空头占主导地位，比特币（BTC）价格接近确认看跌头肩图表模式

比特币（BTC）的价格自 12 月 17 日触及 108,353 美元以来一直处于暴跌状态，最近跌破 92,000 美元，由于看跌头肩图表模式即将确认，令许多分析师保持警惕。

Bitcoin’s recent price slide has put many on edge, especially as the apex cryptocurrency appears to be setting up a bearish technical pattern on the daily chart.

比特币最近的价格下滑让许多人感到紧张，尤其是当这种顶级加密货币似乎在日线图上形成看跌的技术模式时。

After hitting a record high of $108,353 on Dec. 17, BTC’s price has slid by about 16%. The recent drop below $92,000 has put many technical analysts on alert due to the looming confirmation of a bearish head-and-shoulders chart pattern.

在 12 月 17 日触及 108,353 美元的历史新高后，BTC 的价格已下跌约 16%。最近跌破 92,000 美元已经让许多技术分析师保持警惕，因为看跌的头肩形图表模式即将得到确认。

A few daily closes below the pattern’s neckline at $92,000 could be followed by a decline to the pattern’s target at $79,500.

数日收盘价低于该形态颈线 92,000 美元后，可能会跌至该形态目标 79,500 美元。

Chartered market technician Aksel Kibar has also set a Bitcoin ( BTC ) price target at $80,000 if the head-and-shoulders pattern is confirmed. Kibar’s price target is based on the 1.61 Fib extension of the pattern, which adds up to a total potential decline of $92,715 from the pattern’s peak.

如果头肩形态得到确认，特许市场技术员 Aksel Kibar 也将比特币 (BTC) 的价格目标定为 80,000 美元。 Kibar 的价格目标基于该模式的 1.61 Fib 延伸，总计可能较该模式的峰值下跌 92,715 美元。

Bitcoin’s recent price slide has been largely supported by a few key levels, with each dip into the underlying bids being absorbed quickly. For instance, recent dips into $91,500 were met by dip-buying, as evident from the quick recovery.

比特币最近的价格下滑在很大程度上受到了几个关键水平的支撑，基础买盘的每一次下跌都会很快被吸收。例如，最近跌至 91,500 美元时，人们通过逢低买入来应对，这一点从快速复苏中可以看出。

However, each of these dip-buying instances is followed by selling upon BTC’s return to the intraday range high, suggesting that overhead resistances are also being defended by sellers.

然而，每次逢低买入之后，比特币回到盘中区间高点后都会出现抛售，这表明卖家也在捍卫上方阻力位。

Related: BTC price ‘breakdown confirmed?’ 5 Things to know in Bitcoin this week

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As noted by popular crypto trader Skew, “Shorts are the dominant positioning here” and “further aggressive shorting would mean the market expects an immediate breakdown” from Bitcoin’s current range.

正如受欢迎的加密货币交易商 Skew 所指出的，“空头是这里的主导地位”，“进一步激进的空头将意味着市场预计比特币将立即崩溃”。

Highlighting the importance of the $94,000 level, Skew said:

Skew 强调了 94,000 美元水平的重要性：

“BTC/USD spot on Coinbase alongside spot and futures CVD.” Source: Trdr.io

“Coinbase 上的 BTC/USD 现货以及现货和期货 CVD。”来源：Trdr.io

Crucially, a series of four-hour closes above $94,000 during the trading day will be essential to protecting the current range.

至关重要的是，交易日内一系列四小时收盘价高于 94,000 美元对于保护当前区间至关重要。

Over the last week, spot selling has been the dominant action in the market, and a majority of the perpetual futures market is tilted toward margin shorts, so holding $94,000 as the lowest rung of the range ($94,000–$99,000) would be the first step toward invalidating the bearish head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily time frame.

上周，现货销售一直是市场的主导行为，而永续期货市场的大部分都倾向于保证金空头，因此持有 94,000 美元作为该区间的最低价位（94,000 美元至 99,000 美元）将是第一步使每日时间框架内的看跌头肩形态失效。