中對比特幣看漲？

Several improving macroeconomic factors add weight to the bullish case.

幾種改善的宏觀經濟因素增加了看漲案例的重量。

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) recently slipped below 2023 levels, and with the Fed’s May FOMC meeting on the horizon, talk of possible quantitative easing (QE) is back in focus. A weaker dollar usually favors risk assets, with crypto among the top beneficiaries.

美元指數（DXY）最近滑倒在2023年的水平以下，並且隨著美聯儲的May FOMC會議即將到來，談論可能的定量寬鬆（QE）又重新焦點了。較弱的美元通常有利於風險資產，而最高受益人則有加密貨幣。

Market volatility (VIX index) also dropped significantly to the mid-30s after the tariff pause, bringing in a more favorable “risk-on” environment.

市場波動率（VIX指數）也大大減少到關稅停頓後的30年代中期，帶來了更有利的“風險啟用”環境。

Also, the upcoming May Federal Reserve (FOMC) meeting brings potential Quantitative Easing (QE) back into market discussions, another supportive factor for crypto.

此外，即將舉行的五月美聯儲（FOMC）會議將潛在的定量寬鬆（QE）帶回市場討論中，這是加密貨幣的另一個支持因素。

What’s the Bitcoin Price Outlook for Q2 2025?

第二季度2025的比特幣價格前景是什麼？

Based on this confluence of technical strength and supportive macro trends, traders will be watching the $90K–$93K resistance zone closely.

根據技術實力和支持性宏觀趨勢的融合，交易者將密切關注$ 90K - $ 93K的電阻區。

A decisive breakout above this area would confirm renewed bullish momentum.

該地區上方的決定性突破將確認新的看漲勢頭。

If current supportive macro conditions persist, Bitcoin seems well-positioned for a potential strong rally this quarter.

如果目前的支持宏條件持續存在，那麼本季度潛在的強烈集會似乎比特幣似乎有很好的位置。

The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.

本文提供的信息僅用於信息和教育目的。本文不構成任何形式的財務建議或建議。由於提到的內容，產品或服務的利用，Coin Edition對任何損失概不負責。建議讀者在採取與公司相關的任何行動之前謹慎行事。